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Additional Reading from MarketBeat
MongoDB Could Hit Record Highs—But You’ll Need to Move Fast
Submitted by Thomas Hughes. First Published: 12/18/2025.
At a Glance
- MongoDB emerged as a mission-critical component of AI infrastructure, enabling flexible data management and scalability.
- Analysts and institutional trends are robust, underpinning a bullish stock price outlook.
- Increasing competition makes execution essential for this strategic AI play.
After reporting Q3 fiscal year 2026 (FY2026) results on Dec. 1, MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) is seeing sentiment improve following pressure in Q1 and early Q2. MarketBeat’s data show analyst and institutional support swelling, driving an influx of capital that puts the stock on track for roughly 25% upside from mid-December price levels. That 25% projection is likely conservative as these trends continue to develop and upcoming earnings are expected to remain strong.
MongoDB emerged as a mission-critical component of AI infrastructure in 2025. Its “Not Only SQL” (NoSQL) database model — which stores document-like data rather than traditional rows and columns — provides the flexibility and performance needed for complex systems with many users, concurrent queries, or sharding, allowing them to scale. The MongoDB Atlas platform extends those capabilities by automating the deployment of MongoDB databases across cloud environments. Perfect for AI developmentand agentic applications.
Raymond James Sees a Large Opportunity in MongoDB
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The analyst trends for MongoDB are solid: coverage has expanded by about 60% over 12 months to 42 analysts, the consensus leans toward a Moderate Buy (with most recent ratings at Buy or better), and price targets have trended higher. The most recent update tracked by MarketBeat came from Raymond James, which initiated coverage at Market Perform while setting a Street-high target of $525. Raymond James views MongoDB as the most strategically important independent database provider and sees a large AI opportunity, though it warned that execution will be critical as competition intensifies.
Institutional activity is also supporting the rally. Institutional holders — who collectively own about 90% of the stock — sold heavily in Q1 of calendar 2025, shifted to net buying in Q2, and ramped up activity into the early part of Q4. The takeaway: institutions, money managers, and retail investors are accumulating the shares, which bodes well for future price gains. Short interest, while not extreme, has also declined steadily since mid-year, which adds to the upside potential.
As it stands, the consensus price target treats the stock as fairly valued in mid-December. That consensus is up nearly 20% from mid-year lows, and the high end points to $525 — roughly a 25% upside from mid-December levels and a level that would constitute a long-term high. Clearing that level would set up a run to retest record highs — about a 40% gain if reached.
Chart action mirrors the capital inflow. Monthly price patterns show steady buying since April 2025, and the market is approaching a critical resistance zone. The December resistance target is near $470, aligning with prior supply levels and serving as a potential pivot point. If MDB can clear and sustain a move above that level, technical projections suggest it could add roughly $170 to $300 over the following few quarters.
Q3 Results Reinforce MongoDB’s Position Heading into 2026
MongoDB’s fiscal Q3 2026 results were impressive and helped cement its outlook for calendar 2026. Revenue growth slowed slightly sequentially and year-over-year but remained strong at nearly 19%, beating consensus by more than 300 basis points.
Strength came from both new and existing customers, driven primarily by Atlas, which is expected to sustain healthy growth into the next year. Margin performance and profitability improved meaningfully as operating leverage increased within the high-margin business. Net earnings came in roughly 6,500 basis points better than expectations, and management issued guidance that appears conservative relative to the company’s current trajectory.
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