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Monday’s Exclusive Content

Sandisk’s Swings Are Getting Bigger—Here’s How to Play Them 

Authored by Sam Quirke. Originally Published: 2/5/2026. 

Summary

• Shares of Sandisk have surged almost 150% since the start of January. At one point, it was up almost 1,800% over the past year. 
• This comes with increased volatility, however, as recent sessions have seen intraday swings of around 20%.
• With momentum still strong but technicals clearly overheated, February is about positioning, not chasing.

With its biggest intraday drop in months immediately followed by its biggest intraday gain, Sandisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) has entered a new phase of price action. The stock was already one of the standout winners of 2025, then added nearly 200% in the opening weeks of 2026. At one point, it was up about 1,800% since its spinoff from Western Digital.

But gains like that rarely move in a straight line.

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They tend to bring violent swings, quick shifts in investor confidence, and rapid sentiment changes — all of which have been on display in recent trading sessions.

For example, the Jan. 30 intraday drop of roughly 20% was followed by nearly a 25% gain the next trading day, a reminder that Sandisk now demands an iron stomach.

As we head into the rest of February, the question for investors is less about whether Sandisk has an attractive long-term story — it clearly does — and more about how to use this volatility to your advantage.

Why the Bull Case Is So Strong

Before getting tactical, it helps to understand why buyers aggressively step in on dips. Since spinning out of Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ: WDC) last year, Sandisk has become one of Wall Street’s favorite growth stories.

The appeal is straightforward: the company has broad exposure to artificial intelligence (AI), has recently delivered impressively high margins, and demand for its storage products is seen as less cyclical than much of the broader semiconductor sector. That combination is rare in today’s market.

Last week’s earnings report reinforced those themes. Revenue jumped more than 60% year-over-year, earnings beat expectations, and management raised fiscal third-quarter adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $12 to $14 versus prior forecasts near $5. That level of forward optimism helps explain why the Jan. 30 selloff was quickly absorbed and followed by fresh highs.

All of this suggests Sandisk should continue to attract buyers even if steep pullbacks occur. It’s the right company in the right place at the right time.

Why Volatility Is Likely to Remain

Even with compelling fundamentals, the technical picture almost guarantees more turbulence. Sandisk’s relative strength index (RSI) is now approaching 90 — a reading that signals extreme overbought conditions.

That doesn’t rule out further upside in 2026, but it does mean sharp pullbacks and waves of profit-taking — some lasting days or weeks — are likely. No stock, however strong the story, climbs in a straight line forever.

With earnings out of the way and near-term uncertainty reduced, the market appears to be repricing Sandisk’s long-term potential upward. The risk is that a sudden selloff, whether company- or market-driven, could gather momentum and spook investors who bought near recent highs, turning a routine dip into something more uncomfortable.

2 Ways to Play the Volatility Through February

One approach is patience: wait for a pullback and be ready to act decisively. Given the strength of the recent earnings report and the market’s tendency to buy weakness, dips can be opportunities rather than red flags. The danger is committing too much too early if a pullback deepens before stabilizing.

The second approach is to respect the momentum: build a smaller position into the current strength and plan to add on future dips, rather than trying to time a perfect entry. This suits investors comfortable holding through large swings who believe the stock will be materially higher a year from now despite near-term volatility.

Recent analyst commentary supports longer-term confidence. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated its bullish stance last week with an $800 price target, and UBS followed with a $1,000 target this week. With the stock still trading below $700, those targets imply meaningful upside even after the extraordinary rally — investors just have to be prepared to ride the lows with the highs.

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