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Don’t Buy SpaceX at IPO

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“My takeaway: Follow the 6-month rule.”

Bryan Bottarelli, Co-Founder, Monument Traders Alliance 

Dear Reader,

This week’s Barron’s cover story highlighted a point that Karim and I made during a recent Monument Trend Advisory livestream…

If you aren’t a member, you didn’t catch it… You also didn’t catch the winner in Modine (MOD) we closed this morning… nor the 170% winner we cashed in Navitas (NVTS) last week.

Click here to fix that.

The takeaway is this:

“Think twice before chasing the SpaceX IPO.”

Let me walk you through some important statistics to know going into this latest round of mega-IPOs.

It’s important to have a clear game plan on how to approach them.

To my eye, there’s a big opportunity for investors to get fleeced.

Here’s how to avoid being one of them.

At the expected IPO price range, SpaceX’s Day 1 value will be greater than American Express (AXP), Qualcomm (QCOM), and PepsiCo (PEP)… combined.

Wow.

When Facebook (META) went public in 2012, it set the record for the most highly valued U.S. company at the time of its IPO.

Meta’s IPO valued it around $117 billion… less than 10% of what SpaceX is expected to trade for the day it goes public.

In fact, SpaceX could be valued at 20x that size, making it larger than Meta is today.

This is shocking. SpaceX crossed the $1 billion valuation threshold in December of 2012, and it’s currently up 1,000% from that time. Of course, no average investor could’ve gotten in at those levels.

If SpaceX trades at the expected range on Day 1, it would carry a valuation of 93x trailing sales.

In the first quarter of 2026, the company reported $1.9 billion in operating losses, driven by a $2.5 billion loss in their AI segment.

So, while many are infatuated with SpaceX, calling it a generational IPO story, we’re still talking about an unprofitable company at a crazy-high valuation.

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What We Can Learn From Past IPOs

A total of 36 U.S. companies have gone public with a market cap of $15 billion or more. History shows that only nine of those 36 have beaten the S&P 500, while only 17 have generated a positive return.

My takeaway: Follow the 6-month rule.

Investors who bought META on the first day of trading are currently up 1,474%.

That’s an awesome return, don’t get me wrong… but those who waited and bought META six months after it went public are up 2,454%.

Given all these historical facts, there might be a time to buy SpaceX… but it ain’t right away.

Yes, I admit, it will very likely blast higher on the first day of trading. However, history shows that the ideal move is to wait six months, let the euphoria die down, and then make your entry once the valuation settles into a more reasonable range.

This is the pattern I’ll be following inside The War Room.

You’re invited to trade alongside our elite community of traders. Click hereto join us today.

Trade Where Millionaires TradeWant more content like this?

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TESTIMONIAL TUESDAY

“Beautiful trade. In 8.65, out 15.00 73% in 2 hours. Thanks BB.”
– Tanq, The War Room Member

“I closed the 2 Shares/Contracts I opened at $6.65 for $10.45. I did the 240 calls to avoid the crowd: in 6.65, out 10.45, +57% Thanks!”
– Steve I, The War Room Member

“Woohoo! Just noticed that over the weekend my icon switched to 2-year membership for MTA. I joined Profit Surge Trader about this time 2 years ago, and then upgraded to Inner Circle a couple of months later during Open House. Have learned so much from our Gurus; Karim, Bryan, and Nate. But also from so many other folks in here; SugarDoc, Dino, Thom I, Kirk H. And always love hearing the escapades of Suzie Q! I was laid off from a Software Product Manager position last August, forcing me to retire a few years ahead of schedule. Seeing it now as G-d’s gift. Started trading full time, and have pretty much replaced my income. All of y’all have been such a blessing. Looking forward to Vancouver.”
– MRandall, The War Room Member

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INSIGHTS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED

Don’t Buy SpaceX at IPO

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An AI Chokepoint Most Investors Have Never Heard Of

An AI Chokepoint Most Investors Have Never Heard Of

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BY MICHAEL SALVATORE, EDITOR, TRADESMITH DAILY

In This Digest:

• The biggest infrastructure spend in U.S. history
• Three “AI data highway” stocks lighting our screen
• The longevity theme is just picking up steam, and it’s not all about GLP-1s

If you want to profit from AI, own the chokepoints…

That was the message in Friday’s Daily from our CEO, Keith Kaplan.

