RJ Hamster
VoteRiders — Donate via AB Charities
VoteRiders — Donate via AB Charities
— Read on secure.actblue.com/donate/2512-q4-vr
RJ Hamster
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WEISSGIVING Reminder: Offer Ends Tomorrow Night
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$4,200 gold is nice … but here’s what most…
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Dear Reader,
Gold recently broke past $4,200.
Gold bugs are out celebrating. And they should be.
But our gold expert Sean Brodrick saw this coming a long time ago.
He’s actually excited about something else that could do much, MUCH better.
You see, every time gold has a big run, one type of stock goes absolutely crazy.
For instance, when this happened in the 2000s, gold rose 454%.
But some stocks saw gains like 5,090%, 7,746%, 9,850% and more.
In fact, our team identified 98 different stocks that delivered gains of at least 1,000%.
The most important part?
Now, Sean thinks we’re in the early stages of the biggest bull market in gold yet.
He’s actually found five companies that he believes could deliver explosive gains.
But the window won’t stay open long …
Because when gold moves this fast, these stocks have moved even faster.
Click here to discover Sean’s five top picks to benefit from this gold surge
Eliza Lasky
Weiss Advocate
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Is “Feeling Rich” Propping Up the Economy?
The wealth effect that’s driving our K-shaped economy… have we slipped into a new economic model?… why earnings are more important than ever… how to invest in light of this delicate system
Before we jump in, a heads-up that we’ll be taking off tomorrow, New Year’s Eve, and Thursday, New Year’s Day, here in the Digest. We’ll return on Friday, January 2. Now, today’s Digest…
This piece from November examines the wealth-effect dynamic at the heart of today’s K-shaped economy and asks: Have asset prices begun playing a larger role in sustaining consumer spending than wage income?
This topic has increasingly dominated mainstream coverage as we approach 2026, raising important questions about market fragility, earnings sensitivity, and who is actually driving consumption. It’s a timely, structural lens on an economy where prosperity isn’t evenly shared.
Have a good evening,
Jeff Remsburg
What if the economy wasn’t being lifted by paychecks anymore – but instead, by brokerage statements?
On Sunday, The Wall Street Journal ran a piece highlighting the “haves” versus “have-nots” split in our economy that co-Digest writer Luis Hernandez and I regularly spotlight.
The article noted that the “wealth effect” is behind so much of today’s spending from Americans with assets.
From the WSJ:
Investors’ rosy feelings about having a lot more money—at least on paper—are powering spending on restaurant meals, business-class airline tickets, home improvement and more, keeping the broader economy humming…
The phenomenon of people spending more when assets they own go up in value is known as the “wealth effect.”
Meanwhile, in the lower spoke of the “K” of this K-shaped economy, Americans without assets face high retail prices and paychecks that aren’t keeping up with inflation. The result is that sentiment has sunk to near its lowest reading on record, according to the latest University of Michigan survey.
Is the wealth effect changing the traditional relationship between the economy, the investment markets, and the labor force?
What if it’s no longer the economy that’s making people rich, but instead, “feeling rich” is critical for a robust economy?
If there’s anything to this idea, there are significant implications for this bull market, our social cohesion, and your portfolio.
Recommended Link
“Forget rare earths — Washington is about to buy a whole NEW group of stocks…”
Insiders in Washington have already bought massive stakes in three tiny resource firms, driving them up as much 200% overnight. But according to an official national security plan put together by Pentagon insiders, this buying spree could soon accelerate in a dramatic and surprising way — involving a whole new group of stocks. Here’s everything you need to know.
Why the wealth effect is today’s new growth engine
Historically, we’ve understood the market as a general mirror of the economy.
When businesses hired more workers, paid better wages, and saw rising productivity, those fundamentals translated into stronger corporate earnings, which in turn pushed stocks higher.
In that world, a strong labor market was the foundation of everything.
But as we’ve highlighted over the last few months, AI is breaking the link between employees and profits. We’re entering a new era where a company can grow earnings without growing payroll.
