Most people watch the stock market like a heartbeat monitor.

But the truth is, by the time the market “tells” you something, it’s already too late.

Every major crash in the last century had early warning signals that almost nobody was watching.

That’s why we created The Bellwether Signal:

A free report revealing the 7 key indicators that have predicted every major economic collapse since 1929.

Right now, all seven are flashing red simultaneously for the first time since 2007.

These aren’t the signals you’ll see on CNBC.

If you’re wondering how to protect your retirement, the answer may not be more stocks or more bonds.

It’s about moving a portion of your savings into hard, tangible assets like gold and silverthat have historically outperformed during every crisis.

Get the full story, and your free copy of The Bellwether Signal, while it’s still available.

Claim Your Free Report Now »

---

Further Reading from MarketBeat

Why Target Stock May Keep Falling Despite a 5% Dividend Yield 

Written by Thomas Hughes. Published 11/20/2025. 

Key Points

• Target’s core retail performance continues to weaken, with comps down and digital growth failing to offset in-store declines.
• Despite weak earnings and guidance, Target’s capital return program remains intact with a projected 5% dividend yield by late 2025.
• Analyst sentiment and institutional trends remain bearish, pointing to further downside risk for the stock.

Target (NYSE: TGT) is trading in deep-value territory, offering a projected 5% dividend yield in late 2025, but that alone may not justify buying the stock today. Near-term headwinds remain significant, and although there’s some potential for recovery in 2026, Target’s Q3 earnings release and guidance update showed declining store sales and only modest digital growth, signaling ongoing weakness into the new year.

Punch these codes into your ordinary brokerage account (Ad)

If your retirement strategy involves “picking the right stocks,” you’re one crash away from disaster…

A hedge fund legend who made $95 million in profits during a crash has a different way.

He’s using 18-digit codes to “skim” the market without buying stocks.

And his followers have seen an 84%-win rate.Click here to see how he does it

Target’s comparable sales fell nearly 4%, with weakness across most categories. Digital sales rose 2.4% year over year (YOY)—a figure that, while positive on its face, is far too modest to offset declining foot traffic at physical stores. That limited digital growth is insufficient without stronger brick-and-mortar performance to support overall business expansion.

Target Falls Short of Market Expectations

Relative to analyst forecasts, Target’s Q3 performance wasn’t disastrous.

Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.78 beat expectations by $0.07, but earnings were down 3.7% YOY—more than double the 1.5% revenue decline. Core performance, particularly in physical retail, weighed on results: comparable sales in that segment dropped 2.7%.

Management’s forward guidance further dampened sentiment. Executives expect sales contraction to continue, reaffirming a Q4 forecast of low single-digit revenue declines but lowering the adjusted earnings outlook by $0.50, roughly 6.3% below analyst consensus.

Target faces meaningful challenges and will likely struggle in the coming quarters. Management is pursuing a cautious holiday strategy focused on value pricing and new product assortments to regain market share, but competition from Walmart and off-price retailers remains intense.

Target’s Capital Return Remains Secure for 2026

The cash flow and balance sheet suggest Target’s capital returns should be sustainable through 2026. Q3 cash flow was negative primarily because of one-time capital expenditures that are not expected to weaken the company’s long-term financial position.

Cash and assets are stable while debt remains relatively low and manageable, providing room to support dividends and share repurchases.

Target’s dividend is expected to yield a historically high ~5% in late 2025, and the company is widely expected to continue annual increases. As a Dividend King, Target is unlikely to give up that status absent material pressure; however, future payout increases may remain in the low single-digit range.

Share buybacks have also contributed to shareholder returns, reducing the share count by about 1.4% in Q3 and 1.6% year-to-date.

Analyst Trends Are Pushing Target’s Stock Lower

The Q3 release is unlikely to reverse negative analyst momentum. Although the Wall Street consensus on TGT is a Hold and the average price target implies roughly 20% upside, analyst sentiment has been deteriorating and price targets have moved lower.

Recent price-target revisions—many issued in the days before the release—include several reductions that place TGT toward the low end of its range. If this trend continues, the stock could test new lows.

Institutional behavior is also turning cautious. Institutions own about 80% of the stock; they were net buyers in Q1–Q3 but reverted to selling in the first half of Q4. Without a near-term catalyst to attract renewed interest, this influential group may continue to trim positions and apply downward pressure to TGT’s share price.

Thank you for subscribing to DividendStocks.com‘s daily newsletter for dividend and income investors that covers ex-dividend stocks, new dividend declarations, dividend stock ideas, and the latest market news.

This email content is a paid sponsorship sent on behalf of American Alternative, a third-party advertiser of DividendStocks.com and MarketBeat. 

If you have questions or concerns about your newsletter, don’t hesitate to contact our South Dakota based support team at contact@marketbeat.com.

If you no longer wish to receive email from DividendStocks.com, you can unsubscribe.

© 2006-2025 MarketBeat Media, LLC. All rights reserved.
345 North Reid Place, Suite 620, Sioux Falls, South Dakota 57103. U.S.A..

Featured Link: Can you still profit from Trump’s tariff wars? (From Weiss Ratings)