By the end of this year, four U.S. tech giants – Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta – will have spent more than $700 billion on AI infrastructure. 

And that figure is set to hit $1 trillion by 2027.

That’s the largest sustained surge in spending in the U.S. since the end of World War II. And it’s a huge tailwind for stocks that can resolve “chokepoints” in the AI supply chain.

Most people know that AI needs powerful chips… and tons of energy to power them.

What’s less well known is that to run at AI speeds, those chips need two other technologies most folks have never heard of: high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and silicon photonics.

Ordinary memory chips can’t keep up with the demands of modern AI. HBM solves that problem by stacking memory next to the main processor, so the data the chip needs is always within arm’s reach.

Silicon photonics solves the next problem: getting data from one chip to another across the data center. For decades, those connections have been copper wires. But at AI speeds, copper wastes too much electricity as heat. And the signal gets weaker the farther it travels.

The fix is to send pulses of light through tiny glass fibers instead of electrons through copper wire. Light is faster. It doesn’t burn off energy as heat. And a single thin cable can carry far more data than copper can.

Think of HBM and photonics as creating a “data highway” for AI. It’s an essential infrastructure that lets it run faster.

Three AI data highway stocks just lit up on our new emerging trends screen…

Each day, I run a screen for high-quality stocks hitting one-month highs. Then I look for clusters of stocks around emerging investing themes.

And silicon photonics is lighting up on the radar right now with these three stocks.

• Credo Technology (CRDO) – Optical and high-speed interconnect chips used to link AI servers inside data centers
• MACOM Technology (MTSI) – High-performance analog and photonic semiconductors, with a named line of business in optical components
• Astera Labs (ALAB) – Connectivity for AI infrastructure, including new products purpose-built for AI clusters

Recommended Link

He Met Elon Musk Face to Face. Here’s What Happened Next

At a private gathering of financial elites, Mark Skousen was one of only two people selected to speak directly with Elon Musk. Soon after, he began tracking what could become the biggest IPO event in history. Now he’s sharing a free pre-IPO ‘SpaceX’ play. Click here before the window closes.

According to our Predictive Alpha AI trading model, MTSI is the one to watch.

As regular readers know, Predictive Alpha’s AI works in a similar way to large-language AI models like ChatGPT and Claude. But instead of predicting the next word in a sentence, it predicts where a stock is likely to go next.

We trained it on more than 100 billion data points from decades of market history. For any given stock, it produces a target price, the expected percentage move, and the date it expects that move to play out by. It also shows how accurate its past forecasts have been.

Here’s what it sees for MTSI right now.

From the current price of $384.09, our model projects a move to $424.50 by June 23. That’s a 10% gain in roughly a month.

And Predictive Alpha’s accuracy rate on these forecasts is 82.8%. In more than four out of five past forecasts on this stock, it hit the projected price by the projected date.

Add MTSI to your watchlist. And if you’re a paid-up subscriber, CRDO and ALAB are both worth a closer look on the TradeSmith Finance platform.

Keep cybersecurity stocks on your watchlist…

A week ago today, we called Palo Alto Networks (PANW) an “easy buy.”

PANW had just broken out to an all-time high, and two of our most important indicators – Short-Term Health and Long-Term Health – flashed Green in the same week.

As I wrote at the time, that combination is “a rare-but-powerful buy signal that always catches my attention in our system.”

Since then, PANW is up 5.6% over the past five trading days.

And PANW isn’t the only cybersecurity stock that’s bouncing.

On Friday morning’s breakout screen, eight cybersecurity stocks made the list – Fortinet (FTNT) leading the group with a 61.8% one-month move, alongside PANW, Zscaler (ZS), Okta (OKTA), and four others.

F5 (FFIV) is worth a closer look.

It makes software that manages traffic flowing in and out of corporate web apps. Every enterprise running AI-powered customer-facing apps needs more of what F5 sells.

Here’s what Predictive Alpha sees for FFIV right now.