Yesterday’s model: Healthy job market → higher wages → more spending → stronger earnings → rising stock prices.
Today’s “wealth effect” model: Rising stock prices → wealth effect spending → resilient GDP → “healthy” economy…
From a “yesterday’s model” perspective, today’s job market isn’t all that healthy. While we’re not seeing massive layoffs yet, they’re rising fast. At best, we have what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell calls a “low hire, low fire” market.
Meanwhile, if you do have a job, wages aren’t keeping pace with inflation, and Americans’ wallets are hurting.
Yesterday, a new Bank of America report found that 29% of lower-income households are living paycheck to paycheck. That’s up from 28.6% last year and 27.1% in 2023. Bank of America blamed the increase on slowing wage growth.
Turning to the “wealth effect” model, evidence suggests that Upper-K consumers are feeling stronger than ever, exhibiting a greater influence on our economy than in recent decades.
Here’s Oxford Economics, a global economic advisory firm, from last month:
Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, significant gains in net wealth have driven almost a third of the increase in consumer spending.
Despite an unfavorable backdrop, consumer spending will grow at a decent pace this year, largely thanks to the stock market rally that started in April…
Wealth effects have strengthened over the past 15 years, with stocks becoming a bigger driver of consumption than housing.
Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Analytics, reports that the top 10% of wealthiest Americans accounted for 49% of consumer spending at the end of Q2.
Think about that: just one out of 10 Americans wields the same economic power as the other nine combined.
This K-shaped economy helps explain one of the puzzles of our time – why median Americans feel squeezed while the overall economic data looks healthy.
The first issue with this new model – a closed-system economy
If the economy increasingly runs on spending by asset owners, then Americans without meaningful assets become less integral to the growth story. And that creates a new risk–exclusion.
To what extent are we slipping toward what you might call a “closed-system economy?” One where the loop circulates among the Upper-K cohort – and largely bypasses half the country, who don’t own stocks or significant assets?
When prosperity bypasses giant swaths of the population, political and social consequences often follow. History tells us that if the situation becomes dire enough, we can expect rising disenfranchisement, frustration, and eventually, pushback.
The election of democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani to mayor in New York City (which we profiled in this Digest) may be a tiny signal of that broader shift.
The next big problem with this new model – chicken or egg?
If spending is primarily dependent on asset wealth, and asset wealth depends on market performance, we’ve entered what I’ll call a Reflexive Economy – a system that feeds on its own success – maybe even if that success hasn’t materialized…or can slip away.
In my October 10thDigest, I highlighted an example of this “betting on the come” – the partnership between Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and OpenAI (disclosure: I own AMD).
On the surface, it was a blockbuster: OpenAI committed to buying tens of billions of dollars’ worth of AMD’s AI-focused chips. AMD gets massive new revenue, OpenAI gets diversified computing power – win-win.
But as our macro investing expert Eric Fry of Fry’s Investment Report and his lead analyst Tom Yeung explained, the deal’s structure raises eyebrows.
Instead of writing AMD a $60 billion IOU for the chips, OpenAI persuaded AMD to issue 160 million stock warrants – essentially options to buy AMD shares – for a penny each. Those warrants become valuable only if AMD’s stock price rises to certain key levels.
So, notice the reflexivity:
- OpenAI’s ability to pay for AMD’s chips depends, in part, on AMD’s stock price rising enough to make those warrants valuable.
- AMD’s stock price rising depends, in part, on optimism about the OpenAI deal and the future revenues from OpenAI.
And what’s the common ingredient for both AMD and OpenAI?
Confidence.
Confidence that OpenAI will pay… confidence that AMD’s stock will rise.
In the same way that the wealth effect is based on confidence that unrealized wealth won’t disappear (so let’s keep spending!), this kind of circular deal is based on confidence that both parties will live up to their end of the bargain.
Neither is guaranteed.
