RJ Hamster
March 26: Is Elon Musk finished?
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This Month’s Featured Content
Ulta Beauty and an Ultimate Entry: Price Resets After Profit Miss
By Thomas Hughes. Posted: 3/15/2026.
Key Points
- Ulta Beauty’s March price pullback is opening an ultimate opportunity as growth remains solid, just slightly weaker than expected.
- Institutional and analyst trends reveal solid support, limiting downside in 2026.
- International expansion is among the catalysts suggesting strength in the upcoming quarters.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a “wealthy man”
Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ: ULTA) is presenting an attractive entry point after reporting a softer-than-expected quarter. Key takeaways for investors include a high bar to meet, a slim earnings miss, ongoing growth, and recent price action — including a notable breakout and rally. Together, these factors point to a market reset rather than a reversal, suggesting a rebound is likely and the potential for gains remains meaningful.
A look at the monthly price action shows an extreme peak and convergence in the moving-average convergence-divergence (MACD), signaling a strengthening trend that could retest recent highs as a minimum target. The question for investors is how far the market will pull back and what will drive the recovery.
Elon’s Private AI Empire: The Backdoor Under $100 (Ad)
Elon Musk’s AI Everywhere project isn’t inside Tesla—it’s a private venture with a global network of 150+ facilities embedding autonomous AI into devices everywhere, and Musk believes this could propel Tesla to become the most valuable company ever, worth more than Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, and Google combined. Private ventures like this are usually locked for elites, but I’ve found a legitimate brokerage backdoor under $100 with no special requirements, just a regular account, and this private play follows the same playbook as PayPal, SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI using Tesla’s proven autonomous AI copy-pasted across the world.See the 3 steps to profit before the summer regulatory shift
Given the recent price action, a reversion to $550 is a reasonable near-term target. The stock broke out of a trading range in late 2025, rallied roughly 25% with little in the way of a corrective move, and has since delivered slightly weaker-than-expected results and cautious guidance. A bounce from the $550 area is likely, but it may take time for significant gains to materialize, so patience is required.
Technical and Fundamental Factors Suggest a Floor at $550
There are both technical and fundamental reasons to expect firm support around $550. Technically, the breakout from the prior range showed accumulation overpowering distribution, pushing price well above the prior consolidation zone.
On the fundamental side, institutional holders — which collectively own a substantial portion of the stock and have been net buyers across multiple quarters — provide a strong underpinning for the share price. Their continued accumulation creates a meaningful tailwind; nothing in the report suggests they will flip to sustained selling, and buying additional shares at lower prices would be consistent with their interests.
Analyst trends also support the thesis. Although the immediate post-release reaction was mixed — including one price-target reduction alongside several reaffirmations — the consensus view remains constructive, suggesting a Moderate Buy stance with a buy-side bias and conviction in the consensus estimates. MarketBeat’s consensus implied the stock was trading near fair value ahead of the release.
The post-release pullback is opening a buying opportunity, and downside appears limited based on analyst price targets. Short interest is marginally higher than average but still within historical ranges at roughly 5%, which also points to constrained downside risk.
Ulta Plunges on Mixed Quarter Despite Sales Strength
Ulta Beauty reported a solid fiscal Q4 even as it narrowly missed analysts’ bottom-line expectations. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $8.01, missing by $0.02 — a slim shortfall that does not undermine the company’s financial health, investment plans, or capital-return capacity. Revenue grew 11.5% to $3.89 billion, outpacing consensus by about 180 basis points.
The main weakness was modest margin compression year over year. Still, the overall takeaway is that the EPS miss was limited and, together with strong top-line performance, leaves Ulta positioned to continue driving earnings, cash flow, and shareholder value.
Guidance was mixed: the revenue outlook was above consensus while earnings guidance came in slightly below. Management forecasts roughly 6.5% revenue growth, and appears to be taking a conservative stance on profitability. Near-term headwinds — such as the end of Ulta’s partnership with Target (NYSE: TGT) — could weigh on results, but strength in the core retail market and loyal customers shifting to other channels should help offset those pressures.
The stock opened lower on the news, which may have established support near the key level. Ulta is likely to begin forming a base that could set the stage for a rebound in coming quarters if results outpace the cautious guidance. Potential catalysts include international expansion, the Ulta Beauty Unleashed strategy, and continued digital investment. Management plans to grow its presence in Mexico following an initial successful launch, while the Unleashed initiative is focused on optimizing shelf space, refining promotional activity, and leaning into the convergence of beauty and wellness.
This Week’s Exclusive Article
Avoid the Top-Heavy S&P 500 With Equal-Weight ETFs
Reported by Nathan Reiff. Date Posted: 3/14/2026.
