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Special Report

AMD’s Post-Earnings Dip Looks Like the Buying Window Bulls Wanted

Authored by Thomas Hughes. Posted: 2/4/2026. 

Key Takeaways

• AMD’s post-earnings dip reflects “whisper number” disappointment, not weak fundamentals, as results and guidance still topped consensus.
• The next major catalyst is Helios rack-scale and MI450 execution later this year, which could unlock the growth the market is waiting for.
• Analyst sentiment stayed constructive, and the stock appears to be consolidating above key support with meaningful upside if data center momentum re-accelerates.

Advanced Micro Devices’ (NASDAQ: AMD) share price dipped more than 5% following its Q4 2025 earnings report, creating what many see as a compelling buying opportunity after the company fell short of the highest analyst expectations. Although results beat consensus, whisper numbers had priced in gains that won’t arrive until later this year, which tempered sentiment. While MI450 and Helios rack-scale solutions were mentioned, details were understated relative to robust market expectations, leaving retail traders wanting more. 

Smart-money traders, represented by analysts, reacted differently. The first revisions tracked by MarketBeat include numerousreaffirmed ratings and price targets, along with a few price-target increases that look to the longer term. Those upgrades are premised on the planned launch of Helios’ rack-scale solutions in the back half of the current fiscal year, which analysts expect will accelerate growth. 

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CEO Lisa Su said the datacenter business could grow to “tens of billions” annually — a conservative estimate given demand trends and NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) results — positioning AMD for the potential of triple-digit revenue growth despite the company forecasting only high-double-digit growth for the near term. 

The catalyst that could push AMD shares higher is still ahead, and its potential to move the market increases as the year progresses. Most analysts’ targets place AMD between $280 and $300, implying roughly 40%–50% upside from current support and the possibility of a new all-time high. A breakout to new highs would be a bullish signal and could push shares toward the high end of the range near $380 — roughly a 100% gain from the support level.

Advanced Micro Devices’ Blowout Quarter and Guidance Drive Value

Advanced Micro Devices had a blowout quarter, withrevenue up nearly 34% to $10.3 billion — more than 650 basis points above expectations. The Datacenter segment led the gains with 39% growth, and all segments reported year-over-year increases. Embedded was the weakest area, growing at a low single-digit rate, but it should improve through the year. The Client & Gaming segment grew at a robust high-30% pace. Within Datacenter, strength came from both GPU and CPU sales.

Margin performance was particularly notable. Revenue leverage and operational execution drove operating income, net income, and free cash flow to record levels alongside revenue. Key figures included $1.53 in adjusted EPS, up about 40% year-over-year and roughly 1,500 basis points above forecasts, and free cash flow of $2.1 billion. 

Q1 2026 guidance is consistent with the strong Q4 results: it came in well above Street estimates but didn’t fully satisfy the market’s loftier expectations. The company expects a seasonally typical slowdown to about 32% year-over-year growth — roughly 420 basis points above consensus — with earnings tracking accordingly. The Helios and MI450 launches remain on track for the second half of the year, with production ramping by Q3. Early deliveries will focus on rack-scale business, including customers such as OpenAI and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL). 

Advanced Micro Devices Consolidates for Next Move

AMD’s price action has been volatile since Q3 2025, but the chart shows the stock consolidating above critical resistance that has turned into support, setting up for a potential next leg higher. That move will likely begin later in the year as MI450-related news accelerates; the main uncertainty is whether there will be a deeper pullback in the first half. Based on analyst coverage and institutional trends, a decline below critical support near $200 is not expected. 

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