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Today’s Exclusive Article
Where’s the Bottom, and When Will It Be Time to Sell D-Wave?
Reported by Nathan Reiff. Date Posted: 3/23/2026.
Key Points
- D-Wave Quantum shares are down about 44% since the start of the year, though the company’s RSI is near 30, suggesting it may be oversold.
- At the same time, the firm’s price remains significantly elevated relative to its sales, which are still quite low in absolute terms.
- Investors must try to reconcile these concerns while also trying to ascertain how much farther shares may fall in the current selloff.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a “wealthy man” (From The Oxford Club)
By many measures, quantum computingleader D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS)has had a strong start to 2026. The most notable stat: in January alone its bookings exceeded those of all of 2025, driven primarily by a $10 million deal with a Fortune 100 company and a system sale worth about $20 million. At the same time, the company’s cash position remains solid as D-Wave pursues a dual approach with multiple technology paths.
Still, QBTS stock has struggled: shares are down roughly 44% so far in 2026, despite the company’s positive updates. Existing holders are likely asking where the bottom might be, while prospective buyers may be wondering whether to wait for a deeper dip. It’s impossible to predict the precise extent of any further decline, but a closer look at D-Wave’s operating runway helps frame the dilution risk for now.
Just How Rational Is the D-Wave Selloff?
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Although the selloff looks at odds with some of D-Wave’s recent fundamentals and developments highlighted in its latest earnings report, there are clear reasons investors might see the move as rational.
D-Wave has seen substantial sales growth—revenue nearly tripled year over year in the latest period—but in absolute terms revenue remains small, under $25 million annually. Combined with a massive rally through much of early 2025, that left D-Wave’s share price materially stretched relative to sales.
The company’s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio climbed as high as nearly 327 last year; even after the recent decline, QBTS still trades at more than 237 times sales. That metric helps explain why some investors view the selloff as justified.
Determining the Bottom Is Tricky, But D-Wave’s Cash Reserves Provide Important Insulation
With a relative strength index (RSI) near 30, D-Wave shows some signs of being oversold, so recent selling may have been excessive. However, an RSI signal alone doesn’t prove the stock has reached its low—timing a bottom is notoriously difficult.
Investors should note D-Wave’s cash position—about $885 million at the end of the last quarter. Based on current burn rates, that suggests at least three years of operating runway (excluding any major acquisitions), even if revenue growth stalls, which seems unlikely given recent booking momentum.
That cash cushion makes a collapse to zero in the foreseeable future unlikely and provides meaningful insulation against further selling pressure for now.
What Signs Might Investors Watch For to Sell?
Because it’s hard to know how much farther shares might fall—especially while the company retains a Moderate Buy ratingfrom Wall Street analysts and implied upside of roughly 132%—investors should monitor several concrete indicators.
First, watch fundamentals: a slowdown in bookings or a sustained acceleration in cash burn without a matching revenue increase would be clear red flags. Second, execution risks matter—if the company’s core gate-model system (being developed alongside its annealing systems) faces delays or technical problems, investor enthusiasm could fade further.
Third, external risks such as tariffs, supply-chain disruptions, or other macro issues could alter the calculus around D-Wave’s ability to stretch its cash reserves and accelerate revenue.
Ultimately, investors must weigh competing arguments: D-Wave looks oversold after its recent decline, yet remains highly valued relative to current sales. That distinction often separates short-term traders hoping for a return to the 2025 rally from long-term investors who believe D-Wave will emerge as a leader in the multiyear race toward quantum dominance.
Exclusive Article
Circle May Be the Biggest Winner of America’s Stablecoin Shift
Written by Chris Markoch. Article Posted: 3/22/2026.

Key Points
- Circle’s post-IPO volatility has mirrored shifting expectations for stablecoin regulation and reserve-income economics.
- The GENIUS Act created a federal framework for payment stablecoins that appears to favor regulated issuers such as Circle.
- USDC’s scale is growing, but Circle’s outlook still hinges on rates, distribution economics, and how stablecoin usage evolves.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a “wealthy man” (From The Oxford Club)
Circle Internet Group (NYSE: CRCL) went public on June 5, 2025. The stock was priced at $31 a share, nearly tripled on its first trading day, and climbed to almost $299 by June 23.
Since then, things have gotten rough for investors who chased the rally. By the end of February 2026, the stock had fallen to around $50—a heavy loss for anyone who bought near the peak.
