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This Month’s Exclusive News

Qualcomm Is Where It Finished 2021 – Is That Good or Bad?

Authored by Sam Quirke. Date Posted: 12/24/2025. 

Tech giant Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) is heading into the Christmas break trading around $175, a level notable for an unexpected—and undesirable—reason. Despite a strong rally in recent months, the stock is finishing the year close to where it closed out 2021. On the surface that might sound uninspiring, but look a little closer and there’s an interesting story about how the market is reassessing Qualcomm as we move into 2026.

As we have highlighted in recent weeks, after years of uneven performance and false starts, Qualcomm has finally staged one of its more sustained rallies in recent memory. The stock is up more than 40% since April, yet it still sits well below the euphoric valuations enjoyed by some of its semiconductor peers. What does this mean as we head into the new year? Here’s a closer look. 

A Return To 2021 Levels Is Not A Step Back

For starters, finishing near 2021 levels doesn’t mean Qualcomm hasn’t progressed. Rather, it reflects a long reset: the company has worked through smartphone cycle volatility, supply-chain disruption, and shifting investor expectations about its growth profile.

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Quick Look

• Qualcomm is ending the year near 2021 price levels after a long reset. 
• It’s hard to ignore the fact, though, that the stock has quietly rallied more than 40% since April alone. 
• Multiple analyst calls suggest that even now, the stock is still undervalued. 

What’s different is how the rally unfolded. Since April, Qualcomm’s advance has been slow, steady and sustainable, not volatile and explosive. The stock has been making higher highs and higher lows without the speculative frenzy that often marks short-term tops. 

Importantly, fundamentals have been doing more of the heavy lifting. Qualcomm has consistently beaten analysts’ expectations in its quarterly reports, putting the pressure back on the bears to prove this is a company on the back foot — something they have been unable to do. 

From that perspective, still trading near 2021 prices is not as bad as it may seem at first glance. The past year has been less about stagnation and more about reinvention and rebuilding credibility. 

Analysts Reflect A Company In Transition

Recent analyst commentary captures that balance well. Susquehanna’s reiterated Buy rating and its $210 price target last month paint a picture of a stock that may be materially undervalued. That target points to meaningful upside and signals confidence that the company’s improving fundamentals are not yet fully reflected in the share price.

Cantor Fitzgerald took a more cautious stance this month with a Neutral rating, but its $185 price target — given Qualcomm’s roughly $175 price — also implies the shares may be undervalued right now. 

The split is telling, with even the more cautious voices stopping short of calling for a trend reversal. Instead, the debate has shifted to whether Qualcomm deserves to continue trading around the upper end of its recent range, or if it can push on toward all-time highs. 

What The Setup Suggests Heading Into 2026

Looking forward, the key takeaway is that Qualcomm enters 2026 from a position of strength rather than speculation. The stock is not cheap by the standards of its recent history, but it is also not priced for perfection. Trading near 2021 levels after a multi-year reset leaves considerable room for upside if execution continues.

The next leg will likely depend on whether Qualcomm can sustain its narrative shift. Continued earnings beats and revenue diversification would support the case for this rally continuing. In that scenario, the current price could look more like a base of support than a ceiling.

Of course, risks remain. A renewed slowdown in key markets or a shift in sentiment toward semiconductors more broadly could stall progress. But unlike prior rallies, this one is being underpinned by fundamentals rather than hope. Bottom line: ending the year where it ended 2021 is not a sign that Qualcomm has been standing still. Instead, it suggests the company is finally making serious headway in its transformation and could be poised to make 2026 the year it reaches a fresh all-time high.

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