RJ Hamster
Is This Defense Giant Worth Its Steep Price?
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THE VALUE METER
Lockheed Martin: Is the Defense Giant Worth Its Steep Price?
Anthony Summers, Director of Trading, The Oxford Club
The defense sector is being repriced – and it’s not just about the war in Iran.
Allied budgets keep climbing across Europe and Asia. The Department of War is rewriting how it buys from its largest contractors. The market has reacted unevenly to all of it: Prime contractors get bid up on demand, sold off on execution risk, then bid up again on the next headline.
We evaluated one of them, Northrop Grumman(NYSE: NOC), last month. (Find out its score here.)Today, we’re looking at arguably its top competitor: Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT).
The company operates through four segments – Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space – and sells primarily to the U.S. government and allied nations through foreign military sales programs.
In fiscal 2025, Lockheed Martin reported sales of $75.0 billion, up 6% from $71.0 billion in 2024. Net earnings fell 6% from $5.3 billion, or $22.31 per share, to $5.0 billion, or $21.49 per share. The drop came from losses on classified programs and a one-time pension settlement charge.
Cash from operations reached $8.6 billion, and free cash flow came in at $6.9 billion. The order backlog – a tally of contracted work not yet delivered – hit a record $193.6 billion by year-end, up from $176.0 billion at the end of 2024.
The company returned $6.1 billion to shareholders: $3.1 billion in dividends and $3.0 billion in buybacks. Long-term debt stood at $20.5 billion (with just $1.2 billion coming due within the year), against $4.1 billion in cash on hand.
Lockheed Martin spent most of 2025 trading in a sideways band between roughly $420 and $510, well below the highs it had set the prior autumn.
Sentiment turned late in the year, however, and the stock ran from the mid-$450s to above $665 by March, briefly touching new highs. Since then, shares have given back more than $100 to trade near $554. That’s indicative of the market reassessing how much of the defense rally it was willing to fund at a premium.View larger image
That’s a wide round trip for a company whose underlying cash record barely shifted. The gap is worth examining.
The Value Meter framework is built to cut past the price swings and ask a simpler question: What does the business actually deliver, and how does the market’s price compare?
Let’s see what the numbers reveal about the world’s largest defense contractor.Click to Find Out LMT’s Score
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