Editor’s Note: Imagine typing an 18-digit code into your brokerage account and walking away one week later with a $6,316 payday. Sounds like a fantasy, but that’s one of the ways Larry Benedict made over $274 million in profits at his top 1% hedge fund. And now he’s sending the codes to ordinary people. They’ve seen an 84%-win rate so far, and the next code could go out any day now. For details and access, click here or read on…

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Dear Reader,

“Punch this 18-digit code into an ordinary brokerage account,” Larry told me.

At first, I was unsure…

But Larry Benedict managed one of the top 100 hedge funds in the world, so I paid attention.

“If my calculations are correct,” he continued, “this code could put over $6,000 in your account in seven days.”

According to Larry, one simple trade could have returned over $6,316 in cold hard cash.

And it took just seven days.

It was that fast.

So what exactly are these codes… and why are they potentially so profitable?

He’s just released a new free video explainer.

Just click here to see the whole thing (including all of the evidence).

Regards,

Lauren Wingfield
Managing Editor, The Opportunistic Trader

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This Month’s Featured Content

The Lazy Way to Play NVIDIA’s $20B Groq Deal

Reported by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Publication Date: 12/30/2025.

What You Need to Know

• The shift from training to inference represents a permanent industrial evolution that solidifies the long term growth trajectory of the chip sector.
• Investors looking for maximum exposure to the industry leader can use concentrated funds to capitalize on the benefits of a winner-takes-most market.
• Diversified exchange traded funds offer a strategic way to capture the broader rally in memory and networking hardware without relying on a single company.

The financial world shook in late December 2025 when NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) announced a strategic move to lock down Groq’s assets and leadership in a deal valued at about $20 billion. For Wall Street, the transaction confirms the artificial intelligence (AI) boom is shifting from a speculative frenzy into a lasting industrial change.

Typically, a big acquisition sends a target’s stock price higher, rewarding early shareholders. In this case, that upside was closed off: Groq is private, so retail investors cannot buy its shares on public exchanges and cannot directly capture the immediate gains.

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The only liquid way to participate is through the acquirer, NVIDIA. But concentrating a portfolio in a single stock carries meaningful risk, especially with antitrust regulators in the United States and Europe scrutinizing the semiconductor sector. If regulators block or delay the deal, NVDA shares could fall sharply.

That dynamic creates an opportunity for semiconductor Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). ETFs provide a backdoor into the trade, letting investors capture sector upside without managing a single ticker. Not all ETFs are constructed the same, though — understanding differences between funds such as the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SMH) and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXX) is important when positioning portfolios for 2026.

The Winner Takes Most Strategy

To see why the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is the aggressive choice, start with the business case behind the merger.

For the past two years much of the market’s attention has been on training AI — the compute-heavy work of building models that power chatbots and analytics. The Groq deal signals a shift toward inference, the real-time use of those models to generate answers. Groq’s architecture is optimized for inference and can materially accelerate that workload.

By adding that capability, NVIDIA would deepen its advantage in the next phase of the AI cycle. SMH’s market-cap-weighted structure rewards dominance: the larger a company grows, the more influence it has on the ETF’s performance.

The Superweight Effect

As of late December 2025, NVIDIA represents roughly 16% of SMH — a meaningful concentration. For every $1,000 invested in SMH, about $160 is essentially a direct bet on NVIDIA and the success of the NVIDIA–Groq integration. That uncapped structure is a major reason SMH is up roughly 50% year-to-date: the fund lets the winner run rather than forcing sales to rebalance weightings.

The Manufacturing Bonus

SMH also benefits from exposure to the chip supply chain. Groq’s high-speed processors require advanced packaging and fabrication; the primary beneficiary of that demand is Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM), which makes up about 10% of SMH.

Together, NVIDIA and TSMC account for roughly 26% of the fund. For investors who believe the biggest players will keep getting bigger, SMH acts as a high-octane proxy for the AI hardware trade.

The Hedged Play: Broad Exposure for the Supercycle

While SMH leans into the leader, the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) takes a more hedged approach. The key structural difference is that SOXX uses a capped weighting scheme, limiting any single holding to about 8% of the portfolio at rebalance.

That constraint helps explain why SOXX has lagged SMH this year — returning roughly 42% year-to-date versus SMH’s approximate 50% gain. When NVIDIA rallies, SOXX must trim exposure to keep the stock near its cap, which limits short-term upside but also reduces downside risk.

The Memory Supercycle

The bull case for SOXX is that the AI rally broadens beyond one company in 2026. AI models require large amounts of High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), and supply tightness has created a pricing supercycle for memory vendors such as Micron (NASDAQ: MU). Because SOXX’s construction prevents any single name from dominating the fund, it gives more balanced exposure to these secondary winners.

Networking and Infrastructure

SOXX also has deeper exposure to Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), which supplies networking, switching and connectivity components important to AI data centers. If regulators block the NVIDIA–Groq deal and NVDA shares drop sharply, SOXX’s capped structure can act as a safety net: it cushions portfolios from a single-stock crash while still capturing a broader sector rally led by memory, networking and infrastructure names.

Choosing Your Strategy for 2026

Your choice between these funds comes down to risk tolerance and your view of the regulatory landscape in 2026. Recent market flows highlight where investors have placed their bets.

This year institutional flows favored the aggressive route: SMH saw net inflows of over $2 billion, while SOXX experienced net outflows near $4.5 billion. That divergence indicates many institutions were willing to accept higher concentration risk to chase the leaders’ performance.

Following the crowd can work — but it can also expose individual portfolios to outsized volatility. Use this simple framework to decide which fund fits your goals:

Scenario A: The Bullish Aggressor

• The Thesis: You believe NVIDIA will execute the Groq integration and that inference will be a winner-take-all market dominated by a single supplier.
• The Pick: SMH. Its uncapped structure maximizes the upside if NVIDIA continues to grow. You accept that if NVIDIA stumbles, your portfolio will feel the impact.

Scenario B: The Cautious Optimizer

• The Thesis: You expect the semiconductor sector to rise but worry about trade tensions, tariffs or antitrust actions that could hit the largest companies. You want exposure to the industrialization of AI rather than a single company bet.
• The Pick: SOXX. Its capped, diversified construction reduces single-name risk and tends to deliver a smoother ride across the sector’s winners.

Positioning for the Next Phase of Growth

The $20 billion NVIDIA–Groq deal is a strong signal that the semiconductor supercycle has further to run. The market is shifting from building AI models to deploying them at scale, and that transition will continue to drive demand across processors, memory, packaging and networking.

For many investors, the risk in 2026 will be having no exposure at all. Whether you prefer the concentrated aggression of SMH or the diversified safety of SOXX, the semiconductor sector remains a key component of a modern growth portfolio. Pick the ETF that matches your risk tolerance and you can participate in the next leg of the rally with a level of exposure that fits your plan.

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