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Exclusive Story

Micron Gains Momentum, Again—30% to 80% Upside in 2026

Submitted by Thomas Hughes. Publication Date: 12/30/2025. 

Quick Look

• Micron’s stock rally has gained momentum as 2025 draws to a close, suggesting big gains in store for 2026.
• Analyst targets put this stock above $350 before mid-year 2026.
• Long-term forecasts seem low, which may lead to a bullish revision cycle in quarters ahead.

Micron (NASDAQ: MU) stock has gained momentum again as 2025 draws to a close. December’s price action included a breakout to new highs, signaling continuation of the prevailing trend and suggesting the September–November rally may represent only the first half of the move.

Technical theory holds that continuation signals like these often produce two targets—a base case and a bull case.

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The base case is typically the dollar value of the rally preceding the breakout, projected from the breakout point. In this instance, that calculation implies roughly $135 of additional upside from the breakout area.

The bull case applies the prior move’s percentage gain to the breakout—about 115% in this example. Those targets place Micron stock roughly in the $385 to $535 range, indicating a 30% to 80% upside that could be reached before mid-2026.

There are some warning signs the rally could be cooling, such as an overbought stochastic. However, that indicator can remain elevated for weeks or months during a strong advance, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) still shows bulls in control. Analyst activity and institutional flows also point to accumulation, which supports the price action and encourages retail participation.

MU Rally Triggered by Results, Driven by Analyst Sentiment

Micron’s rally was initially driven by its strong earnings results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. While the results and outlook were impressive, analyst behavior has amplified the move. December analyst activity includes numerous price-target increases and at least one upgrade, reinforcing the uptrend.

MU stock currently carries a consensus Buy rating from 37 analysts, with firming sentiment reflected in an upward trend in price targets.

The consensus price target as of year-end 2025 assumes fair value; however, it rose roughly 30% in the two weeks after the FQ1 release, and several high-end targets were set near $350.

The $350 level sits below the technical targets but is likely to be raised as the year progresses. Fundamental forces are supporting MU’s results, suggesting 2026 could be a blowout year and 2027 may follow suit.

The surge in GPU demand tied to AI and data centers sparked what has been described as an unprecedented HBM memory shortage. That shortage is expected to persist well into 2027, keeping upward pressure on prices.

Contracted prices for HBM3 are forecast to rise by roughly 15% in December and continue climbing through 2026 to a peak later that year.

And that’s just HBM3. Next-gen HBM4 stacks are estimated to command about a 50% premium. Production capacity should improve later in the year, easing some pressure on the industry, but not enough to undermine MU’s revenue and earnings growth outlook.

Micron’s Revenue Forecast May Be Conservative

Micron is expected to post strong revenue growth in 2026. Fiscal Q1 (FQ1) revenue rose 56.7% year-over-year, and management guided FQ2 revenue to $18.3 billion–$19.1 billion. Because much of HBM capacity is already sold out, the odds of significant upside to guidance in 2026 are limited.

Over a longer horizon, however, a catalyst could emerge. Micron’s revenue growth is currently forecast to slow in 2027 and 2028 despite a long-term outlook for rising GPU demand.

If GPU demand remains strong, Micron’s forecasts for 2027 and 2028 could be revised upward during 2026, likely providing further support to MU stock.

Micron’s valuation metrics also imply potential for significant stock-price gains in the coming quarters. Trading at under 10x its 2026 outlook, the stock looks inexpensive relative to blue-chip tech peers, AI leaders, and the broad S&P 500. A move to the market’s average valuation would roughly double the stock—and MU could see even larger gains.

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