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2 Reasons to Load Up on Fiserv, 1 to Stay Away
Reported by Sam Quirke. Publication Date: 11/28/2025.
What You Need to Know
- Fiserv has been sold unmercifully since March, but is starting to show signs of a rebound.
- A recent MACD crossover and record-low RSI readings point to a shift in momentum to the bulls.
- Add in the fact that some analysts see more than 50% upside, and we could be looking at the mother of all comeback stories.
Fiserv Inc. (NASDAQ: FISV) has endured one of the year’s harshest selloffs among large-cap stocks. FISV, which was trading around $240 a few months ago, was trading at $60 the morning before Thanksgiving — down roughly 50% in the past month alone. Yet beneath the wreckage, there are signs the tide may be turning.
After months of relentless selling, several momentum indicators have flipped to positive territory.
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The stock’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates extreme oversold conditions, while its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) recently recorded a bullish crossover.
Taken together, these signals suggest sellers could be tiring and the stage may be set for a rebound.
For investors who favor contrarian setups, this looks like a textbook opportunity.
Here are two reasons to load up on FISV, and one reason to stay away.
Reason #1 to Load Up: The Technical Reversal Setup
Two technical indicators imply selling pressure may be exhausted. The MACD tracks momentum by comparing two moving averages; a bullish crossover occurs when the shorter-term average rises above the longer-term one. Fiserv’s MACD delivered such a crossover recently.
Fiserv’s RSI supports this view. Readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions; readings below 20 suggest capitulation. Fiserv’s RSI fell as low as 13in recent weeks and now stands around 18. The stock is showing signs of stabilizing: buyers have been snapping up shares near $60 since last week, and if shares can hold above that level into December, it would signal that the worst of the selling may be over.
Reason #2 to Load Up: Fundamentals Support a Recovery
Fiserv’s fundamentals also support a potential recovery. Despite the selloff, the company continues to report near‑record quarterly revenue and reasonable margins.
The company remains profitable, cash‑generative, and well‑capitalized. Its price‑to‑earnings (P/E) ratio is about 9 — the lowest in decades — which creates a compelling risk/reward profile.
For context, Fiserv shares trade at levels last seen in 2017, even though revenue, product breadth, and profitability are near multi‑year highs.
Analysts at Susquehanna recently reiterated their Buy rating and a $99 target, implying more than 50% upside from current levels. For investors seeking a holiday bargain, this may be an attractive entry point.
A Reason to Stay Away: Some Still Urge Caution
That said, sentiment remains fragile. Analysts at Weiss Ratings and Jefferies have cautioned recently that while Fiserv’s valuation looks attractive, the company faces a challenge in restoring investor confidence.
That is the core risk. A single MACD crossover does not guarantee a sustained rally, even when the RSI rebounds from extreme lows. Cheap stocks can remain cheap while sentiment is damaged, and it can take several quarters of consistent, positive results to repair perception.
A Compelling Risk-Reward Setup
Despite those caveats, the risk‑reward profile appears skewed to the upside. Technical exhaustion, deep value, and stabilizing fundamentals rarely line up so neatly. If you avoided getting caught in this brutal selloff and you have a higher tolerance for risk, there is a lot to like about Fiserv right now.
In the short term, $60 remains the key level to watch. Continued consolidation above it would help confirm that the worst of the selling pressure has passed. The real test is whether management can rebuild trust quickly enough to turn momentum into conviction. If they can, the bears may have owned 2025 — but the bulls could very well own 2026.
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