RJ Hamster
🦉 The Night Owl Newsletter for November 20th
Unsubscribe $4,200 gold is nice … but here’s what most gold bugs are missing (From Weiss Ratings)Datavault AI Just Raised Guidance by 400%—Are You Paying Attention?Written by Jeffrey Neal JohnsonDatavault AI (NASDAQ: DVLT) stock climbed over 18% in a recent session, a significant move driven by more than just market sentiment. The catalyst was a tangible piece of news: a multi-million dollar agreement with Triton Geothermal. This development provides a powerful validation of the company’s aggressive pivot from a legacy audio hardware business into a high-growth artificial intelligence (AI) and data monetization enterprise.With a market capitalization of around $500 million, Datavault AI has been on investors’ radars as it transforms itself. The timing of the Triton announcement was strategic, arriving just as the company delivered its third-quarter 2025 corporate update. This potent combination of a new, high-value contract and a strong financial report suggests Datavault AI may have reached a key inflection point where its ambitious vision is finally translating into measurable results.A Blueprint for a High-Margin FutureThe new partnership with Triton Geothermal offers investors a clear blueprint for how Datavault AI plans to generate significant, multi-layered revenue from its core business of tokenizing real-world assets (RWA). This agreement moves the company’s business model from a theoretical concept to a real-world application with a clear financial structure, showcasing its potential in the burgeoning RWA market, which focuses on creating digital tokens that represent ownership of physical assets.Datavault AI will serve as the exclusive technology provider for Triton, a full-cycle renewable energy company developing assets built on a reservoir validated by the U.S. Department of Energy. The deal is structured to provide near-term and long-term income streams:Upfront and Milestone Revenue: The agreement includes up to $8 million in tokenization fees. These payments are tied to Triton’s planned $125 million RWA offering, creating a direct path to near-term, project-based revenue.Long-Term Recurring Revenue: Perhaps the most compelling part of the deal for investors is the inclusion of a 5% participation in all of Triton’s future digital token transaction fees. This term establishes a model for generating high-margin, recurring revenue that can grow alongside the success of the tokenized asset, creating a lasting income stream with minimal additional costs.This partnership provides a tangible example of Datavault AI’s monetization engine in action. It demonstrates how the company’s patented technology can be applied to large-scale industrial assets, directly translating a strategic vision into a clear financial opportunity.From a Single Deal to a Massive Guidance UpgradeThe Triton Geothermal agreement is significant on its own, but its true importance lies in its role as the linchpin of the blockbuster news from Datavault AI’s Q3 update: a massive upward revision to its revenue guidance. The Triton deal provides the tangible proof needed to make management’s ambitious financial targets credible.Alongside its Q3 report, which showed revenue of $2.9 million, a 148% year-over-year increase, the company announced a dramatic upgrade to its financial outlook. Guidance for fiscal year 2025 was raised from a range of $12-$15 million to a new, higher floor of $30 million. Even more striking, guidance for fiscal year 2026 was raised from $40-50 million to a new target of over $200 million. This represents a potential 400% increase at the low end of its previous forecast.Management explained that this new forecast is based on a rapidly expanding global pipeline of RWA tokenization contracts, noting that they are currently in negotiations on dozens of contracts worldwide. The Triton deal serves as the proof of concept for this pipeline. It transforms the guidance from a speculative projection into a believable business plan, lending significant weight to the bull case and providing a data-driven foundation for Wall Street’s optimistic price targets.Building Momentum and a Fortified Balance SheetThe Triton deal is not an anomaly but the latest milestone in a consistent pattern of strategic execution. Since its transformation, Datavault AI has been methodically securing partnerships across diverse, high-value industries, including multi-million dollar licensing agreements with Scilex Holding (NASDAQ: SCLX) (biotech) and Nature’s Miracle (NASDAQ: NMHI) (carbon credits). This trend demonstrates that the company’s platform is versatile and in demand.Of course, rapid growth requires capital. While Datavault’s SEC filings include a standard going concern disclosure common for businesses in a high-investment phase, management has proactively addressed its financial runway. Datavault AI has announced a $150 million strategic investment agreement with Scilex Holdings. This agreement, pending shareholder approval, is structured so that Scilex will make the payment in Bitcoin in exchange for equity. This move not only secures the long-term funding needed to sustain its growth trajectory but also further immerses the company in the digital asset ecosystem.The Inflection Point From Potential to ProofDatavault AI appears to have reached a clear inflection point, with its strategic