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Friday’s Exclusive News

Why 2026 Could Be the Year Archer Aviation Finds Its Lift

Written by Nathan Reiff. Originally Published: 1/3/2026. 

In Brief

• Archer Aviation shares fell by about 18% in 2025 after substantial price turbulence throughout the year.
• As technological and regulatory progress continues, Archer could be poised to achieve its first big revenue breakthroughs in 2026.
• A boost from the White House’s special eVTOL program may come as early as the middle of the year, potentially supercharging Archer’s operations in the United States.

Futuristic air taxi maker Archer Aviation Inc. (NYSE: ACHR), known for its electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, was battered throughout 2025. The company’s share price zigzagged for several months but finished the year down nearly 18% as Archer and other developers in the emerging eVTOL space await FAA approval for this class of aircraft.

2026 may provide the impetus Archer needs to regain sustainable appreciation. The company is exploring new revenue streams, has a balance sheet that should provide flexibility while it waits for commercialization opportunities, and—perhaps most importantly—is making tangible progress toward a new model of short-distance travel. Analysts are broadly bullish: two-thirds of firms rating the stock call it a Buy, and Wall Street sees nearly 54% upside to ACHR’s price. Below, we look more closely at what might prompt Archer to achieve lift-off this year.

A Bullish View of Archer’s Revenue Potential, Cash Position, and Technological Developments

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A key consideration for Archer is whether it can build toward profitability while awaiting the approvals required for commercialization. The company’s push into additional revenue streams is supportive of that goal. Its plan to acquire Los Angeles’ Hawthorne Airport for about $126 million could serve as a strategic hub and test site — and, importantly, could immediately boost cash flow thanks to ongoing airport operations. The company is also expanding its technology-licensing efforts, which began with a partnership with defense start-up Anduril Industries in late 2024 to develop hybrid VTOL military aircraft, and should continue to generate funding.

Despite a net loss of $130 million in the last quarter and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $116 million, there are reasons to expect Archer’s financials to improve in 2026. The company could begin posting revenue from Middle East launch agreements as early as the first quarter. It ended 2025 with more than $2 billion in liquidity, providing runway for several quarters, and it will likely seek additional capital going forward to bolster that position.

Crucially, 2026 could also be a year of continued technological advancement. Archer is conducting test flights in Dubai and is ramping up early-stage production. It is preparing to launch air taxi trials across the United States as part of the White House’s eVTOL Integration Pilot Program (eIPP). Investors should watch for FAA announcements about the eIPP selections, likely to be released in early to mid-2026, which could move the stock.

This multi-pronged strategy — combining domestic and international efforts, licensing, and airport operations — could position Archer as a leading eVTOL company as the industry expands. Some analyst estimates forecast the market could reach as much as $1 trillion by 2040.

Caution Is Still Warranted

That said, Archer remains a speculative investment while the eVTOL industry awaits full regulatory approval. The company has made notable progress with the FAA, already receiving certain approvals, but additional certifications remain in development as of early 2026. Archer has also built inroads in other markets through partnerships in Saudi Arabia and Japan. However, its long-term success hinges on launching commercial air taxis in the United States, and there is no guarantee of timing or outcome. Meanwhile, stock offerings to fund the Hawthorne purchase and other investments have the potential to dilute existing shareholders.

All of this suggests that while Archer holds significant potential to reshape short-distance travel, it remains a risky play. Investors comfortable with that risk may find the recent pullback in the share price an attractive entry point at the start of the year.

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