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KOOYF: A Fully Funded Silver Story in a Red-Hot…
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More Reading from MarketBeat
AppLovin Faces Money-Laundering Claims—Here’s What’s Missing
Reported by Leo Miller. Publication Date: 1/28/2026.
Article Highlights
- AppLovin has faced a series of short-seller reports over the past year, with CapitalWatch issuing the first such report of 2026.
- The company strongly denies CapitalWatch’s allegations that its business was used to facilitate money laundering.
- Despite the recent decline in shares, analysts see strong upside potential in APP.
For advertising technology stock AppLovin (NASDAQ: APP), short reports—critical research notes published by investors betting the stock will fall—have become a recurring theme. Critical reports from Fuzzy Panda Research and Culper Research were released early in 2025, sending AppLovin shares down more than 12% on Feb. 26, 2025. A month later, on Mar. 27, research firm Muddy Waters published another report, pushing the stock down over 20%.
Despite the flurry of allegations, markets and many Wall Street analysts largely shrugged off the concerns. AppLovin rose roughly 108% in 2025 as the company delivered several strong earnings reports. Price targets for the stock moved higher, with some now as elevated as $860 versus the roughly $450 range seen in early 2025.
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At the start of 2026 AppLovin faced another sell-off after a short report from CapitalWatch triggered an almost 6% decline on Jan. 21, though shares recovered some of those losses in subsequent sessions. Headline-driven short reports often move markets quickly regardless of their ultimate merit, and the initial reaction here has renewed questions about how investors should evaluate the claims and what context may be missing from the broader narrative.
Below, we break down what short sellers are alleging and provide an updated outlook on AppLovin.
CapitalWatch Claims APP Involvement in Money Laundering Scheme
CapitalWatch alleges that two of AppLovin’s largest shareholders are using the company’s business to launder money.
AppLovin serves as an auctioneer for buyers and sellers of advertising inventory, taking a fee for facilitating transactions.
Example: a company might pay $1,000 to advertise. After AppLovin takes a percentage—say 25%—the publisher supplying the ad space receives $750.
CapitalWatch contends that the two shareholders control a network of companies positioned on both sides of these transactions, with AppLovin acting as the intermediary. The report further alleges those entities are routing illicit funds through AppLovin’s platform.
AppLovin Categorically Denies CapitalWatch Claims
AppLovin responded to CapitalWatch’s report in emailed statements to multiple media outlets, calling the report “rife with false, misleading, and nonsensical allegations” and saying claims it facilitated money laundering are “patently false.” The company said the short-seller report misunderstands its business model and compliance practices, and it has sent CapitalWatch a cease-and-desist letter calling the assertions “conspiratorial.”
While CapitalWatch attempts to link AppLovin to a broader criminal network in Asia, the report does not present primary evidence to substantiate its most serious allegations. It did not include documents, contracts, invoices, or bank records showing funds moving between the allegedly illicit companies and AppLovin.
Investors should also recognize the incentive structure for some short-report authors. Firms that take short positions can profit if a damaging report triggers a market sell-off, which creates an inherent motive to publish negative research. AppLovin’s sharp drops after earlier short reports in 2025 demonstrate how effective this strategy can be at moving a stock in the near term.
Separately, Bloomberg reported in October of last year that the SEC is investigating AppLovin. The SEC has not publicly confirmed an investigation or alleged wrongdoing. That reporting focused on AppLovin’s data collection practices and potential breaches of agreements with app-store operators like Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), not on money laundering, and there have been no public enforcement actions tied to that matter since the initial report.
Analysts Eye Big Gains Despite Accusations Against APP
AppLovin faces meaningful regulatory, reputational, and legal risks. Still, short-seller reports have so far not produced confirmed regulatory action or sustained investor abandonment. Further developments in any regulatory inquiries and ongoing class-action litigation involving AppLovin will be important risk factors to monitor.
The stock reached a 52-week closing high near $734 on Dec. 22. As of the Jan. 27 close, shares traded around $544, a decline of roughly 26% from that high.
Wall Street analysts see material upside despite the pullback. Needham and Company set a $700 price target on Jan. 26, shortly after the CapitalWatch report. The consensus price target on AppLovin sits near $706, implying roughly 30% upside from the recent close.
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