RJ Hamster
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Further Reading from MarketBeat Media
Authored by Leo Miller. Originally Published: 1/23/2026.
Entertainment giant Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) just reported its much-anticipated Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results. The stock closed down approximately 3% on Jan. 21 in reaction, the latest sign of souring sentiment around the once-favored name.
Since hitting an all-time split-adjusted high near $134 on June 30, 2025, the stock has been on a steep downward trajectory. (Note that Netflix performed a ten-for-one stock split in November, moving its share price from well over $1,100 to the $110 range.) Overall, shares are down roughly 37% from their mid-2025 peak.
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The company has given investors plenty to ponder. With growth expected to moderate and uncertainty surrounding its Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD) acquisition, many market participants have turned cautious. The stock now trades at its lowest forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in over two years.
Given the circumstances, should investors exercise caution around Netflix, or is this an opportunity to capitalize on the stock’s steep decline?
In its latest quarter, Netflix posted solid results, but only narrowly beat Wall Street forecasts.
Sales came in at $12.05 billion, an increase of 18%, slightly above estimates of $11.97 billion. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.56, a split-adjusted increase of more than 30% and $0.01 above consensus.
For 2026, Netflix guided to full-year sales of $51.2 billion at the midpoint, implying growth of about 13% — a notable deceleration from the roughly 16% full-year growth rate recorded in 2025. The company also expects to generate approximately $11 billion in free cash flow (FCF), or about 16% growth.
If FCF grows near or modestly above this rate over the long term, it could help justify the stock’s current valuation. However, as streaming becomes more competitive and less novel, maintaining strong organic growth will be challenging.
Accordingly, the company’s planned acquisition of Warner Bros. will play a major role in Netflix’s trajectory as it seeks to convert new assets into higher revenue and profits.
Netflix is pitching the Warner Bros. deal as a growth accelerant. During the earnings call, CEO Ted Sarandos said, “We’re working really hard to close the acquisition of Warner Bros. Studios and HBO, which we see as a strategic accelerant.”
Last quarter, these WBD segments generated about $5.28 billion in revenue and $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA. The acquisition could materially boost Netflix’s EBITDA, which averaged roughly $3.4 billion over the last four quarters. Integrating WBD’s content and production capabilities could also lift engagement and subscriber growth, supporting stronger long-term performance.
But Netflix is paying a high price: the deal is valued at $82.7 billion, and the company recently converted its offer to an all-cash transaction. That increases the financial strain, since WBD shareholders won’t receive Netflix stock. Netflix also said it would suspend share buybacks to help finance the acquisition — removing a meaningful EPS tailwind after repurchasing nearly $9.2 billion of stock in 2025.
Perhaps the biggest question is whether the deal will close. It appears likely to face significant antitrust scrutiny, and regulatory approval is far from certain. There’s also a real chance that Paramount Skydance (NASDAQ: PSKY) increases its bid above the current $30 per share, which could derail Netflix’s attempt to acquire WBD.
The consensus price target on Netflix currently sits near $121, implying substantial upside.
Many analysts updated their targets on Jan. 21 after the earnings release; the price targets published that day averaged about $117, still implying strong upside of roughly 38%.
Despite these optimistic targets, the market remains wary — likely because of the acquisition uncertainty and questions about future growth. While near-term risks are real, the stock could be too cheap to ignore.
Netflix’s forward P/E of roughly 27x is the lowest since October 2023, suggesting the shares are trading at a relative discount.
If Netflix can successfully close and integrate WBD, the long-term benefits could be material, tilting the outlook for shares to the upside. For now, investors must weigh the sizable potential rewards against meaningful regulatory and execution risks.
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Further Reading from MarketBeat Media
Authored by Dan Schmidt. Date Posted: 1/28/2026.
A year into the second Trump administration, the market conversation has centered on tariffs—threats of higher levies on Canada and Mexico, new tariffs aimed at Europe and Asia, and even proposals for worldwide “reciprocal” tariffs have repeatedly rattled markets.
This year began with another round of European tariff threats after Denmark rebuffed an offer to purchase Greenland, and as of late January, South Korea faces 25% tariffs for not approving the 15% tariffs put in place by last year’s trade deal. Everyone caught up now?