From the current price of $393.85, our model projects a move to $427.84 by June 24. That’s an 8.7% gain in about a month, with a historical accuracy rate of 72.7% on this ticker.

Keep the cybersecurity sector on your watchlist – we’ll have more on the strongest stocks in coming issues.

A different lens on a $314 billion megatrend…

Andy and Landon Swan, the brothers behind LikeFolio, have been closely watching a theme outside the bounds of AI chokepoints.

And they found it with their own unique approach to investing – consumer insights.

Their proprietary Social Heat Score combines millions of daily data points – social media posts, search trends, AI queries, web traffic – into a single 0-to-100 number.

A score above 60 is bullish, meaning real consumers are putting their attention and their money behind a brand.

As the Swans put it in their latest MegaTrends report: “By the time the numbers hit an analyst’s spreadsheet, we’ve already seen the demand building for months.”

Right now, those Social Heat Scores are lighting up across what the Swans call the Longevity Stack.

According to Andy and Landon, longevity is an accelerating health trend that’s not to be ignored. Just think of all the major tailwinds that have emerged in only the last few years:

• GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic
• The broader peptide therapy market
• Biological-age testing and metabolic health tracking
• The MAHA policy tailwind out of Washington
• And the cultural shift Bryan Johnson made famous in his Netflix documentary Don’t Die.

These are all converging into a single consumer-behavior trend.

The wellness economy hit $6.8 trillion last year. The broader longevity market is projected to grow from $65 billion in 2023 to $314 billion by 2030.

In the Swans’ words: “The longevity economy isn’t a theme. It’s a transition – one that’s already reshaping how millions of consumers spend money on their health, their food, and their bodies.”

The Swans are looking past GLP-1s…

The Swans just released a new MegaTrends issue on the Longevity Stack theme – four fresh stock ideas built around the Social Heat Score signal, ranging from a luxury gym chain quietly building a longevity health platform inside its clubs to the company that makes the components inside nearly every GLP-1 injection on the market.

And while their report names four mid-cap longevity plays our morning quant screen hasn’t flagged yet, there is one mega-cap longevity name that did hit Friday’s screen: Eli Lilly (LLY).

LLY is the largest pure-play GLP-1 manufacturer in the world. Its tirzepatide formulation – sold under the Mounjaro and Zepbound brand names – produces stronger weight-loss results in clinical studies than the semaglutide drugs from Novo Nordisk.

But the Swans’ consumer-behavior tracking sees the longevity theme accelerating past this well-known play and into four smaller stocks that are laying down the rails of the Longevity Stack economy.

If you want the four mid-cap ideas the Swans are tracking right now – the names most investors haven’t connected to longevity yet – the new MegaTrends issue is where to find them. Paid-up subscribers – including our Platinum members, who receive everything we publish – can access it here.

If you’re not already subscribed, click here to join the Swans as they uncover the Main Street trends driving stock prices before Wall Street ever catches on.

To building wealth beyond measure,

Michael Salvatore
Editor, TradeSmith Daily

Disclosure: Michael Salvatore held shares of GOOGL at the time of this writing.

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Weekly Specials at Encanterra

View in your browser #MYTRILOGYLIFE Encanterra® This Week’s Specials at Encanterra May 26, 2026      

This Week’s Specials

Join us at the Club for this week’s specials at Palma Kitchen + Tap and The Algarve, good through Sunday, May 31st. These specials are available in addition to our Signature Menu.

Note that Palma is now a private, Members-only restaurant. 

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Palma Kitchen + Tap

Discover a favorite new item, along with the special features below! 

Lunch Special
Caprese Salad | $15
burrata, heirloom tomatoes, basil oil, balsamic glaze

Market Fish
Shrimp Tacos | $18
sauteed shrimp, sweet chili slaw, corn tortillas, pickled cucumbers

Dinner Feature | Available after 4:00pm
Chicken Skewers | $22
pineapple glazed gochujang chicken skewers, fried rice

Cocktail
Peachy Palmer | $14
vodka, lemonade, tea, peach schnapps, topped with soda

Make your reservations here.

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The Algarve

Find a new favorite, and enjoy the features below.

