Elon Leaves DOGE? Here’s What’s Next…

This Trading Expert Says More Chaos Is Coming… but He Knows How to Profit

There are four months of the year when we have efficient markets.

That’s during earnings season, when companies release their quarterly results to the public.

The other eight months of the year are what I call “mean reversion.”

That’s when markets consolidate, and selling pressure is created by big institutions and easily panicked individual investors.

During this period, it’s not about company fundamentals, but about the headlines that can cause short-term manic reactions from traders.

Following NVIDIA Corporation’s (NVDA) blowout results last week, earnings season is now largely over. That means we’re now in one of those periods of mean reversion. So, you can expect the market to knee-jerk react to headlines and trigger more volatility.

We saw a perfect example of this recently, as a very public disagreement emerged between President Trump and Elon Musk over the congressional spending bill. Today, that rift grew into a chasm when President Trump threatened to slash government contracts and subsidies that would harm Musk’s businesses, including Tesla, Inc.(TSLA).

As a result, the stock is down roughly 15% today.

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But there is some good news… the volatility can provide great opportunities for profits.

Nobody knows this better than my colleague Jeff Clark.

You see, Jeff has made a career out of navigating (and profiting from) volatile markets. He’s accurately predicted every major volatility spike this century: the 2007-’08 global financial crisis, the COVID crash and the 2022 bear market.

Each time, he’s helped readers trade that volatility successfully. In fact, he’s racked up more than 1,000 winning trades during volatile times – and it’s all thanks to his “chaos pattern” strategy.

In January, when investors were enthusiastically embracing the inauguration of President Trump, he warned his followers to prepare for a bout of extreme volatility.

He was right, of course. The day after President Trump announced his “Liberation Day” reciprocal tariffs on April 2, the S&P 500 fell 4.8%, the Dow lost 4% and the tech-heavy NASDAQ declined almost 6%. All told, it was the single worst trading day since 2020.

More impressive than Jeff’s prediction is that he backed up his talk by playing that volatility into 19 winning trades, including several triple-digit wins.

I sat down with Jeff to learn more about his “chaos pattern” strategy and talk about what he sees happening next in the market. Specifically, why he expects more volatility, and why the culprit behind the chaos will be the bond market.

Now, you can click here or the play button below to learn all about it.

While I firmly believe that the U.S. is an oasis in a world full of chaos and that more market gains are ahead, that doesn’t mean the market won’t be volatile.

When a seasoned pro like Jeff believes that the stock market could be heading for more trouble in the coming weeks and months, we should think about all the implications.

But the good news is he has 10 specific opportunities that to help investors thrive during all this chaos.

That’s why next Wednesday, June 11, at 10 a.m. ET, he’s going to share the details of those 10 trade setups. He’s also going to dig into the details of how his powerful new stock screener finds “chaos patterns” every day.

This is a free event for you to attend, so I strongly suggest you make some time to hear what Jeff has to say. You can register here right now.

Sincerely,

The Editor hereby discloses that as of the date of this email, the Editor, directly or indirectly, owns the following securities that are the subject of the commentary, analysis, opinions, advice, or recommendations in, or which are otherwise mentioned in, the essay set forth below:

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

Rare earth minerals are at the heart of trade discussions… why they’re so important… are rate cuts coming or not?… why learning to trade volatility is critical

This morning, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping held a 90-minute phone call to discuss trade.

From Trump on Truth Social:

I just concluded a very good phone call with President Xi, of China, discussing some of the intricacies of our recently made, and agreed to, Trade Deal.

[It] resulted in a very positive conclusion for both Countries.

In the President’s post, he highlighted the key stumbling block in trade negotiations…

Rare earth elements (REEs).

According to reports in recent days, both sides have been ready to roll back much of their respective retaliatory levies, but the sticking point is rare earth elements.

In short, China has them… the West desperately needs them… and unless something changes, we’re about to feel the economic sting of their absence.

Back to Trump on Truth Social:

There should no longer be any questions respecting the complexity of Rare Earth products.

