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Thursday’s Featured News

Lowe’s Stock Price Signals a Buying Opportunity After Q3 Release

Written by Thomas Hughes. Published 11/20/2025. 

Key Points

• Lowe’s outperformed its competitors and is well-positioned for a strong 2026.
• Cash flow sustains a healthy capital return, including dividends and buybacks.
• Analysts and institutional activity point to a robust rebound and potential for new highs in 2026.

Lowe’s (NYSE: LOW) reported mixed results and provided tepid guidance, but the report was enough to spark a price rebound and signal a buying opportunity for investors.

Although modest, the results and outlook largely confirm analysts’ expectations and highlight the company’s cash flow and capital-return strategy, which are supporting the stock.

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The takeaway: headwinds remain, yet this retail company is sustaining growth, preserving margins, and building investor value.

As a result, the stock is likely to revert to the high end of its current trading range and could set new highs in early to mid-2026.

Lowe’s Takes Share in Q3, Outperforms Competitor

Lowe’s delivered a solid Q3 despite macroeconomic headwinds and a milder 2025 hurricane season. The company reported $20.81 billion in revenue, up 3.2% — roughly 45 basis points ahead of competitor Home Depot — though slightly below consensus.

Growth was supported by a 0.4% comparable-sales increase (also ahead of Home Depot) and strength in services and the professional segment. Services grew by double digits, and the professional business is expected to accelerate from Q3’s solid levels following recent acquisitions.

Margin results were mixed but ultimately favorable. Lowe’s expanded gross margin but faced higher costs elsewhere. Still, adjusted EPS of $3.06 was up 5.6% — outperforming revenue growth — and came in 11 cents above MarketBeat’s reported consensus.

Importantly, cash flow remained sufficient to support the balance sheet and capital returns despite the recent acquisition, positioning the company well heading into 2026.

Guidance was similarly mixed: below consensus in some respects but reflecting management’s increased confidence and broadly tracking analysts’ forecasts, which eases concerns about near-term capital returns.

As of mid-November, the company’s dividend yield stands at an attractive 2.75% annually, supplemented by share buybacks that boost overall returns.

The company did not repurchase shares in Q3, allocating cash to the acquisition instead, but it has reduced share count by more than 1.0% year-to-date and is expected to resume buybacks in upcoming quarters.

Analysts Forecast Robust Rebound for Lowe’s Stock

Analysts’ views are mixed, reflecting a cautious stance, but the overall bias remains bullish. Recent price-target reductions fit the consensus outlook, which still implies about 20% upside from current support levels, and sentiment is rated Moderate Buy.

The Moderate Buy rating has been in place for more than a year and shows little sign of changing. The handful of updates issued immediately after the release suggest the mixed trend will persist, but they do not alter the broader outlook.

Analysts at CFRA highlighted the strategic value of recent acquisitions and the company’s improved exposure to professional business.

Institutional activity indicates investors are buying the November dip. Although institutional buying has slowed sequentially this year, the overall balance remained bullish each quarter, including the first half of Q4.

Q4-to-date activity is notable because it appears poised to accelerate and could gain further momentum now that results are public.

Lowe’s Stock Confirms Support at a Critical Level

Lowe’s stock jumped roughly 5% after the Q3 report, rebounding sharply from the prior day’s lows. The move confirms support at a critical technical level and suggests a high probability for continued recovery. If the rebound continues, LOW could retest record levels in early 2026.

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