Red, White and Sparkle | $13
muddled strawberries, Smirnoff Ice, fresh blueberries

Pulled Pork Sammy | $16
slow cooked pork butt, tangy BBQ, jalapeno slaw, choice of side

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🌎 Insider Trades Newsletter for 5/26/2026

Insider Trades for Global-e Online, Enlight Renewable Energy, DXP Enterprises, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, City and more…VIEW LATEST INSIDER TRADESMay 26th, 2026 | Unsubscribe

The “secret weapon” behind Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Google (ad)Is Elon about to trigger another 315X opportunity?

Elon gave Tesla investors the chance to make more than 315 times their money when he revived the electric vehicle industry. $1 billion fund manager Louis Navellier believes Elon’s “Project Apex” will mint a new generation of millionaires.

CLICK HERE TO GET THE DETAILS.Today’s Top StoriesInsiders At Target Sold US$11m In Stock, Alluding To Potential WeaknessTJX Companies Insiders Sold US$14m Of Shares Suggesting Hesitancy3 small caps just flagged for early activity. See the report (from Alpha Wire Daily)Dropbox CEO Andrew Houston to step down, insider Ashraf Alkarmi named successorInsider Selling: SEA (NYSE:SE) Insider Sells 800 Shares of StockMalone Trust Reshuffle Concentrates Insider Influence At Campbell’s StockTSX Growth Companies With High Insider Ownership In May 2026One mistake is costing you trades (from Profits Run)Hedge Fund and Insider Trading News: Chase Coleman, Chris Hohn, Ray Dalio, Philippe Laffont, Berkshire Hathaway, Greenvale Capital, eToro Group Ltd (ETOR), and MoreQuick Links

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The SpaceX filing just happened. You’ve got weeks. (ad)Reuters reports Elon Musk filed secretly. Barron’s says it’s being finalized behind closed doors. CNBC just revealed 21 banks – including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley – are competing for a role in what Wall Street is calling ‘Project Apex,’ a potential $1.75 trillion listing Bloomberg has dubbed the biggest of all time.

Dr. Mark Skousen, Macroeconomic Strategist at The Oxford Club, says a pre-IPO ‘backdoor’ entry still exists – and nearly 15,000 investors have already accessed his free recommendation. June is the reported target date, and the window is narrowing.

Get Dr. Skousen’s free SpaceX pre-IPO recommendation before June

Recent U.S. Insider SellingCompanyInsider NameBuy/SellSharesTotal TransactionTransaction DateCurrent PriceSEC FilingAFL 
AflacPost Holdings Co. Ltd. Japan Major ShareholderSell30,400 shares @ $117.61$3,575,344.005/21/2026$116.62BAP 
CredicorpAlejandro Perez-Reyes CFOSell1,073 shares @ $337.50$362,137.505/21/2026$345.80DXPE 
DXP EnterprisesTimothy P Halter DirectorSell6,842 shares @ $141.59$968,758.785/21/2026$147.00ENLT 
Enlight Renewable EnergyYair Seroussi Vice ChairmanSell14,372 shares @ $93.34$1,341,482.485/25/2026$103.15ENLT 
Enlight Renewable EnergyShai Yeshayahu Weil DirectorSell73,436 shares @ $93.68$6,879,484.485/25/2026$103.15JBHT 
J.B. Hunt Transport ServicesSpencer Frazier EVPSell2,000 shares @ $258.20$516,400.005/19/2026$267.57LEA 
LearNicholas Jon Roelli SVPSell2,336 shares @ $141.38$330,263.685/22/2026$143.02LEVI 
Levi Strauss & Co.Robert D Haas Major ShareholderSell31,000 shares @ $22.00$682,000.005/21/2026$22.66LEVI 
Levi Strauss & Co.Robert D Haas Major ShareholderSell176,549 shares @ $22.01$3,885,843.495/22/2026$22.66SE 
SEAGang Ye COOSell10,000 shares @ $87.85$878,500.005/22/2026$89.26SGHC 
Super Group (SGHC)Wyk Alinda Van CFOSell78,837 shares @ $13.70$1,080,066.905/19/2026$13.16TALO 
Talos EnergyControl Empresarial De Capital InsiderSell284,000 shares @ $16.38$4,651,920.005/18/2026$15.03Goldman Sachs just told you what to buy (most people missed it) (ad)Goldman Sachs just revealed that 40% of AI data centers will be crippled by electricity shortages by 2027 – not chips, not funding, but power. Demand is growing 15% per year and the grid can’t keep up.

