Hello Peter Anthony Hovis,
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Trump: Stocks are “gonna go a lot higher”
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It is almost like tariffs never happened.
Stocks erased all of 2025 losses, as the S&P 500 is now only 4% off its all-time high. Yesterday’s cooler-than-expected inflation ignited the risk appetite even further on Wall Street. The White House also announced Saudi Arabia’s commitment to invest $600 billion in a series of deals with the U.S.
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(Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images)
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Not only that, Nvidia and AMD said they will supply semiconductors to Saudi Arabian firm Humain for a massive data-center project.
In short, there was plenty of positive news.
Speaking of inflation, Trump restarted his attack on Fed Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates after the consumer price index showed the 12-month inflation rate at 2.3%, its lowest since February 2021.
- “No Inflation, and Prices of Gasoline, Energy, Groceries, and practically everything else, are DOWN!!!” Trump wrote on Truth Social.
- “THE FED must lower the RATE, like Europe and China have done. What is wrong with Too Late Powell?”
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(Source: Donald Trump / Truth Social)
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During the event in Saudi Arabia, Trump cited an “explosion of investment and jobs” in the US as the reason why the stock market is “gonna go a lot higher.”
Investors are now forced to decide if they should chase the rally. Listen, Bank of America’s survey of fund managers showed that they were a net 38% underweight in US stocks (the most in two years), so they must ponder whether it’s time to jump back into the market.
After all, FOMO is a powerful emotion.
JPMorgan Chase boosted its US growth forecast after the truce deal between the US and China. The bank previously forecasted a recession in 2025. John Kolovos at Macro Risk Advisors pointed out that there are no major resistance levels left for the S&P 500 until 6,144 — the all-time high.
He pointed out that the benchmark index blew past its 200-day moving average so investors may be more likely to buy dips from now on.
- “The S&P 500 trading above the 200-day moving average is another indication that the trend is turning positive,” Kolovos said.
- “This increases the odds that pullbacks will be met with increased demand or buying interest. It changes your strategy and sends the signal that we’re done with the bear market.”
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John Kolovos at Macro Risk Advisors (Photo: CNBC)
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Josh Jamner at ClearBridge Investments believes the coast is clear for stocks to keep rising as traders close their hedging positions. Why? More trade deals are likely to be struck over the next few weeks, along with the new spending bill.
- “Like the Fed, investors are likely to look through today’s report as the prospect of trade deals and details on the budget reconciliation process are more material drivers for equities in the coming weeks,” said Josh Jamner at ClearBridge Investments.
- “However, the absence of a negative with today’s print does lend to incremental upside for risk assets as hedges are unwound.”
Clearly, the short-term sentiment is bullish on Wall Street.
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The “Boring” AI Stock to Bet On
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Today’s Stock Pick: Appian Corporation (APPN)
Have you heard of Appian?
Probably not.
It is a little-known tech company that was founded in 1999. At first, it was a low-code software company that evolved into a process-automation company. Now it is about to make its third evolution.
Namely, it is turning into an artificial intelligence company.
It is not like Appian is chasing a trend, though. Artificial intelligence is a natural transition from its process-automation roots.
For example, it automates workflows to accelerate the time to complete activities like processing an insurance claim or procurement.
So, it makes a perfect place for AI to be embedded into the process “with just a few clicks.”
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Sure enough, management said on the earnings call that its customers’ AI usage grew by 7.9 times year over year for the first quarter! Revenue from AI-included tiers more than doubled in the same quarter from the previousquarter. Clearly, the momentum is taking off.
Appian CEO Matt Calkins said the company offers “boring” AI that can actuallysave its customers millions of dollars, rather than hyping AI products with questionable benefits.
Indeed, an Australian insurer recently replaced the work of hundreds of underwriting agents with an app that automates underwriting processes.
As a result, the overall revenue rose 11% in Q1. The company is also turning profitable with its third straight quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EPS jumped from a loss of $0.09 a year ago to a profit of $0.13 in Q1.
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The company achieved the growth with bookings per sales rep jumping 30% and its customer acquisition costs falling by 6%. So, Appian isn’t spending the crazy amount of money to grow.
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CEO Calkins was extremely bullish on the company’s AI future: “AI is the best thing that’s ever happened to the process automation industry.”
For the full year, Appian expects a 14% to 15% revenue growth.
Bottom line: Appian has been delivering tangible results from its AI products, and the stock is down 85% from its 2021 high. It might be a solid investment to bet on the AI future.
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