Let’s back up to make sure we’re all on the same page…

Rare earth elements (or minerals) are a group of 17 elements that can be difficult to find and extract

These elements contain unique magnetic, heat-resistant, and phosphorescent properties that make them critical for, well, the next generation of just about everything:

• Consumer products: They’re needed for all your favorite tech-products such as smart phones, computers, electric vehicles, LED lights, flat screen TVs, you name it…
• Tomorrow’s AI advancements: AI relies on powerful hardware components like GPUs and ASICs, which use rare earth elements like neodymium for magnets in cooling systems and motors, and gadolinium for heat resistance…
• National defense: REEs are critical for wide range of defense applications, including aircraft, submarines, missiles, and radar/sonar systems. You’ll find them in everything from magnets that power electric motors and actuators in fighter jets, to lasers, to guidance systems in missiles…
• Quantum computing: REEs such as ytterbium and europium are being used to create more stable and efficient qubits, the fundamental units of quantum information.

Basically, no REEs, no technology.

The U.S. is in a bind because China controls 90% of the world’s refining capacity.

And, no, we can’t just flip a switch and begin producing REEs. Any legitimate domestic production (at scale) would need at least five, possibly ten years to get up and running.

But by then, the race to AGI, humanoids, and possibly quantum computing supremacy, will have been decided.

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China’s slow-walk on REE restrictions spurred President Trump’s lash-out from last week

In last Friday’s Digest, we covered how President Trump was angry at alleged Chinese violations of trade agreements. Here’s what he wrote on Truth Social:

The bad news is that China, perhaps not surprisingly to some, HAS TOTALLY VIOLATED ITS AGREEMENT WITH US.

So much for being Mr. NICE GUY!

At the time, the source of this violation was unclear, but we can now point to REEs.

Here’s The Wall Street Journal (it’s referencing rare earth “magnets” because the focus of the article is on their use in the auto industry):

China was supposed to have eased export controls on rare-earth magnets as part of a 90-day tariff truce agreement with the White House, but the country has slow walked license approvals for magnets.

Trump accused China of violating its deal with the U.S.

China has pushed back at the notion that it was to blame, alleging “discriminatory and restrictive measures” by Washington, including restricting exports of AI chips and revoking visas for Chinese students.

Unless trade talks are successful, the global auto industry is about to feel the consequences of the REE squeeze.

From Reuters:

Alarm over China’s stranglehold on critical minerals grew on Tuesday as global automakers joined their U.S. counterparts to complain that restrictions by China on exports of rare earth alloys, mixtures and magnets could cause production delays and outages without a quick solution.

German automakers became the latest to warn that China’s export restrictions threaten to shut down production and rattle their local economies, following a similar complaint from an Indian EV maker last week.

Auto sector troubles could be just a preview of what’s to come for other sector supply chains.

Bottom line: the world’s economic neck is exposed here. We must negotiate loosened restrictions on REEs or else we risk dangerous escalation.

We’ll dig into this potential escalation in greater detail in a coming Digest.

For now, if you want to invest in REEs, you have a handful of Western options. In this December Digest, we highlighted a few. Here’s how they’ve performed since as I write Thursday:

• Las Vegas-based Mp Materials Corp (MP): +9%
• Texas Mineral Resources Corp (TMRC): +94%
• Canadian-based Ucore Rare Metals (UURAF): +65%

To be sure, these stocks are volatile. Plus, recognize the binary bet you’re making…

If trade negotiations are successful, these stocks will likely pull back sharply. But if negotiations drag on – or fail – these players have moonshot potential.

We’ll keep you updated here.

Does the economy need rate cuts or not?

Earlier this week, we received conflicting data on the jobs market, raising questions about the Fed’s rate-cutting policy.

We’ll start with Tuesday’s JOLTS report.

Here’s The Wall Street Journal:

US job openings unexpectedly rose in April in a fairly broad advance and hiring picked up, indicating demand for workers remains healthy despite heightened economic uncertainty…

The rise in job openings, along with steady hiring and low unemployment, support the Federal Reserve’s assertion that the job market is in a good place…

So far, [labor market weakness] hasn’t shown up in the data yet, supporting the Fed’s posture to keep interest rates steady for now.

But then yesterday, the ADP jobs report showed that private payrolls increased just 37,000 in May, miles beneath the forecast for 110,000.

Here’s CNBC:

Private sector job creation slowed to a near standstill in May, hitting its lowest level in more than two years as signs emerged of a weakening labor market, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday…

“After a strong start to the year, hiring is losing momentum,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist for ADP.

So, which economy are we looking at?