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While many tariff threats amount to saber-rattling, the hostility has pushed U.S. trading partners to insulate themselves from unpredictable import tax policies. India and China have been particularlyaggressive in filling the void left by the United States, and comments from U.S. and European officials at last week’s Davos summit indicate this icy relationship isn’t thawing soon. Meanwhile, European stocks continue to outpace U.S. shares, and the gap has widened over the past three months as the S&P 500 has advanced less than 1.5%.
The “Sell America” trade is likely overblown, but international diversification has been a growing trend for several years. With gold and silver reaching new highs, it’s clear investors are spreading capital across borders and asset classes. Recent moves by BlackRock and Vanguard to reallocate funds internationally reinforce this trend and push investors toward global diversification. The best-performing international stocks in 2026 will likely be those with wide moats that can withstand U.S. tariffs.
Europe’s tariff reprieve could be short-lived, especially as the bloc seeks new agreements with other trading partners. One of the best ways to avoid future unpredictability is to invest in European companies that generate revenue outside the United States or in firms that provide products and services likely to be exempt from import taxes.
Below are three stocks available to U.S. investors that fit that bill. (Note: these stocks trade over the counter as American Depositary Receipts, or ADRs. Understand the differences between ADRs and traditional shares before buying.)
One of 2025’s biggest winners was German defense contractor Rheinmetall AG (OTCMKTS: RNMBY), up nearly 200% over the last 12 months and roughly 1,800% over five years. We covered Rheinmetall’s breakout last year as the Ukraine war intensified and Germany removed the debt brake that had limited defense spending.
Now that the United States has threatened sovereignty over Greenland, European defense budgets will likely prioritize domestic contractors over U.S. firms like Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), benefiting companies such as Rheinmetall.
The stock is approaching a key inflection point as the share price nears the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which served as strong support for most of 2025. Despite some technical volatility, fundamental tailwinds leave Rheinmetall well-positioned to deliver strong gains in 2026.
Telecommunications and utility stocks are often viewed as safe havens, and BT Group plc (OTCMKTS: BTGOF) provides mobile and broadband services across the U.K. Unlike many European telecoms, BT’s revenue comes almost entirely from domestic customers, and it exports virtually no products or services to the United States. Consistent revenue, a healthy dividend (about a 4.2% yield), and insulation from trade-war disruption make BT an attractive option; shares are up more than 35% over the past 12 months.
Technicals suggest the share price is consolidating as the 50-day and 200-day SMAs converge. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is turning bullish, implying short-term upside potential.
Sometimes a slow burn produces the best results. You wouldn’t keep watching Severance if they explained every mystery in the first episode; similarly, undervalued international stocks can sit in the bargain bin for years before finally moving higher.
Veolia Environnement SA (OTCMKTS: VEOEY) fits that profile. The firm manages water and waste treatment—critical local services that cannot be easily exported or imported. Veolia’s contracts are typically long-term and indexed to inflation, providing steady income that’s resilient to trade-war shocks. The company also yields about 2.9% and trades at roughly 8 times forward earnings.
After a year of essentially flat trading, Veolia looks poised for a technical breakout in 2026. A bullish wedge pattern—characterized by lower highs and higher lows—has formed on the daily chart. This continuation pattern often precedes the next upward wave of momentum. Veolia is nearing a tipping point in that wedge, and if the pattern confirms, the next leg higher could arrive soon.
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February 07, 2026 
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Saturday’s Exclusive Article
Reported by Leo Miller. Published: 1/27/2026.
Interactive Brokers (NASDAQ: IBKR), Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU), and AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) are three notable stocks that recently saw large insider trades. Micron’s purchase is a clear bullish signal for one of 2025’s best-performing stocks. However, while IBKR and AZO insiders are selling, the implications for each company differ.
Interactive Brokers is a major player in brokerage, with a market capitalization above $130 billion. The stock performed very well in 2025, delivering a total return of nearly 46%. The company posted 19% growth for the full year and saw its pretax margin reach a record high of 77%. Trading volumes were strong, and IBKR added over 1 million net new accounts — another record.
