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Featured Article from MarketBeat.com

MongoDB Could Hit Record Highs—But You’ll Need to Move Fast

Reported by Thomas Hughes. Originally Published: 12/18/2025. 

Key Points

• MongoDB emerged as a mission-critical component of AI infrastructure, enabling flexible data management and scalability.
• Analysts and institutional trends are robust, underpinning a bullish stock price outlook.
• Increasing competition makes execution essential for this strategic AI play.

After reporting Q3 fiscal year 2026 (FY2026) results on Dec. 1, MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) has seen sentiment improve following weakness in Q1 and early Q2. Data tracked by MarketBeat shows analyst and institutional support swelling, driving an influx of capital that puts the stock on track for roughly 25% upside from mid-December levels. That 25% projection may be conservative as these trends continue to develop and upcoming earnings releases look poised to be strong.

MongoDB emerged as a mission-critical component of AI infrastructure in 2025. Its “Not Only SQL” (NoSQL) document-oriented database provides the flexibility and performance required by complex systems — for example, applications with many users, concurrent queries, or sharded architectures — allowing them to scale as needed. The MongoDB Atlas platform extends those services by automating the deployment of MongoDB databases across cloud environments — ideal for AI development and agentic applications.

Raymond James Highlights Humongous Opportunity in MongoDB

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The analyst trends for MongoDB are robust: coverage has increased about 60% over the past 12 months to 42 analysts; the consensus leans toward a Moderate Buy, with most new ratings at Buy or better; and price targets are trending higher. The most recent update tracked by MarketBeat came from Raymond James, which initiated coverage with a Market Perform rating and the Street-high price target of $525. Raymond James views MongoDB as the most strategically important independent database provider in the market. The company faces a huge opportunity in AI, but execution will be critical amid intensifying competition — without continued innovation, even leaders can be disrupted.

The institutional trends are also supporting the rally. Institutions, which hold roughly 90% of outstanding shares, sold aggressively in Q1 2025 but returned to buying in Q2 and increased activity into early Q4. The takeaway: institutions, money managers, and retail investors appear to be accumulating the stock, which sets up the potential for rapid price appreciation. Short interest — while not unusually high — has been falling steadily since mid-year, providing an additional tailwind.

As of mid-December, the consensus target implies the stock was close to fair value. However, consensus is up nearly 20% from mid-year lows, and the high end of analyst targets sits at $525 — roughly 25% above mid-December levels. That $525 level would represent a new long-term high and could set the stage for a run to retest the record highs, which would amount to about a 40% gain if reached.

Chart action reflects the influx of capital. Monthly price action shows steady buying since April 2025, with the stock approaching a key resistance area. The December resistance target is near $470, aligning with prior resistance levels and serving as a potential pivot point. If MDB can break above that level and sustain the move, technical projections suggest it could gain another $170 to $300 over the following few quarters.

MongoDB Results Prove Its Position for 2026 Is Secure

MongoDB’s fiscal Q3 2026 results were impressive and reinforced its positioning heading into calendar year 2026. Revenue growth decelerated sequentially and year over year, but remained strong — up nearly 19% and beating consensus by more than 300 basis points.

The strength was driven by both new and existing customers, underpinned by Atlas’ expansion, which is expected to remain healthy into the coming year. Margins and profitability also improved materially as leverage increased in the higher-margin parts of the business. Net results exceeded expectations by roughly 6,500 basis points, and management’s guidance looks conservative enough that actual results may beat it.

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