narrative now backed by tangible execution and measurable results. The stock’s recent 18% surge is a rational market response to news that de-risks the company’s future revenue streams and validates its new direction.The Triton Geothermal deal is a landmark achievement, not just for its revenue potential, but for its role in anchoring management’s massive new revenue guidance. It effectively transforms the investment case from a story stock to an execution stock. For investors, the focus now shifts from questioning the company’s vision to tracking its execution against a global pipeline that has just been proven to be both real and lucrative. While all growth-stage investments carry inherent risks, the path to analysts’ bullish price targets is becoming increasingly clear. READ THIS STORY ONLINEThese 5 Stocks Are Thriving Under Trump’s Presidency (Ad)Trump is back in the White House—and new market winners are already emerging.A free report reveals 5 stocks poised to benefit from early policy shifts, sector momentum, and the evolving 2025 economy.DOWNLOAD YOUR FREE REPORT: 5 BEST STOCKS FOR TRUMP’S AMERICAPeter Thiel Dumps NVIDIA and Slashes Tesla Stake—Is the AI Bubble About to Pop?Written by Chris MarkochBillionaire investor Peter Thiel’s hedge fund, Thiel Macro LLC, reported two significant sales in its 13F filing for the quarter ending September 30, 2025.First, the fund sold its entire stake in NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA), approximately 537,742 shares valued at approximately $100 million at the time of the filing. That’s a head scratcher. But it gets more interesting.Thiel’s hedge fund also trimmed its position in Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA). It was actually more of a buzzcut than a trim. The fund cut its stake by approximately 76%. In total, Thiel Macro reduced the size of its position from $212 million at the end of the prior quarter to $74.4 million.Whenever investors see a move like this, they take notice. Thiel may not command the same kind of aura as Warren Buffett, but the co-founder of PayPal Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) and Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR) has earned a certain cache with retail investors.So investors should take a moment to understand why Thiel made the moves it did and if it signals a bigger rotation out of technology stocks.The Only Problem with Bubbles Is That They BurstSince the end of the last earnings season, the whispers of an AI bubble have grown louder.However, at that point, the concern was mostly about lofty valuations. Analysts have suggested that evaluating many of these companies by standards like the price-to-earnings (P/E) or price-to-sales (P/S) ratios may not accurately reflect the true value of the business.Thiel has said on multiple occasions that the hype of AI was growing faster than the financial value of any one company.He compares the current period to the dot-com boom that turned bust when investors realized that the significant technological transformations brought about by the internet would take years to come to fruition.According to this view, investors should be wary of overstating near-term financial returns from groundbreaking technologies.Is the same realization happening with the AI boom? NVIDIA’s latest earnings report would suggest otherwise. The company beat on the top and bottom lines and says demand for its Blackwell GPUs is “off the charts.”That means the run in AI stocks like NVDA and TSLA may have further to run. If so, Thiel got out early. However, if the AI bubble does burst, it’s better to be early than late.Institutional Moves Signal Market Sentiment ShiftsAs much as retail investors might like to believe otherwise, the moves we make in our respective stock positions speak to sentiment, but they won’t really move the needle for stocks like NVIDIA and Tesla.That requires the “big money” from institutional investors like Thiel Macro.Regarding NVIDIA—a company that Thiel has long touted for its dominance in AI hardware— selling $100 million in NVDA stock is not insignificant. While it’s not enough to move a megacap’s price by itself, it is meaningful because it reflects changing institutional sentiment.Should Investors Follow Thiel’s Lead?Thiel’s activity is newsworthy. But does it mean you should follow suit? The answer is likely to be different for every investor. Objectively speaking, NVDA and other stocks like it, including Thiel’s old company, Palantir, are expensive to own. As the saying goes, nobody got broke taking a profit. But the investors who did the best in stocks like Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) were the ones who held strong even when the dot-com bubble burst. NVIDIA and Tesla have delivered generational returns for patient investors. In both cases, there may be more growth to come.It appears that Thiel, for now, is content to wait for a more favorable entry point.For retail investors, the key is determining whether your investment thesis has changed. If it hasn’t, short-term volatility could simply present an opportunity to buy high-quality tech stocks at more favorable valuations. READ THIS STORY ONLINE$4,200 gold is nice … but here’s what most gold bugs are missing (Ad)Gold just surged past $4,200, but Weiss Ratings expert Sean Brodrick says the real upside is in select gold stocks — in past bull markets, these