RJ Hamster
🐤 As U.S. Debt Surpasses GDP, These 2 ETFs…
MONDAY, MAY 18th
GOOD MORNING
Equities head into a pivotal week with the AI rally intact, but the technical picture is sending mixed signals. MACD has diverged from price while stochastics turned overbought, leaving the S&P 500 vulnerable to a near-term pullback before any sustained push toward year-end targets. Breadth is narrowing, and the burden falls squarely on earnings to justify current levels.
Inflation is the macro overhang that won’t quit. Both CPI and PPI came in above expectations, with PPI — the forward-looking indicator—the bigger concern. Oil is elevated and supply disruptions show no sign of easing, which effectively takes Fed rate cuts off the table for the foreseeable future. The more pressing question now isn’t whether the Fed cuts, but whether it hikes.
The earnings tape is where the action is. Home Depot kicks things off Tuesday with a low bar and solid seasonal tailwinds—a positive surprise here could wake up a beaten-down consumer discretionary sector. Analog Devices reports Wednesday morning as a direct read on the semiconductor supercycle, with strength expected across AI and datacenter end markets. NVIDIA is the main event Wednesday evening; another blowout quarter with hot guidance would reinforce the AI trade and likely pull the broader market higher with it. Walmart follows Thursday as a real-time consumer health check, and Workday closes the week as the highest-beta name on the calendar, deeply depressed and primed to move big in either direction. Traders are watching NVIDIA’s guidance language most closely, as it sets the tone for AI infrastructure spending and equity leadership into year-end.
Featured: No longer a prediction. Prepare yourself (Ad)
MARKETS
As U.S. Debt Surpasses GDP, These 2 ETFs Are Emerging Winners in the “Sell America” Trade
America has a massive debt problem, and it isn’t record-high auto loans and credit card delinquencies that are fueling the crisis. As of March 31, U.S. federal debt held by the public exceeded 100% of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) for the first sustained period since 1946. According to…READ THE FULL STORY
FROM OUR PARTNERS
Iran War Update: Trump’s Hand-Written Letter Reveals What Comes Next
Jim Rickards has uncovered what he believes is Trump’s economic plan, with a key trigger date of May 15. The Financial Times estimates this move could help unleash $100 trillion in new wealth.
Billionaire investors John Paulson, Ray Dalio, and Paul Tudor Jones are already said to be preparing. The window to get ahead of this may be closing.CLICK HERE TO SEE THE FULL DETAILS BEFORE MAY 15
FINANCE
Robinhood, SoFi, and Webull Are Telling Very Different Stories
The retail investing boom delivered platforms that promised to democratize finance. The democratization happened, but investors are now voting no. SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI), Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD), and Webull (NASDAQ: BULL) are three of the most prominent names in digital-first platforms f…READ THE FULL STORY
TECHNOLOGY
As Broadcom Eclipses $2 Trillion, Private Credit Giants Wants In
Over the past several weeks, semiconductor giant Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) has entered rarified air, with its market capitalization eclipsing $2 trillion. Broadcom is now one of just six companies in the world in this territory, becoming more valuable than giants like Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) an…READ THE FULL STORY
FROM OUR PARTNERS
To Avoid 67 Million Blackouts, Trump Signs Emergency Backing of New Energy Tech
President Trump has used emergency executive powers to back a new energy technology described as 326 times more powerful than the most advanced hospital generators – one that could power the entire country without oil.
Jensen Huang, Elon Musk, and Sam Altman are already behind it. The rights, however, are held by companies most investors have never heard of – and 3 little-known stocks could be positioned for significant moves as attention builds around Trump’s reported $10 trillion grid plan.SEE THE 3 LITTLE-KNOWN STOCKS AT THE HEART OF THIS GRID OVERHAUL
MARKETS
Target the Red-Hot Spin-Off and Merger Space With These ETFs
Spin-offs and mergers may appeal to investors because they can signal a company’s efforts to focus its business, realign its operations, or even seek new leadership. In the case of large conglomerates, it can be hard for investors to accurately assess which units might be the most profitable or fas…READ THE FULL STORY
TECHNOLOGY
Samsung Joins the $1 Trillion Club as AI Memory Demand Explodes
On May 6, Samsung (OTCMKTS: SSNLF) made history when the South Korean multinational tech conglomerate surpassed a market cap of $1 trillion. In doing so, the firm became just the second Asian company to accomplish that feat, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM). As the case …READ THE FULL STORY
FROM OUR PARTNERS
Distracted Americans set to miss out on quadrillions
Technology expert and Washington D.C. insider Jeff Brown – who identified Bitcoin, Tesla, and Nvidia early – says hundreds of trillions of dollars are about to move through a new financial technology that has nothing to do with AI.
Goldman Sachs, Citi, Chase, and 50-plus major institutions are already preparing. A key piece of legislation expected before July could fast-track global adoption. Jeff is sharing his full research at no charge.CLICK HERE TO SEE JEFF BROWN’S FULL RESEARCH BEFORE JULY
MARKETS
Japan’s Stealth Bull Market: How U.S. Investors Can Get Exposure
Japanese stocks have been an attractive option for investors looking for exposure outside of U.S. stocks. There have been many factors triggering the multi-year run, including corporate governance reform, record shareholder returns, and a weak yen. The governance overhaul began with Japan’s Steward…READ THE FULL STORY
ENERGY
3 Stocks to Own If Gas Prices Keep Rising
For those who commute to work, driving by the first gas station of the day may now be a constant source of anxiety. The national average has quickly surged past $4.50 per gallon, a shock to consumers who had been paying less than $3 per gallon as recently as January. With no end to the Iran war in …READ THE FULL STORY
BASIC MATERIALS
3 Crucial Aerospace Component Makers That Analysts Love
As the hype surrounding the SpaceX IPO picks up speed ahead of what could be the largest public offering in history, savvy investors may also want to look around at other companies in the broader space (and aerospace/defense) industries. Airlines themselves have experienced significant turbulence s…READ THE FULL STORY
TECHNOLOGY
Alphabet’s Googlebook Brings Gemini AI to PC Hardware
Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) has spent the past two years making one bold move after another in the AI race. From the Gemini model family to its 8th-generation TPU architecture, to Google Cloud’s explosive 63% revenue growth to a $460 billion cloud backlog, the company has systematically built the wor…READ THE FULL STORY
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
Peloton Stock Gives Back Gains After Upbeat Earnings Report
Shares of Peloton Interactive Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) have been attempting a comeback after hitting a 52-week low in mid-March. The stock has climbed more than 40% since then, as the market has seemingly begun to buy into the idea that the company’s long-running turnaround effort may finally be gainin…READ THE FULL STORY
MONDAY’S EARLY BIRD STOCK OF THE DAY
A Stock Being Downgraded:IonQ (NYSE:IONQ)
IonQ, Inc. engages in the development of general-purpose quantum computing systems in the United States. It sells access to quantum computers of various qubit capacities. The company makes access to its quantum computers through cloud platforms, such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) Amazon Braket, Microsoft’s Azure Quantum, and Google’s Cloud Marketplace, as well as through its cloud service. It also provides contracts associated with the design, development, and construction of specialized quantum …VIEW TODAY’S STOCK PICK
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