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Saturday’s Bonus Story

How Does D-Wave Stack Up to Quantum Rivals After Earnings Season?

Written by Nathan Reiff. Published 11/17/2025. 

Key Points

• D-Wave Quantum shares have declined over the last month, despite a fairly strong earnings report.
• This is in line with recent declines among rivals such as IonQ and Rigetti Computing, all of which are struggling to achieve profitability.
• There are signs the niche quantum industry may continue to see a pullback, which would leave legacy tech companies like IBM with a crucial advantage as the technology needs time to mature and develop.

Shares of quantum computing firm D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS) appear to be cooling, despite a third-quarter earnings report that was strong on multiple fronts. The stock has plunged more than 38% in the last month, erasing the gains made since mid-September 2025. That pullback leaves D-Wave’s rally at “only” 146% year-to-date (YTD), though the company has still vastly outperformed most of the market in 2025.

One likely reason for investors’ disappointment after earnings, despite the firm doubling revenue year-over-year and hitting other key benchmarks, is a perception that D-Wave has not yet proven its quantum technology is essential for everyday users or broadly marketable.

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But is that a significant problem if others in the quantum computing space also face the same hurdles? Rivals like Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) and IonQ Inc. (NYSE: IONQ) have also seen their share prices crater in recent weeks.

Each of these firms may encounter additional challenges in the coming quarters. In the near term, industry-wide headwinds could pose a greater threat than competition among the companies themselves.

Comparing D-Wave and IonQ Post-Earnings

D-Wave’s revenue growth for the latest quarter, though meaningful, trailed that of its larger peer IonQ. IonQ’s sales more than tripled year-over-year, reaching almost $40 million—over an order of magnitude larger than D-Wave’s—and are accelerating faster. IonQ has also secured major contracts, including a partnership with Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and reported several technical milestones in recent months.

Several analysts upgraded IonQ after its earnings and optimistic guidance. Still, the company reported wider-than-expected losses per share and continues to face questions about its path to sustained profitability.

Sizing Up D-Wave Next to Rigetti

Rigetti’s third-quarter results were less encouraging than some peers’. One bright spot: losses per share were narrower than analysts expected. That was offset by year-over-year declines in revenue and gross margin, and operating losses widened. It’s no surprise Rigetti saw the sharpest stock decline of the three over the past month, with shares falling about 45%.

That said, investors shouldn’t dismiss Rigetti when evaluating quantum names. The company has an ambitious development roadmap that could deliver a 1,000+-qubit system and give it a material advantage by late 2027.

The firm’s balance sheet is also a strength, with cash and short-term investments totaling nearly $600 million at the end of the third quarter.

The Greater Concern: A Massive Industry-Wide Pullback

Investors comparing these niche quantum firms may prefer one over another depending on priorities—those focused on near-term revenue might favor IonQ, while those valuing financial flexibility could lean toward D-Wave.

But a larger worry is whether the quantum sector as a whole is priced for expectations the technology has not yet met. There is huge hype around quantum—fueled in part by share-price gains over the last year—but no company has clearly delivered affordable, easily marketable quantum products or services at scale.

Perhaps more immediately worrying for near-term stock performance is that none of these firms have convinced a broad base of customers that quantum technology can solve common business problems today.

As companies continue to refine the technology and identify viable commercial use cases, investors may lose patience and sellers could pressure stock prices, eroding recent rallies. That dynamic would benefit legacy technology firms with quantum initiatives—such as IBM Corp. (NYSE: IBM)—which are not dependent on quantum success to remain viable.

Such a pullback would also test the resolve of buy-and-hold investors in these emerging quantum names.

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