One that’s “in a good place” that doesn’t need rate cuts? Or one that’s “losing momentum” with “signs [of] weakening” that desperately needs the Fed to come to the rescue?

This morning might have brought a tiebreaker…

The jobs placement group Challenger, Gray & Christmas released its May jobs report, titled:

May 2025 Job Cuts Up 47% Over Same Month Last Year; Cuts Spread to Other Sectors Than Gov’t for Other Reasons Than DOGE

Here’s Senior Vice President Andrew Challenger with the quick sum-up:

Tariffs, funding cuts, consumer spending, and overall economic pessimism are putting intense pressure on companies’ workforces.

Companies are spending less, slowing hiring, and sending layoff notices.

Digging into the data, through May, employers have announced 696,309 job cuts. That’s an 80% jump from the amount announced at the same time last year.

Futures traders are upping their bets on more rate cuts

Over the last two days, traders have assessed the incoming data and increased their bets on more cuts.

Traders now put the heaviest odds on two quarter-point cuts this year. Those odds clock in at almost 39%, ahead of the second-heaviest 31% probability of three quarter-point cuts.

I don’t think there’s any confusion about what President Trump wants…

From Trump on Truth Social yesterday:

ADP NUMBER OUT!!! ‘Too Late’ Powell must now LOWER THE RATE.

He is unbelievable!!! Europe has lowered NINE TIMES!”

Tomorrow brings the most significant labor market report that the Fed will be watching to navigate this complexity – the May jobs report.

Forecasters predict a slower pace of job growth yet a stable unemployment rate.

If the numbers surprise in either direction, the report could have market-moving potential.

How to profit if the market moves south

In yesterday’s Digest, we profiled analysis from master trader Jeff Clark. He believes we’re on the edge of bear market, with a potential bottom around 4,150 on the S&P this fall – after which, we’ll have a “generational buying opportunity.”

But even if Jeff is wrong, his strategy is still working in today’s “up” market.

Here he is explaining how you can be wrong and yet profitable with his trading style:

May was a great month for the stock market. But I was bearish.

I may have been wrong, but my readers still made 129% in a month. That’s because the stock market rallies are different this year than they have been in the past.

There’s lots of intraday volatility, lots of back-and-forth action, and lots of ways to trade profitably, no matter the overall direction.

I recommended four separate put option recommendations on the S&P 500 to my subscribers during the month of May. And, despite the broad stock market notching its best May gain in since 1990, we were profitable on all four trades.

The cumulative return was 129%, and the average time in the trades was just five days.

These weren’t one-off wins.

Since April 2 Liberation Day, Jeff has closed 25 trades:

• 19 winners
• 15 for double-digit gains
• 3 for triple-digit gains

We’d all be wise to learn how to trade volatility

Candidly, you may not have the time or mental bandwidth to trade volatility. Life gets busy, and for many, a buy-and-hold approach is simply more realistic.

If that’s you, make sure you’re holding high-conviction stocks – and that you have the stomach for a potential 30% drawdown, which Jeff sees as a real possibility.

But if you’re willing to sharpen your trading skills, volatile or bear markets become less of a threat and more of an opportunity.

By trading as markets decline, you can generate profits that you later reinvest into your long-term positions at the bottom – when prices are deeply discounted.

Yes, your long positions will still reflect the downturn after the selloff. But if you’ve been booking trading gains along the way, you’ll have fresh capital to deploy into your best ideas – at fire-sale prices.

If you haven’t been trading, you’re simply riding the rollercoaster with nothing to show for it but the ride down.

The best part about it is that Jeff’s trading strategy is simple and reliable.

Here’s Jeff:

Basically, we just wait until a stock or an index gets stretched too far in one direction or the other. Then we bet on the proverbial rubber-band snapping back. We look to buy stocks that are deeply oversold, and we look to sell/short stocks that have pushed too far into overbought territory.

Then, we exit the trades when conditions return to neutral.

This strategy paid off quite well during President Trump’s first term in office. It has been paying off again since the President has returned. And, I suspect it will continue to work well for the next 3.5 years – at least – no matter what the stock market does.

Next Wednesday June 11 at 10 a.m. ET, Jeff will get into more details. To reserve your seat, just click here.

We’ll keep you updated on all these stories here in the Digest.

Have a good evening,

Jeff Remsburg