Peter A. Hovis

Nerds vs Bean Counters: Did Boeing Lose Its Wings?

MARCH 19, 2024

PROSPERITY PUB MARKET TALK
Nerds vs. Bean Counters: Did Boeing Lose Its Wings?

Boeing. The name used to evoke awe — the undisputed titan of the skies, a company synonymous with aviation safety and innovation.

They were the Wright Brothers’ dream realized, a testament to human ingenuity pushing the boundaries of flight. But if you’ve been paying attention to the news, its clear that turbulence has entered the picture.

The company’s once-spotless reputation for safety and quality has been battered by a series of incidents and controversies, raising serious questions about Boeing’s commitment to what should be a core value of passenger safety.

Historically, Boeing thrived on a culture of engineering excellence. Their planes, from the iconic 707 to the revolutionary 787 Dreamliner, were the workhorses of airlines worldwide.

Boeing engineers were revered — the masterminds behind groundbreaking technologies and rigorous safety standards that made air travel the safest mode of long-distance transportation.

Numbers like a staggering 99.9999% historical safety record for scheduled passenger flights spoke volumes about Boeing’s dedication to safety.

But a massive shift began to take place in the early 2000s. The pressure to compete with Airbus, the European aerospace giant, intensified.

Wall Street demanded ever-increasing shareholder returns, and a new focus on short-term profits began to take root. Engineering prowess, once the heart and soul of Boeing, started to take a back seat to financial performance.

The number of engineers steadily declined, replaced by an influx of financial analysts and cost-cutting specialists.

This cultural shift peaked tragically in the Boeing 737 MAX crisis. The MAX, designed to compete with Airbus’s A320neo, was rushed to market with a faulty Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System (MCAS) implicated in two fatal crashes in 2018 and 2019, claiming a total of 346 lives.

Investigators pointed to a series of questionable decisions — cost-cutting measures that compromised safety protocols, inadequate pilot training on the MCAS system, and a lack of transparency with regulators.

The fallout was immense. Boeing’s reputation was tarnished, billions of dollars were lost in fines and settlements, and the entire 737 MAX fleet was grounded worldwide for 20 months.

But the 737 MAX debacle is just the tip of the iceberg. Production issues plagued the Dreamliner program, leading to delays and delivery slowdowns. Concerns about quality control and regulatory compliance further eroded public trust.

Boeing’s future remains uncertain. Can they reclaim their position as a leader in safe and reliable air travel?

The answer likely requires a complete course correction. Reinvigorating the engineering culture, prioritizing safety above all else, and fostering a culture of transparency with regulators and the public are crucial steps.

Recapturing the magic of the “nerd era” may be the only way for Boeing to regain its well-earned wings.

In the meantime, we’ve been keeping an eye on Boeing’s stock based on a prediction that our own Jeffry Turmmire made back in December.

He’s been calling for a target potentially as low as $160, after which he expects the stock to take off with “mega upside” potential.

Let’s hope that coincides with some good news for passengers about the safety of Boeing’s planes.

— The Prosperity Pub Team

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SCOTT WELSH’S TICKER TALES
Good Hands (ALL)

The market was excited about the big Bank of Japan rate decision last night and the big NVDA AI summit starting this week.

And both were a whole lot of nothing.

At the same time, many analysts are weary of the Magnificent 7 and the massive move in tech.

They claim traders are moving toward less risky, more solid companies.

In other words, boring is becoming cool.

And Allstate’s insurance business sure is boring.

But like we’ve said, humdrum stocks have been on a roll lately.

Here’s the chart:


ALL has shown huge momentum in the past few months and Insurance is one of the top 25 hottest sectors in the world.

A break now above $168.05 could lead to a nice run.

We’ll keep an eye on it.

Happy trading,
— Scott Welsh

P.S. As a reminder, these plays are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use weekly candles and a 30 week simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on this Ask The Pros episode starting at timestamp 20:45.

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