When the Smartest Move Is Not to Play

May 21, 2025
by RJ Hamster

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When the Smartest Move Is Not to Play
By Blake Young

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: the market doesn’t owe you a trade. Right now, we’re in one of those stretches where the smartest move isn’t getting aggressive, it’s sitting tight and letting the picture come into focus. That’s not passivity. That’s discipline. And it’s doubly important for retirement traders and investors.

Smart traders in standby mode, not because there’s nothing happening, but because the signals aren’t clean yet. Volume’s low and divergences are cropping up in a few spots, and while we’ve had some flashy moves, they’re not convincing enough to go all-in either way. Until we get confirmation—real confirmation, like money flow validating the trend or stochastic divergences breaking with authority—I’m treating this as a rangebound environment. That means mean-reversion setups get my attention, not breakout chases.

It’s the kind of market where impulsive traders get chopped up. You think you’re early to a move, but you’re really just bait for the next reversal. This is when patience pays. I’m waiting for momentum to speak first—and when it does, I’ll be listening with size.

Until then, tight risk, quick exits, and a healthy respect for whiplash. With that said, there are some interesting sectors and assets to watch right now for when the time is right…

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