The Power Gauge Finds Opportunities in the Darkest Market Corners
RJ Hamster
Advertisements
The Power Gauge Finds Opportunities in the Darkest Market Corners
By Vic Lederman, editorial director, Chaikin Analytics
Folks, we all know the market has suffered a brutal year so far…
Even with the recent bounce, the S&P 500 Index is still down roughly 5% this year. And the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index is down about 6%.
But looking at the largest stocks only gives us a partial picture. After all, thousands of equities trade on U.S. exchanges every day.
And if you think the broad market has been bad… it’s even worse for smaller companies.
In the Power Gauge, we use the iShares Russell 2000 Fund (IWM) to measure small-cap stocks. And again, even with the recent market bounce, that index is still down about 11% this year.
It’s a crushing loss. And it shows just how fragile these kinds of stocks can be.
We’re also seeing big pain with midcap stocks. The SPDR S&P MidCap 400 Fund (MDY) is down roughly 8% so far this year.
And it makes sense when you think about it…
These companies are particularly sensitive to tariffs, economic uncertainty, and the kind of volatility that we’ve seen in the market lately.
They also suffer from not having the “safe haven” status that some of the larger companies do. Everyone knows that a consumer-products juggernaut like Procter & Gamble (PG) isn’t going out of business anytime soon.
But what about a midcap company you barely know the name of… one that’s dependent on imported steel, aluminum, or electronics from China? When things get rough, investors flee these companies.
But even in challenging times like these, the Power Gauge still spots opportunities in some of the overlooked areas…
The man who warned about the 2025 crash 13 days before it unfolded has a new warning. “The next few days could spark a financial disaster.” But he’s not predicting a recession… a dollar crisis… or anything of the kind. Instead, he has a much more peculiar warning and a radical new recommendation for you to review by May 9.
The U.S. Department of Energy says it could power America for millions of years. And both grizzled oilmen and clean-energy supporters love it. Energy Secretary Chris Wright called it “an awesome resource,” while Warren Buffett, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, and Bill Gates are all directly invested. Here’s the name of the company at the heart of it all.
Even Rough Markets Still Have Promising Individual Stocks
Many of these smaller stocks are ones that the Wall Street “big shots” wish they could load up on, but often can’t.
I’m talking about the stocks that drive America’s economy. And they have some of the biggest opportunities for growth that you can find.
Now, you might think that the Power Gauge would be warning investors to run away from this segment of the market. And it’s true that the two indexes I outlined above are looking particularly rough…
Right now in our system, IWM earns a “neutral” rating. And the vast majority of the stocks in this fund are either in “bearish” or “neutral” territory.
But there are still a lot of opportunities…
Specifically, 262 stocks in this fund earn a “bullish” or “very bullish” rating.
And we see something similar with MDY…
When it comes to midcaps, just 46 stocks in MDY earn a “bullish” or “very bullish” grade. That’s about 11% of the fund’s rated stocks.
Again, it shows that not all midcaps look bad right now. And as any investor knows, it doesn’t take 46 names to beat the broad market.
I know things have been bleak out there recently. But put simply, even in the darkest of markets, opportunities still exist. And here at Chaikin Analytics, we’re using the Power Gauge to help us identify them.
Does that mean every position in a volatile market is going to be a winner? Absolutely not…
But as investors, we can still use the tools available to us to push the odds in our favor. And when the market finds its next leg up – or even soars – we’ll be positioned to get the most out of it.
Good investing,
Vic Lederman
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# HLD: BULLISH NEUTRAL BEARISH
Dow 30
+0.27%
5
17
8
S&P 500
+0.71%
64
288
152
Nasdaq
+1.31%
14
58
28
Small Caps
+0.62%
261
1128
499
Bonds
-0.87%
Information Technology
+1.47%
9
39
21
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain Bearish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Information Technology
+3.71%
Industrials
+2.47%
Communication
+2.3%
Consumer Discretionary
+2.18%
Real Estate
+2.04%
Financial
+1.04%
Utilities
+0.87%
Materials
+0.34%
Consumer Staples
+0.09%
Health Care
-0.55%
Energy
-2.11%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Bank Services
7
87
3
Over the past 6 months, the Bank subsector (KBE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -3.48%. However, its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #6 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 1 slot over the past week.
Top Stocks
CASH
Pathward Financial,
FBP
First BanCorp.
BPOP
Popular, Inc.
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
CARR
+11.61%
PWR
+9.99%
IDXX
+8.95%
CEG
+7.69%
MSFT
+7.63%
Losers
BDX
-18.13%
LLY
-11.66%
QCOM
-8.92%
FMC
-8.28%
TFX
-8.16%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
MSTR
MicroStrategy Incorporated
Q1
$-16.53
Missed by $-16.51
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.
Q1
$0.09
Beat by $0.25
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
Q3
$0.65
Beat by $0.34
ALNY
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Q1
$-0.01
Beat by $0.36
AMH
American Homes 4 Rent
Q1
$0.31
Beat by $0.15
* * * *
You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, click here.
For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call +1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.), 9 a.m. – 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized financial advice.
Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors.
Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation.
This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we’ve learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn’t make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It’s your money and your responsibility.