We all expected an exciting National League Championship Series between the Padres and Phillies. Through two games, both teams have delivered.
Philadelphia punched first in Game 1 on Tuesday afternoon as Zack Wheeler’s seven scoreless innings were too much for San Diego to overcome. However, the Padres fought right back in Game 2 on Wednesday, scoring seven unanswered runs at one point en route to an 8-5 win at Petco Park to even the series at 1-1.
Now the series shifts to Philadelphia, which will host its first NLCS game since Oct. 21, 2010, against the Giants. And it’s a big one. In all best-of-seven series that were tied 1-1, the Game 3 winner has captured the series 67 of 97 times (69%). The Phillies are 2-0 at home this postseason, while the Padres are 3-2 on the road.
Teams that win the first two games in a best-of-seven postseason series have history on their side, prevailing in 74 of 88 instances. The 14 teams that overcame those long odds have proved, time and again, that no two-game lead is safe.
A decade ago, if the Phillies hadn’t taken a flier on a young right-hander with an electric fastballand a high ceiling, Luis García wouldn’t be pitching at all.