One small company makes the exact equipment these data centers need. They’re sitting on $1.5 billion in orders, their hardware is already inside Musk’s Colossus, and the stock still trades like a name nobody’s heard of. Analyst Dylan Jovine is releasing the ticker for free.

See the stock positioned to solve AI’s biggest power crisis

Top Insider-Buying Stocks (Last 30 Days)CompanyShares PurchasedTotal Cost of Shares PurchasedNumber of Insider PurchasesNumber of Insiders BuyingCurrent Share PriceMarketBeat Consensus RatingMarketBeat Consensus Price TargetRead MoreVITL Vital Farms38,700$320,864.0099$10.12Hold$27.33HDSN Hudson Technologies32,850$161,120.0088$5.15Hold$8.88ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics4,183,777$75,319,986.0077$18.07N/A$0.00PSUS Pershing Square USA6,307,171$311,292,650.0087$40.47Buy$0.00BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust9,557,295$191,145,900.0077$22.00N/A$0.00FLUT Flutter Entertainment10,453$1,045,526.0087$95.24Moderate Buy$189.26SRAD Sportradar Group357,893$4,668,220.0097$13.04Moderate Buy$24.94XRN Global Medical REIT10,974$373,826.0066$36.83Hold$40.00AVBC Avidia Bancorp15,133$309,787.0096$19.06Sell$0.00MOBI Mobia Medical1,268,332$19,024,980.0066$12.42N/A$0.00

Top Insider-Selling Stocks (Last 30 Days)CompanyShares SoldTotal Cost of Shares SoldNumber of Insider SalesNumber of Insiders SellingCurrent Share PriceMarketBeat Consensus RatingMarketBeat Consensus Price TargetRead MoreTV Grupo Televisa848,000$483,360.001515$2.85Hold$5.27ACLS Axcelis Technologies31,209$4,774,703.001311$162.42Hold$116.25FSLR First Solar21,265$4,964,698.001511$268.73Moderate Buy$247.40TXN Texas Instruments199,143$56,959,010.001110$323.75Hold$265.57WCC WESCO International144,486$51,846,641.00119$371.10Buy$321.38RYAAY Ryanair101,608$2,642,824.0099$60.21Moderate Buy$75.67CRWV CoreWeave10,676,645$1,314,069,235.00449$107.17Moderate Buy$129.63CSTM Constellium176,762$5,726,275.0098$34.99Buy$36.60DDOG Datadog354,430$65,895,359.00138$224.62Moderate Buy$216.81LTH Life Time Group16,626,280$507,395,256.00118$32.94Buy$40.00More Calendars from MarketBeat and InsiderTrades.comToday’s Insider Trades
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Health-focused eatery Sweetgreen opens thi…

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Health-focused eatery Sweetgreen opens third Valley location

The rapidly expanding chain is now bringing salads and bowls to a new neighborhood.

By Tirion Boan

The Veto Queen is back: All 63 bills Gov. Hobbs has rejected in 2026

Katie Hobbs is adding to her vetoes record in 2026, swatting down SNAP crackdowns and Charlie Kirk-related bills.

By Zach Buchanan

Rafi Law Group Celebrates Día del Niño With $50,000 Donation to St. Vincent de Paul

Rafi’s Hope delivers joy and critical resources while tackling Arizona’s child hunger crisis head-on.

By Cynthia Barnes

Phoenix readers feel sorry for Jamaica about getting Kari Lake

Donald Trump nominated Kari Lake to be the next U.S. Ambassador to Jamaica. New Times readers couldn’t help but laugh.

By Zach Buchanan

 

 

 

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Let’s go back to Rickwood!

The latest news, interviews, highlights and more from Minor League Baseball

Tuesday, May 26

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★★★★ TOP NEWS

 

MiLB makes its welcome return to Rickwood

Double-A Pensacola and Birmingham are set to pay tribute to the Negro Leagues in a Wednesday matinee on hallowed ground — Rickwood Field, the oldest professional ballpark in the United States.

