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More Reading from MarketBeat Media
AI Chips Can’t Exist Without These 2 Underrated Tech Giants
Written by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Date Posted: 12/17/2025.

Summary
- Applied Materials and Lam Research manufacture the specialized equipment needed to create next-generation logic and memory chips.
- These companies offer investors a stable entry point into the artificial intelligence sector through recurring revenue streams and consistent shareholder returns.
- The transition to complex new chip architectures creates a long-term growth opportunity for the leading suppliers of wafer fabrication equipment.
The stock market often fixates on a single question: Which chip designer will wear the crown in the artificial intelligence (AI) era? Will it be the current king, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), or a challenger like AMD (NASDAQ: AMD)? While that fight for market share makes for exciting headlines, it obscures a critical physical reality: no advanced chip can exist without the highly specialized factory tools required to build it.
While designers wage a fierce, often volatile battle for dominance, the fabs—the factories that manufacture chips—must buy equipment from a small set of suppliers regardless of whose name ends up on the final processor. That dynamic creates a classic “picks and shovels” investment opportunity. Just as tool suppliers profited during the Gold Rush, the companies supplying infrastructure for sovereign AI clouds are positioned for steady, long-term growth.
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Industry data supports this view. Estimates suggest that for every $100 billion invested in AI data center infrastructure, roughly $8 billion flows directly into the Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) market. With the WFE market expected to exceed $105 billion in calendar year 2025 and forecast to grow further into 2026, the sector offers a predictable revenue stream. Two giants stand out as indispensable to this economy: Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) and Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX).
The Technology Moat: Why These Two Are Indispensable
High-end chip manufacturing is not a commodity business; it’s an oligopoly where specific tools are required for specific tasks. Fabs cannot simply swap one machine for another. To see the investment case, investors must understand the physical bottlenecks in modern computing that these companies solve.
Applied Materials: The Logic Leader
Applied Materials leads in materials engineering—a critical step for logic chips (processors) and advanced packaging. As chips become more powerful, they generate greater heat and require new transistor architectures to manage power and performance.
The industry is shifting to Gate-All-Around (GAA) transistors to provide better power control at the 2-nanometer node and beyond. Applied Materials supplies several specialized tools essential for building these structures:
- Applied Centura Xtera Epi: Creates void-free epitaxial structures that are essential for transistor speed. Without this capability, transistors cannot reach required performance levels.
- Kinex Hybrid Bonding: As chipmakers stack chiplets to build more powerful processors, queue times can cause degradation. Kinex integrates cleaning, alignment, and bonding in a single vacuum-controlled environment, solving that problem and enabling the high-performance stacking critical for AI.
Lam Research: The Memory Specialist
While Applied Materials focuses on the computer’s “brain,” Lam Research dominates memory-focused process tools.
AI models require massive amounts of fast memory—High Bandwidth Memory (HBM)—alongside high-density storage in the form of 3D NAND. To increase capacity, manufacturers stack silicon layers vertically, sometimes reaching more than 400 layers.
- Lam Cryo 3.0: An etch technology that uses extreme cold to drill deep, uniform channels through 400+ layers of memory. Older etch methods can distort these channels and ruin the chip.
- Vantex: Dielectric etch chambers designed to work with Cryo 3.0 to build these high-aspect-ratio structures.
Weathering the Storm: Growth Despite Geopolitics
The business model for equipment manufacturers provides stability that pure-play chip designers often lack. Chip sales can swing with consumer demand and competitive pressures, but fabs need constant maintenance, calibration, and upgrades.
That creates recurring revenue. In fiscal 2025, Applied Materials’ service division, Applied Global Services (AGS), generated $6.39 billion in revenue, up 3% year-over-year. Lam Research’s Customer Support Business Group (CSBG) likewise produces steady revenue from spares and upgrades. This service income provides a floor for earnings during market downturns.
This resilience was tested by geopolitical headwinds. In late 2025, the U.S. implemented the “50% affiliate” rule, expanding export restrictions to a broader set of Chinese entities: if a restricted parent owns 50% or more of a subsidiary, the subsidiary becomes restricted too.
The rule contributed to Applied Materials’ revenue share from China falling from 37% in fiscal 2024 to 30% in fiscal 2025. Lam Research faced a similar hit, with an immediate $200 million revenue impact projected for the December 2025 quarter. Yet both companies still reported record or near-record revenues, signaling that demand from the U.S., Taiwan, and Korea—driven by the AI boom—was sufficient to offset significant geopolitical losses.
A Value Entry Point Into the AI Supercycle
Beyond their technological moats, Applied Materials and Lam Research offer attractive financial fundamentals. They typically trade at lower price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples than some high-flying chip designers, providing a value entry point into the AI sector without paying the steep premiums attached to the most popular AI names.
Both companies also return substantial cash to shareholders, which helps stabilize their stock prices.
- Applied Materials: In fiscal 2025, the company returned roughly $6.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.
- Lam Research: Repurchased $990 million of its own stock in the September 2025 quarter alone.
Those capital returns reflect managements’ confidence in cash flow and give investors a tangible payoff while waiting for the next growth leg.
Infrastructure Over Hype: Why the Equipment Makers Win
While chip designers compete for the spotlight, Applied Materials and Lam Research own the stage beneath them. They provide the essential infrastructure—the toll roads—of the semiconductor industry. Without their specific, patented machinery, the transition to 2nm logic chips and high-capacity memory could not occur.
With the Wafer Fab Equipment market projected to top $105 billion in 2025 and to continue growing into 2026, these companies offer a foundational way to invest in the semiconductor supercycle. For investors seeking exposure to AI growth with lower volatility and proven financial stability, the equipment oligopoly presents a compelling opportunity.
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