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Further Reading from MarketBeat.com

Is MetaX a NVIDIA Threat—or Just Another DeepSeek Market Scare?

By Jordan Chussler. Originally Published: 12/26/2025. 

Key Takeaways

• After China-based GPU manufacturer MetaX recently debuted on the Shanghai market, the stock gained 700%.  
• With investors rotating out of U.S.-listed AI stocks, the news was reminiscent of January 2025’s DeepSeek market scare.
• But NVIDIA’s central role in the AI landscape and its strategic partnerships with companies like OpenAI nearly assures its long-term success.

On Dec. 17, China-based MetaX Integrated Circuits made its public debut on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and its shares surged roughly 700%.

The company—not to be confused with Mark Zuckerberg-led Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META)—was founded by former Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) executives and develops general-purpose graphics processing units (GPUs) for artificial intelligence applications.

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Because of its AI-focused chips, MetaX has drawn comparisons to NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), currently the largest publicly traded company by market cap at $4.58 trillion.

With global competition intensifying, should shareholders be concerned about threats to NVIDIA’s dominance?

MetaX Is the Latest Example of a DeepSeek Market Scare

On Dec. 21, CNBC reported that AI-linked IPOs in China are undergoing rapid growth, with some listings delivering eye-popping gains. One week before MetaX’s debut, another GPU designer—Moore Threads Technology—also IPO’d, with shares rising about 400%.

At the same time, investors rotated out of U.S.-listed tech stocks amid concerns about elevated valuations, market concentration, and the specter of an AI bubble in the S&P 500.

The MetaX news accelerated selling in NVDA: after hitting an all-time high in late October 2025, NVIDIA had fallen more than 17% by Dec. 17 before finding support.

Analysts quickly drew parallels between MetaX’s market disruption and the reaction on Jan. 27, 2025, when DeepSeek—a China-based generative AI company—emerged as a lower-cost alternative to OpenAI.

In turn, a majority of large and mega-cap U.S. equities with AI exposure experienced a short-term sell-off. Within days, hundreds of billions of dollars of market value among the Magnificent Seven were wiped out.

But DeepSeek, despite offering low-cost models that required far less compute than OpenAI, proved to be a flash in the pan. Government censorship, a notable security breach, slow updates, and underwhelming follow-up models caused the hype to fade almost as quickly as it arrived.

Now, nearly 12 months later, the market could be seeing a similar iteration of that pattern with MetaX.

Why MetaX Isn’t the Market Threat It’s Made out to Be

NVIDIA’s dominance in AI and the GPU industry is unquestioned. When markets overreact to newcomers, investors who panic-sell often suffer over the long term.

Over the past three years, NVIDIA beat earnings estimates in 11 of the last 12 quarters and exceeded revenue estimates in all 12.

MetaX, by contrast, continues to operate at a loss. Analysts say the company’s technology lags mainstream competitors by two to three years.

Being based in China, MetaX relies heavily on domestic, state-sanctioned investment, raising questions about the sustainability of its growth.

Compounding matters, as CNBC noted, it isn’t easy for overseas investors to partake in these rallies. The outlet reported that “foreign retail investors in particular are shut out of mainland China IPOs.”

Fund manager Yang Tingwu of Tongheng Investment told Reuters that the surge in these China-based AI companies’ stock prices is likely a run-up that will leave the market “witnessing the stock’s peak level for the next five years.”

NVIDIA and Its Shareholders Will Be Fine

Meanwhile, NVIDIA sits less than 9% below its all-time high, has gained nearly 1,352% over the past five years, and occupies the center of a financing network worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

NVIDIA has firm strategic partnerships with other AI firms, including OpenAI—relationships the Santa Clara, Calif.-based fabless GPU company is unlikely to relinquish anytime soon.

The stock carries a consensus Buy rating from 53 analysts, and an average 12-month price target of $262.14, implying more than 39% upside.

Over the past year, institutional owners have provided inflows totaling $339.17 billion compared with outflows of $116.47 billion. Another sign of strength: current short interest stands at just 1.13% of the float.

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