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Yet Circle has emerged as a market winner at a time when winners have been rare. The reason is how the regulatory architecture of American finance has been quietly redrawn, and Circle is one of the foundational pieces of that change.
This is a story about a piece of Congressional legislation, the GENIUS Act, that may live up to its name.
Circle Internet Group Is Not a Traditional Finance Stock
Before getting into the GENIUS Act, it’s important to understand Circle’s business, which differs from most finance stocks. The fintech firm issues digital dollars—stablecoins called USDC—that move on public blockchains. Every USDC token is backed one-for-one by cash and short-term U.S. Treasury bills. The reserve portfolio is managed by BlackRock (NYSE: BLK).
Users can redeem USDC for U.S. dollars at any time. What distinguishes it from a bank account is the payment rail: blockchain settlement. That allows transactions 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, with no correspondent banks, no cut-off times, and no multi-day ACH delays.
Circle also issues EURC, a euro-backed equivalent. But for this article, USDC is the product that matters. As of this writing, more than $75 billion of USDC is in circulation. The company has processed over $6 trillion in adjusted transaction volume across more than one billion transactions.
How the GENIUS Act Changed Everything
The conventional narrative in crypto circles was that the GENIUS Act, passed in the summer of 2025, would be broadly bullish: regulatory clarity would mean institutional adoption and higher prices across the board. The reality was more surgical. The GENIUS Act defined exactly what a stablecoin is, who can issue one, and under what conditions. It required 100% reserves in high-quality liquid assets, mandated regular disclosures, and established federal oversight. It also drew a line that decentralized assets such as Bitcoin cannot cross: an identifiable, regulated issuer.
The practical effect was to formalize a two-tier digital money system. Compliant, reserve-backed stablecoins—led by USDC—became legally recognized payment instruments. Everything else, including Bitcoin (BTC), remained in a separate and murkier category. By January 2026, President Trump had signed an executive order banning federal agencies from issuing or endorsing a central bank digital currency. Congress followed with legislation proposing to make that prohibition permanent through at least 2030. The government didn’t just step aside from building a digital dollar; it banned itself from doing so—and handed the lane to Circle.
Bitcoin’s Quiet Problem
This is where the analysis gets uncomfortable for Bitcoin holders. The bull case for Bitcoin has long rested on several pillars: digital scarcity, decentralization, censorship resistance, and, crucially, its role as a global 24/7 payment rail that bypasses traditional banking infrastructure. That last pillar is under pressure in a way that is not yet fully priced into the conversation.
The data is striking. Since the GENIUS Act passed, stablecoins have accounted for 93.2% of all transaction volume on public blockchains. Monthly stablecoin transaction counts have reached record highs, while Bitcoin transaction counts have declined more than 20% over the same period. If someone wants to move dollars across borders instantly without a bank, they no longer need Bitcoin to do so: USDC does the same job faster, cheaper, and with a stable value.
To be clear, this is not a call for Bitcoin’s demise. The digital scarcity and store-of-value arguments remain intact, and nation-state adoption as a reserve asset is a separate category entirely. But losing even one leg of the investment thesis creates real pressure. Options markets now price roughly equal odds of $70,000 and $130,000 for Bitcoin by June 2026, which suggests the market has no consensus on what the asset is worth in this new environment.
What the Bull Case Actually Requires
The case for CRCL at current pricesrequires several things to be true simultaneously:
- USDC circulation continues to grow at a roughly 40% annual rate.
- Federal Reserve interest rates remain elevated long enough for reserve income to compound.
- Circle’s payment network generates meaningful transaction-fee revenue to cushion against eventual rate cuts.
- The Coinbase revenue-sharing arrangement doesn’t become materially more punitive as the relationship evolves.
What Circle has built is something historically rare: private financial infrastructure the U.S. government has explicitly chosen not to compete with, embedded in the payment rails of Visa (NYSE: V), Mastercard (NYSE: MA), and Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU), operating with BlackRock managing reserves and BNY Mellon holding custody. The moat is institutional trust, regulatory alignment, and network effects—not the underlying technology, which a well-capitalized entity could replicate. The question is not whether Circle survives; it’s whether the market has already priced in all the potential upside.
The chart says: probably. The thesis says: possibly not yet. Like any good story, that tension is exactly what makes it worth watching.
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