plays delivered gains as high as 5,000% to 9,800%, and Sean has now identified five companies he believes could see explosive moves in the early stages of what may be the biggest gold rally yet.CLICK HERE TO SEE SEAN’S FIVE TOP GOLD PICKSWhy Lithium Americas Could Be a 2030 Power Play—Not a 2025 OneWritten by Chris MarkochDemand for lithium is expected to rise sharply in coming years, driven by its essential role in modern technology, including autonomous vehicles, energy storage systems, and drones.With no established domestic supply chain, the U.S. government took a 5% equity stake in Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) in September 2025.This strategic investment ensures that Lithium Americas will have the funding to complete its Thacker Pass mine, which will allow the company to begin mining operations in 2026.This news initially sent LAC stock soaring in October. However, this is an example of where hope is not a valid investment thesis. LAC stock is down nearly 30% in the last month on what appears to be profit-taking by active traders.The long-term case for Lithium Americas is firmly in place. But the real payoff for investors won’t come for several years. Plus, as is the case with many mining and materials stocks, the company’s ability to achieve profitability will be linked to the price of the underlying commodity—lithium. Why Earnings Didn’t Move the NeedleLAC stock is down over 6.7% since a spike after its third-quarter earnings report on Nov. 13. The pre-revenue company reported a net loss of $64.4 million, which translates into a loss of 2 cents in adjusted earnings per share (EPS), better than the forecasted loss of 5 cents per share. Still, the earnings report offered no surprises. The influx of funds from the U.S. government is allowing the company to commence construction at Thacker Pass, but construction will not be completed until 2027 at the earliest. With no current revenue and long lead times, the update did little to alter investor sentiment.Traders Are Driving Big Swings in LAC StockA significant concern for those who own Lithium America stock for the long haul is that the stock is being actively traded, introducing more volatility than some investors would like. For example, LAC stock recently spiked 12% higher on commentary from Ganfeng Lithium Group chairman Li Liangbin, who forecasted global lithium demand growth between 30% and 40% in 2026. Liangbin also projected that the price of lithium could rise between 58% and 110% in 2026, depending on market dynamics. That’s all traders needed to hear to bid up the price of LAC stock. However, there’s a catch—Lithium Americas hasn’t commenced mining operations, and its Thacker Pass mine isn’t scheduled to become operational until 2027. Even after production begins, profits likely won’t start until 2030. It’s anyone’s guess where lithium prices will be at that time. Analysts Signal a Turning Point for LAC StockActive traders capitalized on this anomaly to turn a profit. However, long-term investors may be wondering if the stock still stands to grow in spite of short-term turbulence. First, analyst sentiment is turning bullish. The week before earnings, JPMorgan Chase upgraded the stock to Neutral from Underweight and assigned a price target of $5. A week prior to earnings, Scotiabank had an even more bullish upgrade, raising the stock from a Strong Sell to a Hold rating.  Second, from a technical perspective, it appears that LAC stock may be confirming a higher floor around $4.40 per share. The pullback from the Nov. 17 spike came on low volume, hinting at a lack of strong selling pressure. If LAC stock can hold above the $4.63 level—the low of the day—it may confirm near-term support in the $4.40-$4.63 range. READ THIS STORY ONLINELast Call: Final Hours of $0.81 Shares (Ad)Just like Microsoft and Adobe rode the software wave in Web 1.0, RAD Intel is riding the AI software wave in 2025. Their product helps brands instantly find the right audience and message using AI – solving the #1 waste in marketing: misfired ad spend.Already trusted by a who’s-who of Fortune 1000 brands and leading global agencies – with recurring seven-figure partnerships in place. With a Nasdaq ticker reserved, $RADI, it’s early – but very real.$0.81 WON’T LAST – PRICE CHANGING TONIGHT…More Storiesonsemi Places a $6 Billion Bet on Its Own StockHIMS Has Been a Roller Coaster Ride. Should Investors Hop On?Everyone’s watching Nvidia right now. Here’s why I’m excited. (Ad)End the Year Strong With These 3 Comeback ChampionsIntel Could Be the Biggest Winner of TSMC’s AI Bottleneck3 Speculative Stocks to Sell Before the Bottom Drops OutWhy Target Stock May Keep Falling Despite a 5% Dividend Yield The Night Owl is a financial newsletter that provides in-depth market analysis on stocks of interest to individual investors. Published by MarketBeat and Early Bird Publishing, The Night Owl is delivered around 9:00 PM Eastern Sunday through Thursday. If you give a hoot about the market, The Night Owl is the newsletter for you.  View as a Web PageIf you have questions about your subscription, don’t hesitate to contact our South Dakota based support team at contact@marketbeat.com.Unsubscribe Copyright 2006-2025 MarketBeat Media, LLC. All rights reserved. 345 N Reid Place, Suite 620, Sioux Falls, South Dakota 57103-7078. 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