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Today’s Bonus Article

3 Natural Gas Names to Watch as a Global Supply Shock Builds

Written by Chris Markoch. Date Posted: 3/21/2026. 

Key Points

• Global LNG supply disruptions, especially in Qatar, are tightening markets and could push natural gas prices higher in 2026.
• Vermilion Energy and EQT offer leveraged exposure to rising gas prices through European access and unhedged production strategies.
• The UNG ETF provides direct exposure to natural gas futures for investors looking to play the commodity itself.
• Special Report: Elon Musk’s Frightening Warning Forces Trump’s Hand (From American Hartford Gold)

Oil prices are sending shock waves through the market and giving energy stocks a much-needed boost. A similar, though different, story is unfolding with natural gas. The spot price of natural gas has fallen since the conflict with Iran began. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) points to milder-than-expected February weather that left more gas in storage. In addition, higher oil prices are prompting increased production in the Permian Basin, which yields more associated natural gas as a byproduct.

There are, however, geopolitical risks that could push natural gas prices higher even if the oil shock proves temporary. Much of this risk centers on the Strait of Hormuz: roughly 20% of liquefied natural gas (LNG) transits the strait, and a large share of that supply originates in Qatar.

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That creates a supply-demand imbalance. Qatar’s Ras Laffan plant has shut down operations — a move the country has not taken before — removing about 14% of the global monthly forecast offline. That reduction is not very noticeable in the United States, but Europe is feeling the impact: natural gas prices in Europe are up roughly 65%, the highest levels since March 2023.

The Questions Hanging Over the Market

Even if the conflict with Iran ends within the timeline suggested by the Trump administration, it will likely take weeks, not days, for Ras Laffan to restart. Can global supply make up the lost capacity, and how quickly?

The answer appears to be no — at least not at the scale or delivery speed needed. This disruption arrives at a time when demand for natural gas, and LNG in particular, is very high. The United States has added three new LNG facilities to help meet demand, including demand from hyperscalers (large cloud and data-center operators), but those additions won’t alleviate the short-term tightness.

All of this suggests that lower natural gas prices are the outlier. For investors, that may signal opportunity.

Vermilion Energy Offers Direct Access to Premium LNG Markets

Vermilion Energy (NYSE: VET) stock is reflecting current natural gas prices, but not necessarily the company’s longer-term positioning. VET has climbed more than 50% in 2026, putting it within about 20% of its consensus price target.

The move higher came despite a mixed earnings report in which the company beat on the bottom line but missed revenue by roughly $50 million.

Vermilion is the only Canadian exploration and production (upstream) company with direct, in-ground European natural gas production, which lets it sell gas into European markets without paying liquefaction, shipping, or regasification costs. That advantage will be important as the company seeks to expand its production in Germany.

A new well is expected to come online in the first half of 2026, and Vermilion already has an anchor buyer in Uniper, one of Germany’s largest energy utilities.

America’s Largest Gas Producer Is Betting Big on Price Upside

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) is the largest U.S. natural gas producer by volume. EQT shares are up about 18% in 2026 and trade within roughly 5% of the consensus price target.

Like Vermilion, EQT posted a mixed earnings report in March. Since early March, analysts have noted that EQT entered 2026 largely unhedged.

That’s a deliberate wager by management that natural gas prices will climb; by avoiding hedges they aim not to lock in prices that could leave money on the table. Since reintegrating its Equitrans Midstream operations in 2024, EQT’s breakeven price has fallen to about $2/MMBtu (one million British thermal units, the standard energy unit for natural gas).

At current prices the company is generating solid profits, and it stands to be more profitable if natural gas rallies further.

Investors Can Play Natural Gas Directly With This ETF

Both Vermilion and EQT are appealing picks if you expect higher natural gas prices. That said, some investors may prefer direct exposure to the commodity itself via the United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSEARCA: UNG).

The fund invests in a diversified basket of natural gas futures contracts. That structure helps explain why the ETF is down more than 40% over the past 12 months and roughly 1% in 2026: the U.S. market has remained relatively well supplied, even after an unusually cold winter.

UNG is up about 2% over the 30 days ending March 18, which may reflect institutional buying. While not heavily held by institutions overall, buying has outpaced selling in four of the last five months — a signal that larger investors may be positioning for higher natural gas prices.

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