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Despite the strong 2025 results, Vice Chairman Earl Nemser is now selling. On Jan. 22 and Jan. 23, Nemser sold roughly $19 million of IBKR shares. These sales were not made under a predetermined 10b5-1 plan, so they were discretionary — typically viewed as a bearish signal. He sold at an average price near $77, slightly above the stock’s Jan. 26 closing price.
That said, insider sales don’t always reflect a lack of confidence in the business. Nemser may simply be raising cash for personal reasons rather than signaling a negative view of IBKR’s prospects.
After a stellar 2025, U.S. semiconductor giantMicron Technology registered another notable insider trade. Micron shares skyrocketed about 240% last year as demand for memory chips used in AI systems surged, creating tight supply conditions. In 2026, shares are already up another 36% as investors continue to bet on pricing power for memory-chip makers.
Insiders are participating, too. On Jan. 13 and Jan. 14, Director Liu Teyin purchased approximately 23,200 Micron shares for roughly $7.8 million. Insider purchases are generally interpreted as bullish: they indicate confidence in the company’s future. Note, though, that shares are already about 15% above Liu’s purchase price, trading near $337.
At the same time, Micron Executive Vice President Manish Bhatia sold more than 26,600 Micron shareson Jan. 22, totaling about $10.4 million. Those sales were not under a 10b5-1 plan and occurred at an average price near $391, close to Micron’s Jan. 26 close of roughly $389. Bhatia’s sales temper some of the bullish signal from Liu’s purchase.
AutoZone returned roughly 6% in 2025. Revenue growth has been uneven over the past four quarters, ranging from under 1% to 8%, and the company’s adjusted operating margin last quarter was about 17% — more than a 350-basis-point decline from the year-ago period. Still, the stock has started 2026 strongly, rising almost 12%.
Amid that rebound, Senior Vice President Richard Smith executed a sale. His Jan. 16 transaction amounts to more than $11 million and was not part of a 10b5-1 plan, which at first glance might look bearish.
A closer look at Smith’s Form 4 filing clarifies the situation. Smith exercised options with a strike price near $745 and sold the resulting 3,190 shares at about $3,500 per share, realizing the spread. Because these shares came from option exercises that are part of his compensation, the sale is not necessarily a negative signal — it more likely represents converting compensation into cash.
The clearest signal among these transactions is the bullish one from Micron’s insider purchase, though investors should weigh the caveats noted above. The MarketBeat consensus price target for Micron is near $347, which implies roughly 11% downside from current levels. However, analyst targets continue to rise: several firms now have $500 targets on MU, implying nearly 29% upside.
Insider trades provide useful color, but they are best considered alongside company fundamentals, analyst views and your own investment horizon.
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Today’s editorial pick for you
Posted On Jan 28, 2026 by Joshua Enomoto
Mastercard (NYSE:MA) stock isn’t what you call a favorably mispriced options opportunity. If we’re being completely honest with each other, It’s structurally inefficient — and unfavorably so from the perspective of the debit-side retail trader. Because of the uncertainties clouding the card payment and financial services provider (at least in relation to the broader economy), exposure to Mastercard shares is hedged.
I love sports analogies because they help simplify complex subjects. If we think of the options market in football terms, MA stock has extra blockers on the strong side of the formation. Subsequently, the defense recognizes this formation and also has defenders plugging potential holes in the strong side. Therefore, if a run does materialize in that direction, no one is going to be caught by surprise.
To be clear, the presence of extra defenders on the strong side does not mean the play won’t be successful; it’s just that it won’t be a free-flowing contrarian swing. Instead, the ball carrier is going to have to generate some “tough” yards. That’s the opportunity we have available in MA stock.
Specifically, the hedging makes Mastercard stock expensive in volatility terms. Probabilistically, I still believe there’s upside to be extracted and I’ll share the reasons why.
From a narrative perspective, Mastercard’s fourth-quarter earnings report could provide a positive surprise, helping to enliven sentiment. Since the start of the year, MA stock has been down nearly 9%. Investors have had to digest plenty of jitters regarding the broader economy, from elevated prices (inflation) to the higher-level concerns associated with the Trump administration’s tariffs.
