Monday, March 23, 2026

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Don here…

Brandon Chapman just pulled up today’s block trade data, and institutions are placing massive bets on the Persian Gulf outcome. Both outcomes.

The BlockHunter console screened 1,780 option trades today and narrowed them down to 39 block trades of 1,000 contracts or more. The pattern tells you exactly how big money is positioning.

The VIX swung from nearly 20 to almost 31 in a single session. Oil prices hit 101, then cratered below 85 on headlines about potential Iran negotiations.

That kind of intraday whiplash creates opportunity. Brandon found institutions loading up on two distinct scenarios.

Scenario one: the Persian Gulf cools down, travel stocks rip higher. Scenario two: the conflict escalates, and defense and energy infrastructure plays take off.

Here are the biggest block trades Brandon flagged in tonight’s video:

• Carnival (CCL) saw 17,000 call contracts bought at or near the ask for the June 18th expiration at the $31 strike. That is not a retail trader. That is an institution making a directional bet on travel recovering by summer.
• Delta Airlines (DAL) had 7,250 calls bought in a single print at the $80 strike for June 18th. The stock has a long way to go, but lower oil prices and restored travel demand could fuel the move.
• Oneok (OKE) drew 4,500 calls at the $95 strike for April 17th. Oneok is a midstream LNG provider with marine export capabilities. Taiwan is down to just 11 days of LNG supply, and roughly 20% of global LNG is currently trapped in the Persian Gulf.
• Ondas Holdings (ONDS) missed earnings today and the stock still rallied 8%. Institutions bought $14 calls expiring April 2nd, and the console shows three squeeze bars indicating significant short interest.

Brandon’s takeaway is clear. Whether tensions ease or escalate, institutional money has already picked the names that benefit from each path.

Click here to watch Brandon break down every block trade and what institutions are positioning for

To your success,

Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE

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