And this means one thing…
Today, tangible earnings are more important than ever
Earlier this week in his Innovation Investor Daily Notes, our hypergrowth expert Luke Lango explained why nervous tech investors should be watching earnings, not pricy valuations:
If we look back at the Dot Com Boom…we can see that rich valuations didn’t pop the bubble.
The S&P 500 traded >20X forward earnings throughout essentially all of 1998, 1999, and 2000 – yet…it wasn’t until EPS estimates started to fall, in the second-half of 2000, that the Dot Com Boom turned into the Dot Com Bust…
Big picture readthrough: If you’re looking for a top, follow earnings, not valuations.
Luke’s point is critical.
Today’s lofty valuations reflect the “wealth effect” powering this Reflexive Economy. And earnings are the bridge connecting these inflated assets to real-world spending.
Now, yes, valuations are high. But today’s earnings are real and strong – and that’s keeping today’s new wealth effect model at least partially grounded in reality. At a minimum, it means the inflation bubble doesn’t have to pop.
But when earnings fall, watch out.
Here’s how that loop looks:
- Wall Street will have to reprice lower earnings into its PE ratios, causing stock prices to fall.
- Wealthy Americans who have been propping up the economy due to the wealth effect will see lower portfolio values and spend less.
- Reduced spending hits earnings again, and nails sentiment (the PE ratio multiple) even harder as some upper-K Americans realize their “wealth” was only on paper.
- Lower-income Americans can’t come to the rescue – they’ve been shut out of this closed system for a while, growing increasingly disillusioned.
- Earnings and sentiment continue spiraling downward as the wealth effect goes in reverse.
Bottom line: Luke is right – valuations aren’t the trigger we need to be watching. They can stretch. But when lower earnings result in kneecapped confidence, that’s when the fragility of today’s new model will become apparent.
The good news is…
We’re nearing the end of Q3 earnings season, and we’ve seen strong earnings numbers. As importantly, forecasts remain solid.
Here’s FactSet, the go-to earnings data analytics group used by the pros:
- For Q4 2025, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 7.5% and revenue growth of 7.1%.
- For Q1 2026, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 11.8% and revenue growth of 7.7%.
- For Q2 2026, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 12.7% and revenue growth of 6.8%.
If these figures play out, the Wall Street party will continue. But recognize the reality…
If Lower-K Americans play less of a role in today’s economy… and if the wealth effect is playing an outsized role… then the moment earnings roll over, the feedback loop unwinds – painfully.
That’s why investors today can’t afford to treat this as theory. This feedback loop runs straight through your portfolio.
So, what’s the action step?
We play smarter offense and defense.
For defense, let’s return to Eric. He’s urging investors to take profits on potentially overextended names, such as Amazon, Tesla, and even Nvidia (disclosure: I own AMZN). They’re great companies, but not necessarily great investments at today’s prices.
He also just told subscribers to lock in a 106.7% gain on AMD after analyzing its complicated OpenAI deal – Eric is adamant about owning only certain AI plays today.
To help investors navigate what to sell – and where to reinvest profits – he recently released a “Sell This, Buy That” research package. It lays out which AI (and non-AI) plays still have the earnings strength to thrive in this Reflexive Economy.
Inside, he spotlights three under-the-radar stocks he believes are “Buys” – companies with the real cash flow and growth potential to protect and multiply your money as this late-stage bull evolves.
You can see all three tickers – free of charge – in Eric’s special broadcast.
For offense, look to veteran trader Jonathan Rose
A former professional trader who’s trained more than 100 pros, Jonathan now helps everyday investors trade the same setups used on Wall Street.
He focuses on short-term momentum and disciplined risk control, and his results speak for themselves. Here are just a handful of his recent trade returns and the hold periods:
- 209% in 13 days – LYFT
- 275% in 25 days – ETHA
- 700% in 15 days – MP
- 227% in 49 days – Unity
- 534% in 3 days – MP
Last month, Jonathan – joined by Eric, Luke, and Louis Navellier – held his Profit Surge Event. They discussed today’s most lucrative investment trends and how they’re playing them.