Still, nothing can boot up the economic blue screen of death quite like a positive earnings report from an economic bellwether. Here, the track record should help in the confidence department.
For the Jan. 29 disclosure, Wall Street analysts are looking for earnings per share of $4.22 on revenue of $8.76 billion. In the year-ago quarter, the financial services giant posted EPS of 3.82 on revenue of $7.49 billion, beating out the consensus view of $3.69 and $7.38 billion, respectively. More importantly, going back to January 2021, Mastercard has never failed to beat on both the top and bottom lines.
That’s not to say that the trend can’t be broken. However, it’s important to keep in mind that, despite the poor technical performance, the fundamental print has been impressive.
Where Mastercard gets a little tricky is in the volatility skew. This screener showcases implied volatility (IV) or the target security’s expected kinetic outlook across the strike price spectrum for a specific expiration date.
In the case of the Feb. 20 expiration date, IV for put options is mostly priced higher throughout the entire dispersion relative to call IV. This dynamic tells us two things. First, the far out-the-money (OTM) puts appear to imply downside insurance. Second, the deep in-the-money (ITM) puts suggest a mechanical synthetic short position, possibly to protect actual long exposure to MA stock.
However, call IV also curves upward toward the upper price boundaries, possibly inferring a dampened long exposure. Either way, what’s clear about Mastercard stock is that the smart money is directionally agnostic. They have the optionality to enjoy upside if it materializes but they’re also hedged to the hilt if the corrective cycle continues.
What does that mean for debit-side traders? Basically, both bullish and bearish convexity are expensive due to the elevated IV. In other words, traders are paying for insurance against downside and upside risk. Even so, the ultimate move in the near term may be to the positive end of the spectrum.
According to the Black-Scholes-derived expected move calculator, MA stock would be projected to land between $494.88 and $546.86 for the Feb. 20 options chain. This swing represents a 4.99% high-low spread from the current spot price.
Without getting bogged down by the math, Black-Scholes answers where a security may symmetrically land one standard deviation away from the spot price (when accounting for volatility and days to expiration). In other words, in 68% of cases, MA stock should range between approximately $495 and $547 at the end of Feb. 20.
While the above dispersion is insightful because it provides the parameters of the battlefield, it’s not very instructive in terms of likely outcomes. We have a list of possibilities rather than a list of probabilities. That distinction matters from a debit-side perspective because we must pay for the right to speculate on forward outcomes yet to materialize.
Therefore, if we covered every inch of a wide dispersion, we would risk running out of money. Instead, like a search-and-rescue team, we need to narrow our focus radius. We can do that through a second-order analysis via the Markov property.
Under Markov, the future state of a system depends solely on the current state. That’s a fancy way of saying that forward probabilities should not be independently calculated but rather assessed taking into account context. To use a simple football analogy, a 20-yard field goal is an easy chip shot. Add snow, wind and playoff pressure and these odds may change dramatically.
For MA stock, the current context is that in the trailing 10 weeks, the security printed only four up weeks, leading to an overall downward slope. Under this 4-6-D sequence, the forward 10-week returns should range between $510 and $565, with probability density peaking around $543.
What’s fascinating is that there’s not much material change expected in terms of median probability densities over the next five weeks. Therefore, the area around the $540 price point may be a statistical sweet spot for the bulls to take aim at.
While there are several ways to express bullishness for MA stock, the one idea that stood out to me was the 547.50/550.00 bull call spread expiring Feb. 20. This wager is quite aggressive, requiring MA stock to rise through the second-leg strike ($550) at expiration to trigger the maximum payout of 138%. The breakeven price is also elevated at $548.55.
So, why bother with this trade? First, the $550 strike price is within the realistic range of the 4-6-D sequence’s forward distribution. I’m straight-up betting that a positive earnings print can help rejuvenate sentiment more robustly than usual. Second, it’s one of the nominally cheapest spreads available.
Sure, there are more probabilistically sensible call spreads that you can buy. However, because of the hedging dynamics that I shared earlier, you’ll notice that the net debits are typically very expensive, starting from around the $400 to $500 range.
With the aforementioned spread, you’re looking at a net debit of $105 for the chance to earn $145. In my opinion, that’s a much more sensible risk-reward profile.
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