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Further Reading from MarketBeat Media

2 Very Different Ways to Trade Tesla as January Earnings Approach

By Sam Quirke. Posted: 1/6/2026. 

At a Glance

• Tesla has entered the new year on the back foot, dropping more than 12% from its pre-Christmas all-time high. 
• Weakening momentum indicators are starting to clash with a still intact uptrend, leaving the stock at a critical decision point ahead of earnings later this month. 
• Investors face a clear choice between buying into a pre-earnings dip or waiting for the volatility to play out first.

Automotive giant Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)heads into its next earnings report at the end of January with momentum suddenly working against it. After finally hitting fresh all-time highs just before Christmas, the stock has since logged its longest run of red days in months and is now down more than 12%. For a name that spent much of last year grinding higher, this has been a jarring start to 2026.

Technically, the picture has deteriorated in the short term: the MACD registered a bearish crossover last week, and the relative strength index (RSI) sits in oversold territory. However, the longer-term uptrend remains intact — a rising support line that has been in place since before last summer is still holding, and breaking it would require a sustained escalation in selling pressure that has not yet materialized.

Winds of Change Starting to Blow

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While bulls can take some solace from that, recent news has not been encouraging. Headlines on Monday highlighted that Tesla’s China factory shipments fell for a second consecutive year, and concerns are growing about a broader slowdown in global EV demand.

Adding to the pressure, Chinese rival BYD Company Limited (OTCMKTS: BYDDY) was confirmed as the world’s largest seller of fully electric vehicles in 2025. Against that backdrop, traders are approaching earnings with far less confidence than they might have had a few weeks ago. All of this sets up two very different ways to trade Tesla from here — let’s take a look.

Option #1: Buy the Dip Ahead of Earnings

The first approach treats the recent selloff as an opportunity rather than a warning. Tesla rarely pulls back this sharply after making new highs, and when it does, long-term bulls often take notice. With the stock now more than 12% off its peak, much of the recent negativity may already be priced in.

The stock’s valuation, long a thorn in the bull case, has adjusted accordingly. The drop has pulled Tesla’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down meaningfully from recent extremes, easing one of the biggest objections bears raised during the rally. For investors who believe the long-term story remains intact, this dip offers a chance to build or add to a position at a discount ahead of a significant catalyst.

Analyst support reinforces the bullish case. This week New Street Research reiterated its Buy rating on Tesla and raised its price target to $600, implying roughly 40% upside from current levels. That kind of conviction, expressed after the pullback rather than before it, suggests the sell side views the weakness as temporary rather than structural.

Option #2: Wait for Confirmation After Earnings

The second approach is more cautious and requires patience. Tesla’s recent price action has been unsettling, and the combination of bearish momentum signals and negative headlines raises the risk that the pullback is not finished. A stock can remain oversold longer than expected, especially when sentiment begins to shift.

Waiting to see how the next few weeks play out should allow the market to answer two key questions: will buyers defend the rising support line that underpinned the rally since last summer, and can Tesla deliver an earnings report that restores confidence around demand, margins and execution in a more competitive EV landscape?

Tesla’s upcoming earnings are likely to trigger fresh volatility. A strong report would probably invalidate the recent technical weakness and restart the rally. A miss, however, or even merely in-line results, could invite further selling given how sensitive sentiment has become. For risk-averse investors, standing aside until these questions are answered may be the more comfortable choice.

Why Tesla’s Next Moves Matter More Than Usual

This is shaping up to be a more critical report than usual. The long-term trend remains intact, but short-term momentum is starting to crack.

Whether this proves to be a routine pullback or the start of a deeper correction will depend on how the stock behaves around support and how convincingly management addresses demand concerns later this month.

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