While Eric, Luke, and Louis tend to focus more on medium- or longer-term holds, Jonathan zeroes in on the short-term “surge points” that occur inside those same trends. Look again at the list above to get a sense for how quick these trades can be.
For more information on exactly how Jonathan trades at his Advanced Noticeservice, click here.
Wrapping up
Are we in a new model today? One where prosperity flows less from paychecks and more from portfolios?
If so, we need to recognize that the wealth effect works in reverse, too, which makes this bull more fragile than we might want.
To be clear, we’re still riding it – but we’re increasingly watching earnings. If/when they go, we don’t want to be around for what comes next.
We’ll keep tracking this here in the Digest.
Have a good evening,
Jeff Remsburg
RJ Hamster
ICE Data Shows 70% of Illegal Immigrants Arrested in…
Of course the media will ignore this!
— Read on americanjournaldaily.com/ice-illegals-criminals/
RJ Hamster
That’s a Wrap – Sharper Image
That’s a Wrap – Sharper Image
— Read on sharperimage.com/collections/thats-a-wrap
RJ Hamster
Walmart Has a Higher PE Than Apple
Don here…
Walmart trades at a 39 PE ratio. Apple trades lower. Costco sits at 46. These are grocery stores and big box retailers priced like tech companies.
Nothing anybody says in financial media has any relevance to why things move anymore. Zero. I listened to analysts this week promoting the financial sector. They couldn’t give me a single fundamental reason.
In today’s free session replay, you’ll discover:
- Why order flow is the only thing that matters now. SLV traded 400,000 option contracts by mid-morning. That’s billions in notional value. China taking physical delivery of silver is a drop in the bucket compared to what moves through options markets every hour.
- The debt rollover crisis nobody wants to discuss. Five-year paper issued during COVID at 1% now refinances at 3.6%. The yield curve is flat across every duration. There’s nowhere to hide. That’s why the administration wants rates at zero.
- What the forward VIX tells you that the index doesn’t. VIX shows 14. The 49-day futures trade at 18.40. The options market already knows volatility is going higher. Buying VIX products at current levels means you’re paying for a move that’s already priced in.
- Why JP Morgan is up 35% since April with no fundamental change. From down 15% year-to-date to up 35%. Rate cuts don’t help banks. Consumer debt problems don’t help banks. This is pure order flow and year-end positioning.
The financial markets are not what most of us grew up with. The classical representation was that markets provided price discovery. I don’t believe that anymore. Markets are efficient only because somebody is willing to pay $668 for Meta. Not because it’s worth that.
Everything has become a trade. Order flow drives order flow. The fundamentals are window dressing for what already happened.
To your success,
Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE
P.S. You know what’s worse than losing money? Losing money slowly while your capital sits trapped in a trade going nowhere. 0DTE fixed that for me. Everything resolves today.
Helping You Become a Better Trader…it’s What We Do. Experience TheoTrade® Today!
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Tonight at 7pm: Start 2026 With an Edge
December 30, 2025 | Read Online
Hey, it’s Blake.
In 90 minutes, I’m going live to show you my Dark Wiresystem that’s delivered 591% since May 1st.
The beacons that scan overnight. The under-the-radar market I trade. The two-hour execution window that’s produced seven straight months of 20%+ returns.
There’s not much time left until we start, so you don’t need to register.
At 7pm ETsharp, [click here to join the webinar.]
Start the new year with an edge, not another experiment.
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© 2025 Disclaimer: Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment.Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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The Amazon Story Nobody Sees Coming
Dear Reader,
Amazon has already changed how we shop, read, watch TV, run businesses, store data, and receive packages.
It disrupted retail… rewrote the rules of logistics… and built the cloud that powers most of the modern Internet.
And yet none of that compares to what could be coming as early as January 1.
For 14 years, Jeff Bezos has been quietly backing a breakthrough far bigger than Prime, AWS, or any product Amazon has ever released. Most investors don’t even know it exists.
But as soon as January 1, I believe it could reach the moment when its impact becomes undeniable.
