RJ Hamster
3 Big Earnings Misses: Is It Time to Buy…
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That means you only have weeks to get in…
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Best,
Garrett Goggin, CFA, CMT
Lead Analyst and Founder, Golden Portfolio
For Your Education and Enjoyment
3 Big Earnings Misses: Is It Time to Buy the Dip?
Written by Dan Schmidt. Published 11/9/2025.

Key Points
- More than 80% of the companies that have reported Q3 earnings so far have beaten expectations.
- However, companies that miss expectations have seen their stocks get hammered, even for slight underachievements.
- Pinterest, Match Group, and Live Nation all posted poor Q3 results; are their dips worth buying?
Earnings season for Q3 2025 is well underway, but the exuberance from Q2 has faded. According to FactSet, more than 80% of S&P 500 companies reporting so far have beaten analysts’ expectations with their Q3 results, but the strength of those beats has been underwhelming. The average beat was just 5% above targets, well below the five-year average of 8.4% and the 10-year average of 7%.
Of course, one quarter doesn’t make a trend, and parsing a 5% versus an 8% earnings beat is largely academic.
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Markets have looked tired over the last two weeks, and investors are watching for signs that trouble could be brewing. One red flag: companies that missed Q3 earnings expectations have been punished, especially those with consumer-facing businesses.
Pinterest Inc. (NYSE: PINS), Match Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MTCH), and Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: LYV) are three recent examples that posted lackluster results, leaving investors to wonder whether these are one-off issues or signs of deeper weakness.
Pinterest: Ad Weakness Outweighs AI Growth
Shares of social media discovery platform Pinterest plunged nearly 22% following a rough Q3 earnings report on Nov. 4.
On the surface, the report didn’t look like a wholesale miss, but a closer read revealed several potential headwinds.
The company missed earnings per share (EPS) estimates by four cents (38 cents reported vs. 42 cents expected), while revenue of $1.05 billion matched expectations. Monthly active users surpassed 600 million for the first time, and Pinterest’s AI bot, Pinterest Assistant, helped increase sales conversions.
So why did the stock fall more than 20%?
Pinterest may seem like a tech stock, but it behaves more like a consumer discretionarybusiness, and tariffs—particularly on furniture—have indirectly hurt its model. Pinterest relies on ad sales for revenue, and the Q3 report noted that ad pricing declined 24% year-over-year. Because the platform is heavily focused on home design, higher furniture prices from tariffs have reduced the conversion rate from clicks to purchases.
The chart looks bleak as well. PINS had been trading in a range, but now the stock is back to Liberation Day levels, and a Death Cross appears imminent on the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
More than a dozen analysts lowered their price targets on PINS last week, making it hard to recommend the stock until either the fundamentals or the technical setup improves.
Match Group: Mixed Signals Below the Surface
Match Group operates a portfolio of popular dating apps, including Tinder, Hinge, OKCupid and Match.com.
The company reported Q3 2025 results on Nov. 4, posting EPS of $0.82, missing the consensus $0.91. Total revenue was $914 million, a modest 2% year-over-year increase and slightly below expectations.
While Hinge showed solid growth on the conference call, Tinder appears to have stalled and paying users have declined about 5% year-over-year, according to the company’s release.
MTCH shares are down roughly 10% over the last three months, but the chart shows some potential positives. The decline found support near the 200-day SMA, which looks to be holding, and the MACD is trending higher — suggesting the stock may have bottomed, at least in the short term.
Live Nation: Don’t Look Back in Anger (After Taking Profits)
Live Nation investors enjoyed a profitable summer, as the stock climbed from about $115 to $175 between March and October. Those gains faded after a disappointing Q3 release and a number of warning technical signals.
Live Nation reported a significant top-line miss on Nov. 4, with EPS of $0.73 versus an expected $1.54. Revenue also missed by more than 4%.
Management pointed to several headwinds on the call, including legal actions against Ticketmaster by both the FTC and the DOJ, and noted that the runway for stadium-show sales could be constrained.

Signs of trouble were visible before the earnings miss: shares broke the 50-day SMA in September as the MACD confirmed the downward shift. After the report, the stock slipped below the 200-day SMA, reinforcing the bearish trend. Live Nation may need another blockbuster tour to reverse this momentum.
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