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Just For You

Cisco Systems Below $82? Buy Now, It Won’t Last—$182 Is Coming

By Thomas Hughes. First Published: 2/13/2026. 

Summary

• Cisco is well-positioned to benefit from a multi-year tech refresh cycle.
• AI underpins the need for newer, faster, more efficient networking and connectivity solutions.
• Analysts and institutions support this market: dividends, distribution growth, and buybacks attract buy-and-hold investors.

It is a bold statement to say Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) stock will advance by $100 to $182, but there are forces at play and precedents that suggest just that. Cisco’s share price crossed a notable threshold in early February, rising above the $82 level to set a fresh all-time high.

The all-time high is noteworthy on its own; it is the stock’s first such high since the DotCom bubble burst, marking a meaningful pivot point for the company. Other large-cap tech names — including Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), and Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) — have crossed similar thresholds and later advanced by modest- to high-triple-digit amounts.

A Cyclical Upswing and Capital Return Underpin CSCO Price Action

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Cisco’s growth is being driven by an AI-led, multi-year tech refresh cycle. Existing data centers need modernization, new facilities are being built at an aggressive pace, and enterprise networking — which supports the Internet and the global economy — is expanding. The critical takeaway is that Cisco, as a leading provider, is well-entrenched in the marketplace and positioned to benefit from a tailwind expected to persist for many years.

While the roughly 20x earnings multiple at which the stock traded in mid-February is somewhat elevated relative to recent years, it likely understates the company’s strength. More important: at only about 14x the 2030 forecast, there is room for the stock to appreciate by at least 50% over the coming years if earnings grow faster than current forecasts.

Capital returns are also supporting Cisco’s stock price. Cisco has been a high-quality dividend-paying and share-repurchase company ahead of its Q2 release, offering a market-beating yield, reliable payouts, and a declining share count.

On dividends, the payout yields roughly 1.9% as of February and appears secure at about 40% of this year’s earnings guidance (the low end of the range).

The company has increased its dividend annually for 15 years and is likely to continue that trend. On buybacks, Q2 2026 activity helped reduce the share count by roughly 0.5% year-to-date, and buybacks are expected to continue at a similar pace through year-end. Current authorization would fund roughly 10 more quarters at the Q2 pace.

Analysts Applaud Cisco’s Q2 Results: Raise Targets, Lead Market

Cisco’s Q2 results were solid, and analysts responded positively. The company reported roughly 10% system-wide growth, revenue of $15.35 billion (about 150 basis points ahead of expectations), and strong earnings. Revenue growth was driven by product and services revenue, with product revenue up about 20%, supported by a 20% increase in networking.

All geographic regions showed strength, and margin news was favorable. Cisco’s increased focus on CapEx, innovation, and growth investments is weighing on free cash flow in the near term, but that is expected to be temporary. Adjusted earnings rose about 11%, outpacing estimates by roughly 195 basis points, and are expected to remain robust through year-end.

MarketBeat tracked several analyst updates immediately after the release, including multiple price-target raises and reaffirmations. The new targets sit at or above consensus, implying a minimum ~20% upside is possible.

A move to new highs could open the door to much larger gains, potentially matching the roughly $70 trading range that has dominated price action over the past 26 years.

That $70 range suggests a move toward the $150 level is possible over time.

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