This shift could open the door to a $40 trillion transformation – larger than AI, EVs, crypto, quantum computing, and robotics combined.
If you think Amazon changed the world before… this will dwarf all of its past innovations.
Regards,
Whitney Tilson
Editor, Stansberry Research
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The Market Isn’t Breaking — It’s Shifting
December 30, 2025
Today’s Market Update
Year-End Trading Brings Volatility, Opportunity, and Selectivity
U.S. equities edged lower on Tuesday as markets continued to digest late-year positioning shifts. After a strong run through much of 2025, investors appear to be reassessing exposure — particularly within large-cap technology — as the calendar approaches year-end.
The Nasdaq Composite slipped modestly, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average also closed slightly lower. The move marked a third consecutive down session for major indexes, driven largely by weakness in megacap names rather than broad-based selling.
Importantly, the pullback reflected rotation and profit-taking, not panic.
Tech Cools as Investors Rebalance
Recent pressure in the market has been concentrated in high-profile technology stocks, with leaders such as Nvidia and Tesla contributing to the Nasdaq’s decline earlier in the week.
This type of late-December rotation is not unusual. As funds rebalance portfolios and lock in gains, leadership often softens temporarily — especially in areas that have driven outsized returns. For now, the selling remains orderly, suggesting consolidation rather than trend exhaustion. 
Markets are rotating and volatility is starting to pick up. That’s when timing matters most.
Daily stock alerts are sent directly to your phone as high-probability setups develop, so you don’t have to sit in front of a screen all day.
Each alert highlights where momentum and volume are lining up. If a trade is worth attention, you’ll know in real time.
Click here to start receiving them today!
Precious Metals Bounce After Sharp Selloff
While equities drifted lower, precious metals staged a notable rebound following one of their most volatile sessions in years.
Silver futures surged more than 7% Tuesday morning after suffering their largest one-day decline in over five years. Gold also recovered, posting gains of roughly 1% after recent weakness.
The rebound highlights the two-sided nature of the metals trade: extreme momentum followed by sharp reversals. While longer-term structural themes remain intact, near-term price action continues to favor tactical approaches rather than emotional positioning.
Space Remains the Strongest Thematic Sector
While metals work through a cooling phase, the space sector continues to show relative strength.
Among the group, SIDU stands out as a top watch heading into the final session of the year. The stock has absorbed multiple offerings — a rare development — while maintaining structure within a hot sector. This behavior often precedes renewed momentum once supply clears.
Key resistance has now shifted higher, with attention focused on the $3.10 area. A confirmed breakout and hold above that level could trigger a short-squeeze dynamic, similar to historical setups seen in prior years within comparable sectors.
Other space names remain on watch as well:
- LUNR continues to hold strength and may offer secondary opportunities
Fed Minutes Reinforce a Cautious Policy Outlook
Additional context came from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting minutes, which revealed a growing division among policymakers following the recent rate cut.
While most officials still believe further easing could be appropriate over time, the minutes made clear that additional cuts are contingent on continued progress in reducing inflation. Market pricing now reflects a high probability that rates remain unchanged next month, with uncertainty shifting toward March.
This reinforces a familiar backdrop for markets: supportive policy expectations, but without the urgency or certainty that fueled earlier rallies.
Themes Matter More Than Index Direction
Taken together, recent action points to a market entering a selective phase:
- Broad indexes are consolidating rather than breaking down
- Tech leadership is cooling as profits are taken
- Precious metals remain volatile but responsive to shifts in sentiment
- Policy expectations are stabilizing, not accelerating
In environments like this, theme selection and execution often matter more than index-level exposure.
Risk Management Matters More Than Ever
Year-end trading often tempts traders to force action, but this environment favors patience. Thin liquidity can exaggerate both breakouts and failures, making confirmation more important than anticipation.
Opportunities remain — particularly in strong themes like space — but not every setup deserves capital. Protecting gains and waiting for high-probability conditions continues to be the preferred approach.
-Investimonials
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