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Gartner’s RSI Just Sank to 11: That’s a Setup You Can’t Ignore

Written by Sam Quirke. Published 8/14/2025.

Shares of Gartner Inc. (NYSE: IT) have plunged to just over $240, down from $340 barely two weeks ago. Although the stock began trending lower in February, few foresaw the magnitude of the recent swoon. Last week’s Q2 earnings release triggered a single-session 30% drop, accelerating the selloff to 60% below February highs and pushing shares to levels not seen since 2021.

At first glance, this looks like a textbook free fall—typically a red flag for investors. But a rare setup is forming here that could reward those willing to take a contrarian approach.

RSI Hits a Historic Low

Selling pressure was so intense that Gartner’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) plunged to 9 earlier this week, the lowest reading in the company’s 32-year history. For context, RSI is a momentum indicator that ranges from 0 to 100: readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions, while those below 30 indicate extreme oversold territory. It’s rare to dip under 20, and readings in the single digits are almost unheard of.

An RSI this low is like stretching an elastic band to its limit—it wants to snap back, and often does, violently. While it doesn’t guarantee an immediate turnaround, it’s one of the more reliable signals for a near-term bounce. For short-term traders, this setup can produce outsized gains in a compressed timeframe.

Early Signs of Buying

Some bargain hunters and short-covering traders already appear to be stepping in. Wednesday’s 5.8% gain pushed the RSI back above 20, though it remains firmly in oversold territory. If shares can clear $250—the level they opened at after last week’s earnings gap—it could trigger a potential short squeeze, forcing bearish traders to cover their positions and potentially accelerating the rally. In a stock this oversold, such a squeeze could be sharp.

Looking Past the Panic

While Q2 results topped Wall Street’s revenue and earnings estimates, weaker-than-expected full-year guidance rattled investors and gave bears ammunition. But there are important positives. The company’s average contract value grew 5% year-over-year, and management reaffirmed its share repurchase program—a bullish signal that leadership sees the stock as undervalued.

Gartner is also pursuing AI initiatives as a growth driver, positioning itself to benefit from one of the strongest secular trends in the market. Notably, major analysts remain bullish: Barclays reiterated its Buy rating post-earnings with a $320 price target, and Goldman Sachs maintained its Buy rating with a $457 target—implying nearly 90% potential upside.

The Case for Getting Involved

The near-term trade is straightforward: with RSI this low, downside risk may be limited while upside could be significant if sentiment shifts. A clean break above $250 could trigger the kind of rapid short covering that sends shares surging.

For longer-term investors, the decision is more nuanced. Gartner’s guidance cut reflects real challenges, and it may take time for confidence to rebuild. But if you believe the worst-case scenario is already priced in, the extreme selling has created a valuation disconnect—this could be a rare opportunity to build a position at a steep discount.