MORE TOP NEWS 

★★★★ TOP PERFORMANCES

 

George Wolkow, OF, Winston-Salem (CWS): Plates 12 runs

Goes 12-for-23 with four multihit games (one with four knocks)

Karson Milbrandt, RHP, Pensacola (MIA): Still stingy about runs

Fans pro-best 12, extends scoreless streak to 23 straight innings

Jace LaViolette, OF, Lake County (CLE): In first-round form

Posts .435/.519/1.000 with three homers, 11 RBIs, 8 runs scored 

★★★★ The most pleasant surprise for each club

 

From MiLB co-home run leader Jason Schiavone (Astros) to Felnin Celesten (Mariners) rebounding from early-career injuries — these prospects may not have caught your attention at the start of the season, but they have it now. 

 

★★★★ MUST-SEE PLAY: The latest ‘Star Wars’ trilogy

 

It was “Star Wars” night in Tampa, Florida, and Yankees prospect Hans Montero proved that the force was with him by launching three home runs while wearing the Tarpons’ “Mandalorian and Grogu”-inspired jersey.

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★★★★ STAFF PICKS

 

Nine innings? Nine weddings!

Love was in the air at Durham Bulls Athletic Park! Nine couples enjoyed having more than 3,700 baseball fans as their wedding guests when they got married in between innings at a Triple-A Durham game. 

Ballpark of the century

It’s the place where Thirsty Thursday was invented. Babe Ruth praised it. Asheville’s ballpark underwent major updates, but kept its old-school charm.

 

He’s got it Made

Jesús Made (Brewers) ran his RBI streak, the longest run in the Minors this season to date, to nine games with a homer for Double-A Biloxi.

 

Did this dog predict the future?

Dogs have long been known as man’s best friend. They can detect when you’re happy or sad. But predicting a homer or a walk-off hit? That’s new.

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★★★★ ONLY IN MiLB: Going for a Knockout punch

 

From “Big Nasty” to “Iowa Meat Truck,” the Minors sport some truly amazing nicknames and The Show Before the Show crew mulled them over on the latest podcast. Cast your first-round ballot before noon ET on Friday!

MORE STORIES 

 

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Drought is over! MLB’s first no-no since ’24

Tuesday, May 26

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Three Astros pitchers combine for Memorial Day no-hitter

Tatsuya Imai battled through a rocky first inning and worked through six before passing off the baton to Steven Okert and Alimber Santa, who was making his MLB debut. It was the 18th no-hitter in franchise history and the first across the bigs since the Cubs’ combo in 2024.   

MLB MORNING LINEUP PODCAST 

 

 

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How Does the Bible Caution Us about Toxic People?

Reading →

What the Bible Really Says about Homosexuality Larry White

The message of the Bible is unified in its prohibition of homosexual practice. The unity of this message should tell us that this is something that God has not changed His mind about. Let us remember that God intends good for our lives and often His prohibitions in the Bible are to protect us from harm. Our intent here is to present how the Bible speaks on this very sensitive matter, not to be ammunition for divisive arguments.Continue Reading →

7 Ways to Honor the Fallen on Memorial Day Barbara Latta

How can we pay tribute to our heroes who have given their all to make sure present and future generations live free of tyranny? These 7 ways can honor our fallen service members on Memorial Day.Continue Reading →

7 Sneaky Idols Destroying Christian Marriages Today Clarence L. Haynes Jr.

If you are married or considering marriage, pay close attention to ensure these idols don’t creep into your life. Continue Reading →

We Remember: A Memorial Day Tribute Beamer Films

This moving and patriotic video will bring a sense of pride and gratitude to your heart. Without the brave and selfless men and women in our military, our everyday freedoms wouldn’t be possible. This Memorial Day, please show your appreciation to those who have sacrificed so much for us.
Posted by user ‘worshiphousemedia’ on GodTube.com
Video produced by Beamer Films 
https://www.godtube.com/beamerfilms.comContinue Reading →About Salem Web Network  |  Unsubscribe   |  Email Preference Center © 2026 Salem Web Network. All rights reserved. 111 Virginia Street, Suite 200, Richmond, VA 23219. 

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