Dear reader, 

Sometime in the first month of 2026, a small gold company will mine gold for the first time. 

The company is sitting on over $3 billion worth of gold. 

But the market cap is just over $700 million. 

As soon as automated AI trading algorithms sees revenue from this company in Q1 – it will revalue the stock. 

Almost overnight.

AI will pour in and the rest of the market will take notice that a $700 million company should be worth $3 billion. 

But you don’t have to wait: You can own this stock today – before the AI algorithms take notice. 

You only have weeks left… 

Best, 

Garrett Goggin, CFA, CMT
Lead Analyst and Founder, Golden Portfolio

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Exclusive Article

Fossil Stock Is Quietly Surging—Insiders Just Made Big Bets

Authored by Thomas Hughes. Article Published: 12/2/2025. 

At a Glance

• Fossil Group faces headwinds, but its turnaround gains traction in 2025.
• Debt restructuring resulted in a credit upgrade and improved market confidence. 
• Insiders are buying, and institutions are too, and the stock price is set up for a reversal.

Insiders made significant purchases of Fossil Group (NASDAQ: FOSL) stock in November. The buys followed a mixed earnings report in which revenue declines were smaller than feared, while margins were weaker than expected. More important, the company is in the midst of a transformation and hit several milestones during the period, including a debt restructuring and balance-sheet improvements that position it for future growth.

On the business side, the watch market remains soft but shows early signs of recovery. Within that market, Fossil Group continues to rank highly with consumers, maintaining brand image and cachet through partnerships and a full-price selling model. While margins were pressured in FQ3 by tariffs and minimum royalties for licensed brands, these headwinds were partially offset by improved operational quality. That operational progress sets the company up for an earnings rebound as sales return to growth.

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Insiders and Institutions Buy Fossil Brands Stock at Discount Prices

Insider buying is notable because no insiders have sold shares in years, and Q4 2025 purchases reached near-record levels. The group — including the CEO, CFO, COO and three directors — bought more than $700,000 in shares, bringing their combined stake to nearly 8% of the company. These purchases signal increased confidence in the business and its value, a view that is echoed in institutional activity.

Institutional activity has included some selling over the past year, but each quarter buyers have offset sellers. Net, institutions are accumulating stock at a rate of roughly $3.60 purchased for every $1 sold — a strong tailwind for the shares that could contribute to a short-covering rally by year-end.

Short interest is not extremely high at 10.5%, but it is sufficient to amplify volatility and help fuel a short-covering move. Mid-November data show shorts were covering ahead of the earnings report, and that trend likely continued afterward. Although the results were mixed, the company’s financial health improved and the outlook brightened. The next catalyst could arrive soon, when November retail sales data are released — including Black Friday and Cyber Monday results, which may be market-moving.

Fossil Brands Transforms Balance Sheet in Q4

One of the most significant takeaways from the Q3 release was the debt restructuring completed after the quarter ended. The deal extended the earliest maturity to 2029 and added more than $32 million to the balance sheet, freeing cash flow and improving flexibility. The risk remains that the roughly $110 million on the balance sheet may not be enough to carry the company to sustained profitability. Management’s guidance points to breaking even in 2025, with a chance of adjusted profits; however, the company could continue to struggle in 2026 if macroeconomic headwinds fail to ease.

Technically, the chart looks constructive. Weekly action shows a double bottom forming between 2024 and 2025 and suggests the market is setting up to complete a reversal in Q4 2025. Price action in August and again in November confirmed support at key levels and increased the likelihood that the rally can continue. A critical resistance point sits near $3.50 and will likely be tested before year-end. A move above $3.50 would confirm the technical reversal and set the stock up for a potential 2026 rally; if it fails, FOSL will likely remain range-bound until a more powerful catalyst emerges.

Analyst coverage could also act as a catalyst. Coverage is thin in 2025 — MarketBeat tracks only two analysts — but the existing data show some optimism. The consensus rating is a Hold (a split between a Sell and a Buy), and the Buy-side analyst projects roughly 65% upside. Increased coverage, driven by improving business conditions and a recovery in discretionary spending, could arrive later in 2026, though there is no guarantee of that timing.

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