Key Points
- Equal-weight ETFs may target the same basket of companies as popular funds focused on the S&P 500, Russell 1000, or other well-known indices, but with a unique approach to balancing portfolios.
- Equal-weight funds focused on the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ-100 have underperformed their plain vanilla rivals, while a similar fund targeting the Russell 1000 has dominated year-to-date.
- Funds of this type offer added exposure to some of the lesser-known or smaller names in these iconic indices, but they may do so at a somewhat higher price tag than traditional broad index-based ETFs.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a “wealthy man”
A small number of AI-focused tech stocksdominated in 2025, helping push the S&P 500 up more than 16% for the year but leaving investors potentially exposed to concentration risk. Concerns about an AI bubble—and the potentially devastating impact of a continued war in Iran and oil-market disruptions on the data-center space—may prompt investors to reassess how much exposure to tech they hold in broad-market investments.
One way to reduce an automatic overweighting of AI and tech is with exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that use an equal-weight strategy. By assigning similar weightings to each component of their target index, these funds reduce the impact of overconcentration and increase exposure to often-overlooked companies, particularly smaller-cap names. Below are funds worth considering for investors who prefer less concentrated exposure than market-cap-weighted ETFs typically provide.
Equal Weight Alternative to SPY With Higher Fees But Potential Protection
Elon’s Private AI Empire: The Backdoor Under $100 (Ad)
Elon Musk’s AI Everywhere project isn’t inside Tesla—it’s a private venture with a global network of 150+ facilities embedding autonomous AI into devices everywhere, and Musk believes this could propel Tesla to become the most valuable company ever, worth more than Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, and Google combined. Private ventures like this are usually locked for elites, but I’ve found a legitimate brokerage backdoor under $100 with no special requirements, just a regular account, and this private play follows the same playbook as PayPal, SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI using Tesla’s proven autonomous AI copy-pasted across the world.See the 3 steps to profit before the summer regulatory shift
The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (NYSEARCA: RSP) fell about 1% the week ending March 13—one of its weakest five-day stretches in months—yet it remains roughly 1% year-to-date (YTD), slightly ahead of the broader S&P 500 over the same period.
This may convince some investors that RSP’s approach has merit: it holds companies in the S&P 500 but caps any single position at approximately 0.5% of the portfolio.
RSP is a natural comparison to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA: SPY) and other low-cost S&P funds. Given the significant overlap with standard S&P funds, many investors will prefer one or the other rather than holding both. RSP’s equal-weight focus also means it carries a higher annual fee than many alternatives: its expense ratio is 0.20% versus SPY’s 0.09%.
Liquidity is generally stronger for large-cap S&P funds like SPY, which are among the most popular and heavily traded ETFs.
RSP’s appeal lies in its ability to help investors weather shocks to the largest S&P constituents. Its dividend yield of 1.6% is another advantage, slightly higher than SPY’s 1.1%.
A Growth and Quality Spin on the QQQ
The First Trust NASDAQ-100 Select Equal Weight ETF (NASDAQ: QQEW) applies a similar equal-weight idea to the NASDAQ-100 index, which is also accessible via ultra-popular funds like the Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ: QQQ).
Where QQQ gives full market-cap-weighted exposure to the NASDAQ-100, including its largest names, QQEW uses a different method: it ranks NASDAQ-100 stocks by growth and quality metrics—revenue, forward earnings-per-share estimates, and cash-flow growth—and selects the top 50, assigning them roughly equal weights.
QQEW has lagged QQQ so far in 2026, but investors wary of QQQ’s tech concentration may prefer QQEW’s broader approach within the NASDAQ-100.
Its emphasis on growth-oriented companies can appeal to long-term buy-and-hold investors. However, its expense ratio (0.55%) is more than three times that of QQQ.
An Equal-Weight Approach to the Russell 1000
Another variation on the equal-weight strategy is the Invesco Russell 1000 Equal Weight ETF (NYSEARCA: EQAL). For a 0.20% expense ratio, EQAL provides roughly equal-weight exposure to the 1,000 stocks in the Russell 1000 Index.
This approach tilts EQAL toward smaller names within the Russell and results in a more balanced sector weighting compared with the market-cap-weighted Russell 1000, which allocates about a third of its weight to tech and also overemphasizes financials.
EQAL can increase exposure to mid-cap names relative to cap-weighted Russell funds. With a YTD return near 5%, it has outperformed the Russell 1000 so far in 2026. Still, investors should weigh that performance against the fund’s higher fee relative to plain-vanilla Russell 1000 alternatives.
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Today’s Featured Link: Elon Musk already made me a “wealthy man” (From The Oxford Club)
